Friday, October 16, 2026

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $352B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

Oct 15 CRWV $34B

Is The Market Turning The Page?

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 54 clicks

Oct 15 TBBB $6.8B

PesoRama: Research Flash

Atrium Research - Equity Research 7 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Sep 4 3 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Buying PayPal $PYPL when Wall Street idiots sell this off and waiting for another takeover rumor to dump it back to them is like taking candy from a baby. https://t.co/q4OLppPbgm https://t.co/vVLuLhy0w1

@ACapitalLP Sep 4 1 click

A Capital on X

The best trades are where perception <> reality. A common trader exercise is to ask yourself: who is on the other side of the trade and why are they selling to you? What information do they have? Are they more informed than you? The best opportunities are where the seller isn’t more informed, they’re simply misinformed about what’s actually going on. Take $OWL, where the prevailing narrative was a private credit apocalypse, but you did the work and saw the residual value in the fund stakes business and an overblown level of negative sentiment. Or $TLN, where Governor Josh Shapiro and CNN want you to believe data centers are the problem, while the thirst for compute, contractual cash flows and need for electricity remain undeniable. The narrative may work against you initially. That’s often what creates the opportunity. But if your work is thorough enough, your thesis is right and you can hang in there, the gap between perception and reality eventually closes. That’s where alpha is made.

@Adam_Wyden Sep 4

Adam D. Wyden on X

@PrefShares They boy can work but $VVV is like a 4 pct FCF yield vs like 14 pct on $drvn… either both are wrong or $drvn is worth 3x as much… I also think the unit economics for franchisees are inferior at $VVV

@kab604 Sep 4 3 clicks

kab60 on X

@pande40745264 @guptavinay Haven't followed QXO closely given it seemed outrageously priced, but a big attraction with these distributors are the countercyclical cashflow... Leverage @ $BLDR looks high, but unsecured notes not due until 2030-2032, and they should turn that inventory into cash

@MaiusPartners Sep 4

Maius on X

$LULU 2026 marketing strategy deck_v1.pdf 😅 https://t.co/3KiBtmuUZN https://t.co/GvEmZwPVAx

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4 3 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

never been a crypto bro, but i’ve always related to them. $HOOD is where our worlds collide. we ride together.

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

why i own $HOOD 👇 https://t.co/7xA2UKdf3t

@ChrisCamillo Sep 3 3 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@FloatCheck @CKCapitalxx I’m all for going big on a fashion trade when the brand is clearly benefiting from a shift in consumer behavior. But there was zero data pointing to that for $LULU this quarter. No clue what he thought he saw.

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $7.9B

CV's Substack Oct 15 19 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $92B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Brookfield Asset Management: What If The AI Boom Backfires?

Brookfield Asset Management's fee revenue rose 16.2% and distributable earnings 15.8%, but its 18% five-year target relies on AI-led growth…

BAM $73B

Daniel Schönberger Oct 15 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…

MRVL $212B

scuttleblurb Oct 15 12 clicks

AeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Notice

AeroVironment's $465M LOCUST laser award and earnings beat support its 2027 growth outlook despite government budget uncertainty.

AVAV $6.2B

Melissa Tucker Oct 15 8 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 28 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.5BVAL $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 15 44 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.6BSBUX $113B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows

CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.

CRWV $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 14 6 clicks

SPHR · long

Sphere Entertainment CO

Sphere Entertainment is shifting from construction and startup spending to a high-margin, cash-generative venue-operator model, with…

SPHR $3.7B

Value Investors Club Jul 17 3 clicks

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

TKO $34B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 14 8 clicks

RTX Q3 Preview: Two Growth Engines Make This Aerospace And Defense Leader A 'Buy'

RTX’s $289 billion backlog, including $119 billion in defense, supports growth from defense contracts and commercial aerospace aftermarket…

RTX $259B

Blake Winiecki Oct 14 5 clicks

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $52B

P Equity Research Oct 14 19 clicks

Peabody Energy: The Recovery Case Depends On Centurion

Peabody Energy’s recovery case hinges on Centurion, coal-market leverage, capital allocation and balance-sheet strength amid commodity…

BTU $2.9B

CAN Analyst Oct 14 1 click

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $329B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 31 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $21B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 15 clicks

Palantir Is Not C3.Ai, But C3.Ai Wrote Its Watch List - Downgrade Palantir To Hold, Sell C3.Ai

Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…

PLTR $482B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 14 11 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Friday, October 16, 2026

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

kab60 on X

Maius on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

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