Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Sunday, September 20, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Barbarian Capital on X
Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK
Chris Camillo on X
@Liquidn8w @KULOLO808 I don’t have a big enough position in $U to warrant a deep research dive, so not much more to say rn.
Trevor Scott on X
@accrued_int @AndrewRangeley Halfway through but I'm really enjoying your $NTDOY bear points.
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 ALM $4.1BJXN $8.8B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.4B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.7B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.6B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 4733 $4BSGE $12B
Brookfield of Dreams
Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…
Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.
$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest
Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…
Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents
DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…
Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade
Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…
Petri Dish Reports 2 clicks
QNT: The 100× Question
Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…
Generac: Amazon Gives The Story More Credibility
Generac’s $2.4 billion Amazon generator agreement for 2027-28 anchors its data-center growth thesis, with 30% projected revenue growth in…
Fernanda Galvez Jalil 
Deep Dive: Grab Holdings ($GRAB)
Grab generates 53% of revenue from delivery, 36% from mobility and 10% from financial services, using its Southeast Asian marketplace to…
Wheaton Precious Metals: The Premium May Have Outrun The Fundamentals
Wheaton Precious Metals trades near $150, above its $99–$139 DCF range, despite 61% net margins and 88% year-over-year revenue growth from…
Alexander Grover 
Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)
Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…
MGRC · long Mcgrath Rentcorp
McGrath RentCorp's conservatively financed hard assets, pricing growth and a struggling competitor, WSC, underpin the long thesis.
(Idea) The Energy Sector In Colombia And Venezuela Is At An Inflection Point
Colombia and Venezuela are opening oil sectors to outside producers, as Venezuela offers producing blocks and Ecopetrol seeks capital for…
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
StandardAero: Largest Independent Aerospace Engine Aftermarket Firm
StandardAero’s exclusive engine licenses and LEAP aftermarket position underpin a projected rise in LEAP revenue from $100 million in 2025…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (08/28/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup tracks Dick’s Sporting Goods’ Foot Locker setback and Brown-Forman’s internal debate over a potential Pernod Ricard…
QXO Inc.
QXO is building a North American construction-products distributor through Beacon, Kodiak and TopBuild, targeting $18.1 billion of combined…
Research & Analysis: AEVEX (NYSE: AVEX)
AEVEX faces an eFY27 contract rollover after buying maritime drone maker BlackSea for $650 million, testing whether its 55-nation pipeline…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
Ondas Inc. (NASDAQ: ONDS) q2’26 Earnings Update
Ondas reported $83 million in Q2 2026 revenue and seven acquisitions year-to-date, building its Ondas One autonomous drone platform around…
ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
ACI Worldwide’s payment software segment grew 9% with a 48% adjusted EBITDA margin, while the company targets 50-60% of operating cash flow…
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