Thursday, October 1, 2026

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Oct 1 AVGO $1.7T

The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Part 2: Anthropic's Receipts | Ed Zitron

The Monetary Matters Network 4 clicks

Oct 1 NVDA $5.5T

Don’t Believe Your Lyin’ Eyes, GPU Depreciation & Useful Lives

Cassandra Unchained 7 clicks

From X

@stockgutter Sep 29 1 click

SG on X

@DeepSailCapital $MRNX via short Mar27 150-200C lots of ways for this trade to work. Its my preferred way to fade the outsized (and in the past 2 weeks heavily autocorrelated) move in $MRNA

@negligible_cap Sep 29 3 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

$META started ripping when Dottie fumbled https://t.co/NYbw44HWOK

@calvinblissett Sep 29

Calvin Blissett on X

This is what I am alluding to in the Chuck Akre 2011 google talk $FICO https://t.co/ptAE3rvZqV

@ACapitalLP Sep 29

A Capital on X

$FDXF has materially underperformed LTL peers heading into October's first standalone earnings call… Market seems to be pricing in a deteriorating earnings story rather than post-spin complexity. If management can provide clarity on standalone financials and reaffirm its margin trajectory, the RV dislocation could close quickly. Interesting asymmetric setup….

@calvinblissett Sep 29

Calvin Blissett on X

$FICO forward P/E means nothing, trailing P/E around ~18x. Relevant mental model may beBill Nygren sand $MCO Moodys post GFC when regulatory expanded agencies from 2.5 to 6 and essentially mandated competition with Moodys. See interview with Google on YT in maybe 2011. We saw how that turned out. Bias: 1 share bought at $870 to scratch an irrational itch. Status: miffed, @wpulte suffers from man with a hammer tendency

@pennycheck Sep 29

⚽️📡 on X

$ADEA New CEO hire is exactly what you want to see. She spent last 8 years at $ARM turning semi conducter IP into massive growth + recurring revenue honestly surprised stock is down given how the previous CEO exit had been weighing on the stock https://t.co/m34bD0nn3l https://t.co/JXuFHAsKJj

@convequity Sep 29

Convequity on X

Batch size sets the trade-off between speed and cost in AI inference. An AI server answers many users at once by bundling their requests into one batch. Our $CBRS note compares this to running a bus. There are two ways to run it, and each gives something up. 1. Fill the bus. Put as many passengers as possible on every run. More stops slow each passenger's trip, but the cost of the run is spread across more people, so the cost per passenger falls. Larger batches do the same: each user's answer is slower, and the cost per token falls because the system produces more tokens from the same hardware. 2. Carry fewer passengers and stop less. Each trip is faster, but fewer seats mean the cost of the run is spread less well, so the cost per passenger rises. Smaller batches are fast for one user and raise the cost per token. So in the analogy, speed for each user is how fast each passenger arrives. Cost per token is cost per passenger. A system set up for one gives up some of the other. When someone compares two inference systems, check the batch size behind each number. A speed figure or a cost-per-token figure quoted without it cannot be compared fairly.

@junkbondinvest Sep 29 2 clicks

junkbondinvestor on X

Paramount's $52bn $WBD debt package is FINALLY in the market. Here's the package: $32bn of IG-rated 1L bonds, the 5th-largest US high-grade sale EVER. Plus $7.5bn of loans and $12.4bn of 2L HY bonds. Paramount's existing unsecured bonds? Primed. Back of the line. Good luck and thanks for playing. Where in the cap stack are you playing? $PSKY $PARA

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

META $1.8TDASH $81B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $44B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1

HOOY: A Hold For The YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF

YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF pays high weekly income from Robinhood volatility, but return-of-capital distributions and a 0.99%…

HOOD $107B

Ivan Gaddari Oct 1

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $14B

scuttleblurb Oct 1

Meta Is Undervalued With Muse As A Catalyst

Meta's Muse AI agent is presented as an early monetization catalyst, while heavy CapEx is framed as a moat despite near-term cash flow…

META $1.8T

Andres Cardenal, CFA Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

TLN $15B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $10B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 2 clicks

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 1 click

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $40BCBRS $40B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1 1 click

The Next Consumer is a Computer

Meta’s Muse illustrates how persistent AI agents shift compute from per-query to per-user, driving heavier GPU, CPU and memory demand.

META $1.8TNVDA $5.5T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 30 6 clicks

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) Stock Rating: Move To Distribute After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Near-Peak Margins And The Iran War

Chevron moved to Distribute at $204 after Q2 free cash flow reached $18.1 billion on $104 Brent, with near-peak margins driving supernormal…

CVX $407B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30

Micron (NASDAQ: MU) Stock Rating: Hold After Q4 FY8/26 Earnings - No Change To Rating

Micron reported Q4 FY26 revenue of $54.2 billion, up 379%, and guided Q1 revenue to $61.5 billion.

MU $1.2T

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 4 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Vicor, Rayonier, Accenture And More

Vicor, Rayonier, Accenture and nine other lesser-covered stocks make up Seeking Alpha’s Undercovered Dozen.

VICR $14BACN $130B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 30 4 clicks

Why AMD Is the Most Overhyped Chip Stock | Ben Pouladian on Meta’s Muse, Anthropic IPO, & Semis

Ben Pouladian argues AMD’s Helios racks cannot match NVIDIA GPUs’ fungibility and financing appeal as agentic AI shifts the bottleneck to…

AMD $1TNVDA $5.5T

The Monetary Matters Network Sep 30 4 clicks

EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 - Why Europe's Gas Shortage Has Not Lifted The Stock

EQT remains tied to roughly $3 Henry Hub gas despite European prices near $23 per MMBtu, with US LNG export capacity limiting overseas…

EQT $31B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 1 click

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales…

OTIS $24B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 29 1 click

Portfolio and performance update, September 2026

Portfolio returned 65.7% through September 28 versus the S&P 500’s 13.2%, while backing Tourmaline, EQT, Athabasca and SLB on gas demand…

EQT $31B

Guardian Research Sep 29 5 clicks

FTAI Aviation (FTAI US) – The Engine Shop That Owns the Engines

FTAI Aviation’s engine-exchange model swaps CFM56 engines in days rather than 200-day overhauls, driving Aerospace Products adjusted EBITDA…

FTAI $17B

Bristlemoon Capital Sep 29 2 clicks

The Case for Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta’s Enterprise Platform creates a third-party compute outlet, reducing the cost of overbuilding AI infrastructure while adding…

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 29 1 click

Joby Vs. Archer: The Race Is No Longer About Who Certifies First

Archer Aviation's Insitu, Wisk and SkyGrid acquisitions add military and drone revenue, cutting FAA-certification dependence and leaving…

BA $152B

The Alpha Analyst Sep 29 2 clicks

Thursday, October 1, 2026

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