Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
Get Daily Recap Feedback

Friday, October 2, 2026

Back to today

From X

@MultiplesCap 1 click

Multiples Capital on X

"BNPL will eventually die"? $AFRM (Affirm) says otherwise. Q4 GMV +43% to $10.4B, Rev +33% to $876M. EPS flipped –$0.14 → +$0.20, Op inc +$58M. Company executing with Amazon/Shopify/Costco partnerships, Affirm physical card and Stripe integration (for SMB market reach). With AI/ML underwriting + 0% plans, Affirm is scaling up profitably for now. As CEO Max Levchin put it: “We love math.” Execution > narrative.
@HaydenCapital 2 clicks

Fred Liu on X

Shopee's SPX Express reminds me of $PDD's community group buy pick-up point locations. $SE "They are a familiar sight in Singapore. The retired “uncle” in flip-flops, slinging parcels across a housing block in an ever-practical blue Ikea bag. Or an entrepreneurial homemaker busily sorting a makeshift Shopee kiosk beside the lift. They are the human backbone of SPX Express, which now handles most of Shopee’s several billion parcels annually... With SPX Express, 90 per cent of its parcels are delivered the next day in Singapore. In the rest of Asia, almost half of SPX Express orders are delivered within two days." https://t.co/oyQtg6SZ5i
@MultiplesCap

Multiples Capital on X

$EXPE has always been a much slower grower than $BKNG, won't be surprised if it's a fav pair trade of hedge fund (long booking, short expe). Over the years though Expedia has been going through internal changes, sold some businesses (Egencia to AmEx travel and few other sites), went through a technology transformation for internal sites (Expedia, https://t.co/ap3OIandej, Vrbo). 50% improvement in operating margin since 2019. But not as profitable as Booking (operating margin at 12% vs 32% for bkng). Mainly a US focused player (unlike bkng) with a very strong B2B segment that's growing mid teens and about 30% of total revenue), now looking to expand internationally. To be seen if that would drive higher margin given the much fragmented hotel market internationally vs US. Bkng on the other hand seeing revenue growth slowing down to high single digit and mid teens eps growth with margins declining since 2019. Expedia needs to show higher top line growth but possible still delivers mid teens eps growth. Travel is cyclical but these OTA are very robust, they saw revenue growth even in the financial crisis, as more ppl look for deals. AI is an unknown, Expedia is embracing it. Finding a hotel with the right deal is not same as getting an answer to a question from LLM, distribution/platform should remain valuable. Interesting to see how the pieces fall for Expedia, PEG < 1 and these multiples should atleast provide downside protection

Investor Letters

All letters

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $50B
Latticework by MOI Global 2 clicks

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $50B
Latticework by MOI Global 3 clicks

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales…

OTIS $25B
Asian Century Stocks 1 click

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

110 publications

Newsletters 93

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 43 of 209

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

73 accounts
Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

189 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.