Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SBUX $113BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 NVDA $5.2T

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Key Context by Tae Kim 7 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

From X

@HedgeyeRetail Jun 27

Brian McGough on X

I have yet to come in contact with anyone who says anything other than '$NKE is gonna puke the quarter and guide down." The volatility after this Nike print skews to the upside. The 12-month risk reward is money with this stock under $100.

@catechwilliams Jun 19 1 click

catechwilliams on X

@Mike10947310 $CVGW Sources >90% of its avocados from Michoacan, MX. $CMG purchases ~10% of tot US avocados. Its latest ESG report noted “diversifying away from Mexican suppliers.” This latest drama down there will almost certainly accelerate sourcing away from $CVGW, etc.

@gatorcapital Jun 19

Derek Pilecki on X

I strongly disagree with buybacks like $TFC has telegraphed. Truist trades above book value, and they only have excess capital because they sold one of their crown jewels (insurance brokerage biz). Truist should hold excess capital until we get through this credit cycle.

@gatorcapital Jun 19

Derek Pilecki on X

I agree with buybacks when the bank is trading at a significant discount to book, and they have excess capital like $BCS over the last few years buying back stock at 45% of tangible.

@gatorcapital Jun 19

Derek Pilecki on X

The longer I follow banks the more anti-buyback I become. I own $FCNCA and the sell-side is calling for a buyback catalyst this year. I rather they hold the capital to make loans and/or scoop up troubled banks.

@gatorcapital Jun 10

Derek Pilecki on X

I’m attending the RBC and Jefferies FinTech conferences this week. Meeting with $SSNC, $PYPL, $ENV, $JKHY & others.

@HedgeyeRetail Jun 7

Brian McGough on X

Haha! If $LULU was smart it would shut down its footwear business. It has no business being there! Several more guide downs to come here… https://t.co/1lhthueM2j

@HedgeyeRetail Jun 6

Brian McGough on X

How anyone could actually RAISE a price target after this $LULU print is a complete mystery to me. Thanks for showing up #OldWall. I won't touch this stock long side until it starts with a 1. Presentation detailing why at 12:30ET today. #ShortLULU

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $631B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 14 27 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $750B

C Jessen Oct 14 36 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $329B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 32 clicks

First Tracks Biotherapeutics: Teva Validated The Pathway, ANB033 May Own The Receptor

First Tracks Biotherapeutics’ ANB033 posted stronger Phase 1b celiac efficacy than Teva’s IL-15 inhibitor, with $168 million funding…

TEVA $48B

Equity Eagle Oct 14 8 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $21B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

ASML Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ASML reported Q3 sales of €11.7 billion, up 55% year over year, and guided Q4 sales to €14.2 billion to €15.2 billion amid capacity…

ASML $631B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 14 10 clicks

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $156B

Value Capital Research Oct 14 9 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

WDC · long

Western Digital CORP

Western Digital, a hard-disk manufacturer, is pitched as a long after significant share-price moves deter investors.

WDC $124B

Value Investors Club Jul 16 7 clicks

Scarcity is the boogey man for ASML, Applied Materials

ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…

ASML $631BAMAT $329B

The Technology Letter Oct 13 9 clicks

Apple HomeView, The New Apple TV, The App Story

Apple HomeView raises questions about demand for expensive Apple devices built around subpar AI.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 13 8 clicks

Expert Call | Corning

Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…

GLW $115B

P Equity Research Oct 13 38 clicks

Apple and LG, The House For Everyone Else, Agent Standards and Amazon

Apple is leaning on partner integration for the smart home, while Amazon faces strategic choices around AI agents.

AAPL $5TAMZN $2.7T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 13 6 clicks

Nvidia’s Investor Meeting

Nvidia’s investor meeting features CFO Colette Kress and IR and Strategic Finance VP Toshiya Hari.

NVDA $5.2T

P Equity Research Oct 13 12 clicks

OCP Day One: AMD CEO Sees Strong Demand for AI Inference and CPUs

AMD CEO Lisa Su says demand for AI inference and CPUs continues to rise as computing capacity becomes more valuable.

AMD $887B

Key Context by Tae Kim Oct 13 4 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $16B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Brian McGough on X

catechwilliams on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

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