Saturday, October 17, 2026

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper interconnect businesses.

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 14 clicks

Oct 17 COHR $46B

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

P Equity Research 14 clicks

Oct 16 CRWV $34B

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 22 clicks

From X

@petition Feb 1

💥PETITION💥 on X

This is an absolutely brutal chart. $DIS has been a big fat sinkhole for many an investor infatuated with the name (movies! streaming! parks!). https://t.co/vXX9bhWLJZ

@HaydenCapital Jan 31

Fred Liu on X

@MackinacCap Right, I'm just wondering why $RKT stock would be down -13% on this. Seems the wrong reaction?

@HaydenCapital Jan 31

Fred Liu on X

Going thru PennyMac earnings... why is this not bullish for Rocket Mortgage $RKT? $PFSI is down on accelerated prepayments, and lacking the capacity to recapture them. Meanwhile $RKT's been embracing AI / tech to grow capacity per loan officer, and not needing additional headcount in the next cycle. $RKT also has 80% recapture rate, so their own MSR business should be protected. What are the odds these refinancing's flowed to $RKT, and they meaningfully grew market share this quarter? Am I missing something?

@LaughingH20Cap Jan 28 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

Think signal value for $NN is very high here. Ajit Pai, Brendan Carr’s mentor at the FCC, is Pres and CEO of CTIA. Execs from $VZ and $T are chair and vice chair. Unlikely they put Mariam on the board unless $NN future is bright. 💯% Pai knows what is happening behind FCC doors. https://t.co/4Jtm3aiAf9

@Seawolfcap Jan 22 4 clicks

Porter Collins on X

@JeffreyCherkin Not a bad purchase of $FTAI this time last year < $90! @MelissaLeeCNBC

@HaydenCapital Jan 17

Fred Liu on X

#Southeast Asia Logistics Where there used to be dozens of players, now there's just two that matter - Shopee Express, and J&T (>60% combined market share). In a high fixed cost business, Scale > Order Density (across both Geography x Time) > Lowest Cost per Parcel = Competitive Moat. Parcel delivery cost has declined -45% over 4 years. h/t @momentumasia. $SE $1519.HK

@petition Jan 7

💥PETITION💥 on X

Continuation vehicles were a big thing in '25 as many private equity firms struggled to find exits for portcos. But they're not new. In '21, Platinum Equity dumped its portco United Site Services into a CV invested in by Fortress, $ARES & $BX. How'd that turn out? Well, sheeyit.

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 11

Brian McGough on X

So $LULU finally fires CEO, which is why the stock is up. I get that. We've been making the 'fire Calvin' call for over a year. But what the market misses here is that new CEO will have to re-base numbers by at least 30%. That sends the stock closer to $100. We shorted it at $470, and are staying put.

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $68B

LA Capital Oct 16 10 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

META $1.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

META $1.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 17 clicks

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

NFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 12 clicks

GE Vernova: AI's Next Bottleneck Is Electricity

GE Vernova’s 116 GW gas-turbine backlog and $5 billion in early-2026 data-center orders target AI-driven electricity demand, though its…

GEV $240B

Todd Feldman Oct 16 5 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 54 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 13 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $92B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

LLY · long

LILLY (ELI) & CO

Eli Lilly trades at 33 times this year’s earnings and 26 times next year’s, versus roughly 12 times for big pharma peers.

LLY $1.2T

Value Investors Club Jul 18 4 clicks

Kraft Heinz: The Boring 2027 Long That Doesn't Need A Rich Multiple

Kraft Heinz expects brand investment and productivity gains to restore sales growth and protect 2027 margins against 4-5% cost inflation.

KHC $28B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 15 1 click

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

ASML $631B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 15 13 clicks

Berkshire B: Holding, Developing Headwinds Have Yet To Reflect In Stock Price, In My View

Berkshire Hathaway trades at 1.46 times book as reinsurance pricing pressure, softer P&C, concentrated equities and cash weigh on its…

BRK.A $1.2T

Pearl Gray Equity and Research Oct 15 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…

MRVL $212B

scuttleblurb Oct 15 12 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 28 clicks

TSMC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

TSMC reported excellent Q3 results, guided Q4 revenue growth higher and saw its shares slip despite strong AI-driven earnings momentum.

TSM $2.2T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 15 10 clicks

Why Broadcom Is My Largest Stock Holding Today

AVGO $1.6T

Fundamental Options Oct 15 4 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SBUX $113BCMG $38B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Nvidia’s Ian Buck says CUDA’s software ecosystem, GPU flexibility and annual Vera Rubin upgrades lower token costs as agentic AI pushes…

NVDA $5.3T

Key Context by Tae Kim Oct 14 7 clicks

Saturday, October 17, 2026

💥PETITION💥 on X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

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Fred Liu on X

💥PETITION💥 on X

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