Friday, September 18, 2026

Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.

FICO $21B

Steve Eisman Sep 18 2 clicks

Sep 18 NTDOY $61B

$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest

Yet Another Value Podcast 1 click

Sep 18 DASH $84B

Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents

MBI Deep Dives 1 click

From X

@leevalueroach Sep 7 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

@JacobWolinsky Yeah it was so hyped I didn't even bother to read it. Might read it now that $NKE is crashing.

@leevalueroach Sep 7 3 clicks

Lee Roach on X

I remember back in the day all of the growth investors and VC dorks were talking up this book so much. It was literally the Bible for growth investors. But now that $NKE is in the dumps and the stock has cratered I don't see anyone diving in here trying to buy this company on the cheap. But I guess when it had a 1% free cash flow yield that was all good.

@leevalueroach Sep 7 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

When does McDonald’s $MCD become a buy? I estimate $100 billion of real estate here on a $180 billion market cap and $220 billion enterprise value. Trades at like 15x EBITDA. I usually look at small companies but some of these larger ones are looking interesting. https://t.co/RnRauvu28K

@convequity Sep 7

Convequity on X

GPT-6 Astra: scaling still works. Algo is the larger remaining gap. Astra shows both scaling laws and algorithms are still progressing. It is reportedly distilled from a 10T+ teacher named Bel. Maybe with $NVDA Vera Rubin and the next compute generation coming online, 10T+ becomes the new standard and performance keeps compounding. That means continued — even accelerating — demand for AI infra. The more interesting signal is algo. IMO we are still just touching the surface of how algorithms can improve. There is still a large gap between SOTA perf/watt and the human brain. GPT-6’s recurrent depth is the part that stuck with me. CoT / test-time reasoning lets the model write intermediate steps out as tokens, then produce a better final answer than a direct reply. Recurrent depth is different. It lets the model think longer and harder in hidden space before any word is emitted. Not just write the thinking out. Think harder on each next bit of the word. I am perplexed this arrived so late in GPT-6. Stable Diffusion introduced and spread this kind of latent iterative method in image generation ~5 years ago. The main reason it came so late: hidden thinking is harder to safety-check and monitor than explicit CoT. That constraint is real. It is also more human-like. People do not narrate every step. Plenty of global-max algorithms are still unimplemented for similar reasons. Models only get stronger from here.

@ChrisCamillo Sep 7

Chris Camillo on X

@Quantum8AI maybe, maybe not but i’ve already made year after year of unreal gains in AI stocks as opposed to having money parked in $TSLA so even if it plays out that way i’m ok with the trade off

@ChrisCamillo Sep 6

Chris Camillo on X

Been getting the same pushback on my $TSLA cybercab take for yrs: “you just don’t get it.” Meanwhile, the opportunity cost of parking capital in $TSLA during this period of stratospheric returns across AI winners would have been catastrophic. If robotaxi starts showing signs of being 5x bigger than I’m modeling, or when optimus materializes, I’ll happily lean into the trade late. Until then, I’m continue to allocate capital where I have better visibility into what I can actually observe vs. speculative scenarios that are years out. no hate to the tesla fanboys. your win if it happens won’t be my loss

@leevalueroach Sep 6

Lee Roach on X

There will be a point where I just slam my nuts on the table and buy $LULU. Too much hate. The more you guys hate it the better a contrarian signal. https://t.co/bZvCjLOkvk

@ACapitalLP Sep 6 3 clicks

A Capital on X

$FLEX pre-spin interesting in $100-$105 range.

Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade

Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…

PL $6B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 18 2 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/18/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers organized retail crime, Home Depot’s centralized operating missteps under Bob Nardelli, and research updates on…

HD $305B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 18 1 click

QNT: The 100× Question

Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…

QNT $2B

Mispriced Assets Sep 18 3 clicks

Deep Dive: Grab Holdings ($GRAB)

Grab generates 53% of revenue from delivery, 36% from mobility and 10% from financial services, using its Southeast Asian marketplace to…

GRAB $13B

Rebound Capital Sep 18 1 click

DeFi Development: The Clarity Act Failure Tests The Solana Treasury Thesis

DeFi Development’s Solana treasury strategy faces dilution, preferred dividends and tight liquidity after a 50% rally, with $4.3 million of…

DFDV $212M

Dorine Cherop Sep 18

Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)

Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…

UCTT $3.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 18 1 click

Anterix: The Spectrum Case Is Real, But The Chart And The Insiders Say Wait

Anterix’s 900 MHz spectrum could be worth $2.5–$7 billion, versus a $1.41 billion enterprise value, but insider selling and lumpy…

ATEX $1.7B

The Market Auditor Sep 18 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Cooper Companies, Sturm Ruger, Grab Holdings, Boston Omaha

Special-situations survey flags Cooper’s $3 billion buyback, Grab’s $900 million repurchase, and Beretta’s $44.80 partial tender for Sturm…

COO $10BRGR $663M

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 18 1 click

House of Weichai

Weichai Power built a global engine group through Baudouin and a 46% stake in PSIX, positioning both for large-bore generator demand from…

PSIX $1.1B

Maius Partners Sep 17 2 clicks

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…

STM $47BNVTS $3.3B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 17 1 click

Diamond Estates: Research Note

Diamond Estates Wines & Spirits plans to expand grocery and export sales, invest in six brands, and improve winery operations through FY29.

LSDAF $1.1B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 17 2 clicks

Problems at Jackson Financial ($JXN)

Jackson Financial administers $287 billion in retirement accounts while a report says its captive, hedge-loss installment plan and…

JXN $8.8B

Hunterbrook Sep 17 1 click

Copart 4Q26 Business Update

Copart's U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5% in 4Q26, largely from one customer loss, while international insurance units rose 11.2% and…

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Memos Sep 17 3 clicks

Viridian Therapeutics: Two Products, One Commercial Buildout

Viridian Therapeutics is building a shared commercial platform for Lumvoa and investigational elegrobart in thyroid eye disease, with…

VRDN $2.5B

Equity Eagle Sep 17

Broadcom q3’26 Earnings Update

Broadcom’s AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year, reaching roughly 80% of $21 billion in Q3 Semiconductor Solutions sales as…

AVGO $1.7TGOOGL $4.3T

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 17 1 click

PBF Energy: Even If It's Cyclical, I'm Not Passing It Up

PBF Energy benefits from elevated crack spreads as refinery capacity cuts and oil prices support margins, with 67.5% of spread increases…

PBF $8.5B

Andres Veurink Sep 17 1 click

Vizsla Silver (VZLA)

Vizsla Silver's Panuco project in Sinaloa remains shut after nine workers were found dead, delaying construction of a fully funded 17.4 Moz…

VZLA $2B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 17 1 click

DiamondRock Hospitality Company: Still A Buy, Though Not As Cheap

DiamondRock Hospitality raised 2026 guidance after Q2 RevPAR rose 7%, AFFO climbed 25.7% to $0.44 a share, and net debt to EBITDA reached…

DRH $2.5B

Philip Wang Sep 17

Figure Technology (FIGR): The "Hypoport of America" Growing 100% With 55% EBITDA Margins – and Priced Like the Story Is Broken

Figure Technology's HELOC platform grew Q2 2026 revenue 113% with a 54.6% adjusted EBITDA margin, while shares trade 57% below January's…

FIGR $7.9B

Substack von Philipp Sep 17 2 clicks

EFXT · long

Enerflex LTD

Enerflex, a $3 billion natural gas infrastructure and equipment company, blends contracted energy-services cash flows with equipment…

EFXT $2.8B

Value Investors Club Jun 19 2 clicks

Friday, September 18, 2026

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