Friday, October 2, 2026

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is Lennar’s CEO.

LEN $18BMRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 3 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $50B

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Latticework by MOI Global 4 clicks

Oct 2 NET $124B

[scuttleslops] Cloudflare wants bots to pay; OpenAI’s ad ambitions; Memory chip competition; Muse is a proactive assistant; the Wintel of cars and robots; Atlassian as a coordinating layer

scuttleblurb 2 clicks

From X

@BlueDuckCap Aug 27 3 clicks

BDC on X

Specs - we are coming to a tipping point one way or the other. Will it be a disaster despite 7k patents filed and $3.5B of sunk cost over a decade and some really cool cutting edge functionality? Probably. That's because there's a limited TAM at the $2.1k price point and given that the specs look absurd. So what will Evan do if sales are horrible? $SNAP

@ACapitalLP Aug 27 1 click

A Capital on X

$TLN getting close to the $300 mark. https://t.co/mQH5tWlfY5

@BrokenMoats Aug 27 2 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Always fascinating people willing to pay over 2x multiple for a company like $TEAM which at current levels hard to argue is pricing in much disruption threat v. an $AMZN which has a higher growth rate too

@BlueDuckCap Aug 27 2 clicks

BDC on X

Subs are the $SNAP inflection nobody has cared about, yet: H/T @Jack64128896 for the find on memories https://t.co/c5FVBZfK4c

@John_Hempton Aug 27 1 click

John_Hempton on X

@AMCOracle I get it. Apes think I am stupid. Buy more $AMC. It is good to trade against stupid people.

@finphysnerd Aug 27 1 click

Myles on X

$IGV up 7% today. My short book (which as of the last couple weeks has become reasonably software heavy) is in painnnn. Hate that these things all just trade as a basket now.

@TidefallCapital Aug 27 2 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

$IGV +7% $CSU.to $TOI.v $LMN.V +1% TSX operates on a delay

@negligible_cap Aug 27 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

Not only are $IGV and $SOXX both green today, but $IGV just flipped positive YTD, led higher by $CRM up 20%, and cybersecurity names ripping after $CRWD and $OKTA Software and Semis are friends again https://t.co/pYgkP9Rtsw

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $50B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $50B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 3 clicks

ServiceNow: Still A 'Strong Buy' As AI Revenues Gain Traction

ServiceNow expects AI annual contract value to reach $1.5 billion by year-end, with assist-pack consumption pricing supporting growth…

NOW $142B

Jetstream Research Oct 2 3 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $47BIRDM $5.2B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 2 clicks

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 5 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.7B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 2 clicks

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.4B

Lee Bailey Oct 2 1 click

Sleep Well Portfolio (Sept 2026) - New Pick coming up - SWI#25.

CrowdStrike faces a trim at a $270 billion valuation and 140x free cash flow, despite AI-driven cybersecurity demand and a $20 billion ARR…

CRWD $279B

Sleep Well Investments Oct 2 5 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 5 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.6B

Seeking Profits Oct 1 1 click

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $46B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 2 clicks

Constellium: The Spread Between Feedstock And End Prices Keeps Widening

Constellium’s widening feedstock-to-end-price spread supports 2026 EBITDA guidance of $980M-$1.02B and free cash flow above $300M.

CSTM $3.5B

Andres Veurink Oct 1 1 click

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $83BABNB $96B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1 1 click

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $39B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1 1 click

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $46B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 2 clicks

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4.4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1 3 clicks

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $14B

scuttleblurb Oct 1 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.8BTLN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 2 clicks

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $11B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 5 clicks

BDC on X

A Capital on X

Broken Moats on X

BDC on X

John_Hempton on X

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

Negligible Capital on X

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