Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $52B

Ian’s Insider Corner 25h ago 12 clicks

28h ago NOC $68B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

30h ago APP $88B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 47 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man 23h ago 2 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@Menckenist @rippercatcher Very interesting. What's the typical mix of a $WD loan? Is it moslty fixed rate with 5-7 year maturity? How much of it is the type that finance the S2 and Tide capital where deals were done at 3% cap with floating rate debt greatly appreciate this!

@BarbarianCap 24h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Silgan to Combine With Trivium Packaging in $3.4 Billion Deal $SLGN https://t.co/XWQSkZuUO5

@BarbarianCap 24h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Germany’s Merck to Buy U.K. Biotech Silence Therapeutics for $1.3 Billion $SLN https://t.co/FXr0mtRMow

@BarbarianCap 24h ago 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

H.B. Fuller Rejects Ancora’s Latest Acquisition Bid, Plans to Consider Selling Noncore Businesses $FUL https://t.co/L8b85qb666

@StableBread 24h ago

Fajasy on X

From June 1 to October 16, Boost Run $BRUN fell 77.3%, vs. 37.4-58.7% for CoreWeave $CRWV, Nebius $NBIS, and $IREN. That drop in AI infra stocks is tied to to rising bets on another Fed rate hike. Higher rates hurt GPU clouds in two ways, since they (1) raise the cost of the debt that pays for their GPUs and (2) lower what investors will pay today for profits that arrive years later. But all three peers kept or raised their 2026 targets: → $CRWV: Raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $12.4-13.2B on its Q2 call. → $IREN: Raised its year-end ARR target to more than $4B on July 20. → $NBIS: Reaffirmed its 2026 guidance with its Q2 results. The problem is that lenders are charging more now. CoreWeave’s 9.625% notes due 2032 yielded 14.74% on October 16, up from 13.19% on October 1, meaning CoreWeave would likely pay ~15%/year to borrow the same way today. So the selloff came from how investors now see the cost of funding the demand for GPU clouds, not from the demand itself.

@BarbarianCap 24h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Tradeweb to Buy Trumid For About $1.97 Billion $TW https://t.co/41iZw4PowI

@BarbarianCap 24h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

CoreWeave’s Business Is Sound Despite Debt Fears, JPMorgan Says $CRWV https://t.co/DKA8ZpjnGb

@BarbarianCap 24h ago 5 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

Avis Wipeout Erases Last Vestige of 600% Short Squeeze Rally $CAR https://t.co/5YhPTjmIi0

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $525M

Trade Ideas Flow 36h ago 18 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $379M

Anthony Cataldo 37h ago 5 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $317M

TSOH Investment Research 38h ago 15 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $18BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global 40h ago 31 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $362M

Substack von Philipp 40h ago 9 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63BRIG $6.2B

Open Insights 41h ago 12 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist, And More

Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist and nine other lesser-covered stocks make this week’s Undercovered Dozen.

HESM $6.3BIOVA $6.7B

The Undercovered Dozen 47h ago 15 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 18 5 clicks

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook Oct 18 22 clicks

Cerebras Systems: Beaten To A Pulp On Irrational Fears (Rating Upgrade)

Cerebras, a wafer-scale AI chipmaker, is forecast to nearly 10x sales by 2028 as capacity expands, while its shares have fallen on capacity…

CBRS $33B

Stone Fox Capital Oct 18 10 clicks

POST · long

Post Holdings INC

Post Holdings remains a large position after the stock's recent decline.

POST $3.5B

Value Investors Club Jul 10

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $33BQMCO $1B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1

LeMaitre Vascular: The Q2 Miss Hides A Stronger Acquisition Machine

LeMaitre Vascular’s shift to larger acquisitions lifted its success rate to 80% and gross margin to 72%, supported by $376 million of cash…

LMAT $1.9B

Bruno Montoya Amador Oct 1

FTAI Aviation Deep Dive

FTAI Aviation is converting retired CFM56 jet engines into 25-megawatt data-center generators, supported by a $1.465 billion order likely…

FTAI $17B

CV's Substack Oct 1 1 click

Washington Trust Bancorp: 100-Year Track Record Of Dividends Supports A 6% Yield

Washington Trust Bancorp offers a 5.8% dividend yield, with C&I loan growth supporting ROE despite 40% commercial real estate loan…

WASH $560M

Sorrento Research Oct 1

Progress CEO has an answer to tokenomics: ‘Combine the meters’

Progress Software shares fell 6% after third-quarter results, as a lower profit forecast offset an otherwise well-received earnings report.

PRGS $1.7B

The Technology Letter Sep 30

NASDAQ:YB 10% dividend, 2x P/E, 30% growth, AI beneficiary, secular tailwinds, founder CEO I think is as good as Bezos/Walton

Yuanbao pairs a 10.2% dividend and cash exceeding its market value with 33.5% first-half profit growth from AI-enabled Chinese insurance…

YB $531M

Calvin Blissett Sep 30 4 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Vicor, Rayonier, Accenture And More

Vicor, Rayonier, Accenture and nine other lesser-covered stocks make up Seeking Alpha’s Undercovered Dozen.

VICR $10BRYN $5.6B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 30 5 clicks

EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 - Why Europe's Gas Shortage Has Not Lifted The Stock

EQT remains tied to roughly $3 Henry Hub gas despite European prices near $23 per MMBtu, with US LNG export capacity limiting overseas…

EQT $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 2 clicks

CareDx ($CDNA): Phantom Revenue is Driving the Rally

CareDx's rally rests on prior-period collection adjustments, while transplant test volumes grew 17% and competition, management turnover…

CDNA $3.3B

Shallow Dives Sep 30

Monday, October 19, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Fajasy on X

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