Thursday, October 1, 2026

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Oct 1 DASH $81B

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

MBI Deep Dives

Oct 1 ADSK $44B

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Cestrian Capital Research

From X

@BrokenMoats Jul 29

Broken Moats on X

Oil up 7.5% and $EXPE continues its squeeze because it's simply the opposite end of the ai trade? How long can these on/off trades define every stock in the market? Crazy

@convequity Jul 29

Convequity on X

Ciena — the underappreciated coherent layer As AI clusters move beyond a single building into campus and multi-site “scale-across” architectures, short-reach optics hit their physical limits. Signal distortion and dispersion make conventional detection unusable over distance. $CIEN’s coherent technology recovers both amplitude and phase, reconstructing a clean signal where others cannot. The market remains focused on the high-volume short-reach stack — pluggables, CPO, and related optics inside the data center. Coherent is the quieter, longer-reach piece that becomes essential once clusters themselves become distributed.

@red_dog_capital Jul 28

Red Dog Capital on X

Wen $BSP borrow? The Valeant of B2C software. I was told that all software is a zero bc of Claude?

@red_dog_capital Jul 28

Red Dog Capital on X

$QXO short has been okay

@RagingVentures Jul 28 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Like $GLW, I wish margins/ROIC were higher and capital intensity were lower at $AMKR. Yet, with the stock now back around $46 (largely flat YTD and cut in half from its highs), the Amkor setup now seems pretty good over the next 3-4 years due to their scale, new capacity investments, and the increasing importance of advanced packaging capabilities.

@irbezek Jul 28

Ian Bezek on X

@SowingAlphaSeed Of the US indexes, my personal holdings are now most correlated to $dia. Weird world.

@BrokenMoats Jul 28 1 click

Broken Moats on X

Dispersion trade creating opportunities of fundamentals not matching price: $FDS now higher than the before SaaS (apocalypse) took off. Hard to argue they are not one of the most disrupted names across data services / software $PAYC $PCTY $WDAY - same challenges across software names and pricing / seat pressures. These names also face heavy increased competition from Rippling $EXPE - Hotels going direct has already started and OTAs should see supply pressure and take rate pressure $RNG - Does anyone legitimately believe they're an AI play? Agents don't need calls, don't need phones, and you don't need RNG to provide those agents - especially as every sb and up software provider and crm/erp Many others across software but also in financials, industrials and consumer

@convequity Jul 28

Convequity on X

Rocket Lab just won its biggest launch contract ever: $266 million from the U.S. Space Force The deal covers 12 guaranteed suborbital test launches (with options for 6 more) for missile-defense work. First flight no earlier than the end of 2026, mostly from a brand-new Rocket Lab site in Alaska. This locks in real multi-year defense work and a new U.S. launch site. Solid backlog signal for $RKLB — and exactly why we keep the position in the Convequity portfolio.

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $14B

scuttleblurb Oct 1 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

TLN $15B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $11B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 3 clicks

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 1 click

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $40BCBRS $40B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1 1 click

Occidental Petroleum: Great Inventories To Ride Lower Structural Capex In The Industry

Occidental Petroleum could benefit as declining shale inventories and high rates curb industry capex, tightening oil supply against demand…

OXY $55B

Gen Z Investor Sep 30

EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 - Why Europe's Gas Shortage Has Not Lifted The Stock

EQT remains tied to roughly $3 Henry Hub gas despite European prices near $23 per MMBtu, with US LNG export capacity limiting overseas…

EQT $31B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 2 clicks

POSCO Holdings: A Resource Conglomerate Still Priced Like A Distressed Steel Mill

POSCO Holdings trades at a 78.6% P/B discount as lithium, gas and trading profits reshape the steelmaker, while capex and lithium prices…

PKX $17B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 30

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales…

OTIS $24B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 29 1 click

Portfolio and performance update, September 2026

Portfolio returned 65.7% through September 28 versus the S&P 500’s 13.2%, while backing Tourmaline, EQT, Athabasca and SLB on gas demand…

EQT $31B

Guardian Research Sep 29 5 clicks

FTAI Aviation (FTAI US) – The Engine Shop That Owns the Engines

FTAI Aviation’s engine-exchange model swaps CFM56 engines in days rather than 200-day overhauls, driving Aerospace Products adjusted EBITDA…

FTAI $17B

Bristlemoon Capital Sep 29 2 clicks

Kimberly-Clark's Dividend And Safe Haven Trade Outweigh Post-Merger Risks

Kimberly-Clark's 5% dividend yield and Kenvue merger upside outweigh Tylenol litigation risk after a 30% share-price decline.

KMB $32BKVUE $33B

Zoltan Ban Sep 29 1 click

Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings

Zscaler posted 25% Q4 revenue growth to $898.2 million and a 24.3% operating margin, but guided FY27 growth down to 16.6%-17.5% as free…

ZS $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 3 clicks

Uber: The Aggregator on Trial

Uber's $193 billion in gross bookings and $10 billion in free cash flow contrast with modest stock gains as autonomous vehicles and…

DASH $81B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 28 2 clicks

Veeva Systems (NYSE: VEEV) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q2 FY1/27 - Significant Gains To Bank

Veeva Systems moved VEEV to Distribute at $277 after a 41% gain in less than two months, despite Q2 revenue growth of 18% and 45% EBITDA…

VEEV $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 4 clicks

On’s Premium Playbook

On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…

ONON $11B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 28 4 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck

Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.

NKE $53B

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 28 3 clicks

CBOE · long

Cboe Global Markets INC

Cboe Global Markets trades near $232, with a roughly $24.3 billion market cap, net cash and a 16-17x forward P/E.

CBOE $29B

Value Investors Club Jun 30 3 clicks

Hindsight Capital

Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…

TDG $60BTPL $23B

Rebound Capital Sep 27 6 clicks

New Buy : Honeywell Aerospace $HONA

Honeywell Aerospace, newly spun off as HONA, fell 41% from post-listing highs after Q2 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks delayed revenue…

HONA $49B

D Invests Sep 26 13 clicks

Thursday, October 1, 2026

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