Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
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Sunday, September 27, 2026

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💥A Bright Line to Bankruptcy💥

U.S. Treasury yields climbed above 5% as markets priced further Fed tightening, while Meta’s AI-agent announcement lifted risk appetite despite OpenAI security incidents.

META $1.8T
PETITION 2 clicks

From X

@Fierce__beast

Fierce_beast on X

Another issue with $ROL is that now that it is becoming easier to set up a business and website and market on the web, if i was a pest technician I'd think about how to go solo so that I don't need to give up all my margin to someone else just because they are setting up all the lead gen infrastructure. Not surprised to see pretty bad non-compete terms with $ROL imposes on their technicians. Already seems to be another advantage that is facing pressure.
@Fierce__beast 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

It was not looking good even in 2024 there was a lot of evidence for structural pressure on web traffic viewership and thus the value of led gen website providers, which primarily provided content and information. Never expected $ROL, a provider of pest control to become an AI loser But with Muse being able to negotiate prices and price transparency issues now becoming much more efficient a lot of business models could shrink pretty significantly that relied on lazy consumers. I remember in NYC i was once had to call pest control and negotiated with maybe 5 providers, the prices were absurd and it was such a waste of time. Deploying a muse agent to do this dirty work would have been so helpful
@AltayCapital 2 clicks

AltayCap on X

The only industries where obvious capital allocation lingo is useful is leasing / banking / insurance. It's much more nebulous in operating businesses that do real things. $AER ceo saying the cheapest commercial jets are on the NYSE under the ticker AER is easy to understand. As math is pencilling out cost of new orders vs buying back stock. $FOUR competes in the real world. Leasing/banking products are fungible. Much harder biz to forecast. Cap allocation is still important, but a lot harder.

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Reddit: DCF Valuation

Reddit’s DCF values shares at $225, driven by international ARPU expansion from $2.2 to $8.3 by 2035 and 38% operating margins.

RDDT $28B
Hated Moats 7 clicks

The Agents Revolt

Meta’s Muse reached 2.8 million downloads in two weeks, using AI agents to automate insurance shopping and erode customer inertia that…

META $1.8T
Net Interest 6 clicks
PSKY · short

Paramount Skydance CORP

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is a levered media conglomerate expected to merge with Warner Bros. Discovery in the third quarter.

PSKY $12B
Value Investors Club 4 clicks

Too Big to Succeed

JPMorgan’s $5 trillion balance sheet and $63.7 trillion derivatives book make Jamie Dimon’s eventual successor one of banking’s hardest…

JPM $890B
Net Interest

Thinking Notes

AI capex rests on coding-centric benchmarks, cheap-model commoditization and circular financing: OpenAI’s $60 billion annual Oracle…

NVDA $5.5TORCL $419B
Bearstone

Thoughts on PayPal Buyout Offer

PayPal faces a $60.50-per-share buyout offer from Stripe and Advent, with a rejection or counteroffer above $80 viewed as more likely.

PYPL $45B
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