Sunday, October 4, 2026

Practical Parametric Yield

Cerebras’s WSE-3 faces parametric-yield constraints that could restrict supply, making power and clock-speed tradeoffs central to its next 12 to 18 months.

CBRS $33B

Irrational Analysis Oct 4 3 clicks

Oct 4 GPI $2.9B

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Cannibal Stocks 4 clicks

Oct 2 EVI $243M

EVI Industries. Margin inflection or fake out?

Kairos Research 2 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures Jul 27

Raging Capital Ventures on X

I’m now very bullish on $CMCSA as well. In my view, Peacock/NBCU/theme parks are likely worth around the current market cap alone. Importantly, Peacock / NBC are now competitively advantaged in sports media thanks to a superior combination of reach with their NBC broadcast network and their scaled streaming platform. Comcast Cable is struggling, but they have frontloaded a lot of pain; wireless and the bundle is a growth engine; and the balance sheet is actually a strength (not a weakness). Plus, the 6% dividend pays you to wait for the spin in 2027.

@RagingVentures Jul 27

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Not the greatest quarter but no change in my $CHTR view, although I did sell some of my October calls today. Owning common and LEAPs are most interesting now. The Cox acquisition should close in mid- to late-August, which I view as a catalyst for analysts and investors to revisit their models. $CHTR is now trading at around 2x pro forma 2028 FCF per share, with incredible balance sheet optionality (which they have started to monetize via buybacks and swaps at a discount). I also think $CHTR has front-loaded a lot of ARPU pain and invested heavily to stabilize video in recent years. While broadband will remain challenged, I don’t believe the worst case scenarios and think wireless growth and pricing can provide a valuable offset.

@cfrischer1 Jul 27

Charles Frischer on X

$NN An investor bought 5,000 Sept $15 option contracts today for $1.40. Assuming shares were $25 post NPRM, these have a 7x return or an implied 15% chance of happening. I think at $1.40, these options were priced far below intrinsic value. I like this trade very much. Very smart

@eriksen_tim Jul 27 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

@TreyHenninger $THVB is similar to TRUX. I was taught to be skeptical of the SBA loan sellers. There are a few banks that have maintained decent mortgage origination income.

@eriksen_tim Jul 27 2 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

Cedar Creek Partners Q2 letter released. 12.6% in 1H26 net of fees and expenses. $SODI $EXCE $HRBR $PHIG $ENDI $QUCT $STLE $SLBK $RVRF https://t.co/d794sYsHAT

@TheBenSchmark Jul 27 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Hmmm so what happens to China WFE and local semicap? $ACMR https://t.co/zCLlueeF3O

@david_katunaric Jul 27 1 click

Mikro Kap David on X

Yesterday I dug deeper into an 🇦🇺 special situation that reminds me of when I first found $ICCC back in September 2025. In both cases, a high-quality core business is taking share in an oligopolistic niche with a superior product, yet its underlying economics are obscured by a legacy development program that has consumed decades of spending and exhausted nearly everyone who has ever owned the stock. As was the case with ImmuCell, I don’t think this setup requires regulatory approval to work. FAA approval would create significant upside, while abandonment would remove the cost burden, allowing management to focus entirely on the core business and letting its underlying economics shine through. There is also a less “dramatic” but plausible third path: the legacy program’s drag on profitability continues to diminish while the attractive aerospace business grows around it. Both situations also brought experienced industry executives into senior leadership at a potentially important turning point. And, so far, I believe the new management team is making the right moves. There are several ways this could play out, but I believe the favorable outcomes are more likely, while the unfavorable ones shouldn’t carry much downside at the current valuation. I wrote up this company now so that, as new information emerges, you’ll know what matters, what doesn’t, and how each development changes the risk-reward. That should put you in a position to act while others are still parsing headlines and catching up. Link in the comment below.

@OddDiligence Jul 26

Odd Diligence on X

@GalianoTiramani Anyone can get investors with Facebook ads and anything reg b. The jetai SPAC team said the same exact thing as you here $JTAI after they had investors into their SPAC deal from paid ads - they were 99% of the targets https://t.co/w9DtXdT3Po

40 Best Stock Pitches (28th-4th October) 🟢

Old Market Capital, a delisted holding company owning a rural fiber network, trades below comparable network valuations after institutional…

OMCC $26M

Capital Employed Oct 4 7 clicks

💥Leslies Term Lenders Toss a Life Preserver💥

Leslie’s and nine affiliates filed Chapter 11 in Texas on September 30, 2026, after 18 months of deteriorating performance.

LESL $1.6M

PETITION Oct 4 3 clicks

🤿New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - Leslie’s Inc.🤿

Leslie’s, the pool-supplies retailer, filed Chapter 11 after deteriorating operations, pricing and inventory missteps, and a burdensome…

LESL $1.6M

PETITION Oct 4 3 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

LEN $17BMRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #16: Huckleberry.AI (HUCK)

Huckleberry.AI trades near $3.30 against $221 million of cash and $900 million-plus of NOLs after selling its operating business, creating…

HUCK $147M

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Oct 2 5 clicks

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 3 clicks

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $35BIRDM $4.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

BV · long

BrightView Holdings

BrightView Holdings' 2.5-year turnaround has returned organic growth, with 30-50% stock upside tied to market confidence in the inflection.

BV $976M

Value Investors Club Jul 6 3 clicks

M&T: Buy Reaffirmed, Despite Market Pullback, As Growth And Earnings Story Remain Strong

M&T Bank's 10.4% five-year revenue CAGR, improving net interest margin and commercial loan growth support its earnings resilience despite a…

MTB $31B

Albert Anthony Oct 3 2 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $6B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $43B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Constellium: The Spread Between Feedstock And End Prices Keeps Widening

Constellium’s widening feedstock-to-end-price spread supports 2026 EBITDA guidance of $980M-$1.02B and free cash flow above $300M.

CSTM $3.5B

Andres Veurink Oct 1

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $39B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $48B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Charles Frischer on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Tim Eriksen on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Mikro Kap David on X

Odd Diligence on X

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