Monday, September 14, 2026

The Big Short Partners Reunite: Rates, AI, Gold and Two Stock Picks | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 75

Steve Eisman, Vincent Daniel and Porter Collins discuss Treasury buybacks, OpenAI risk, gold, hedge fund shorting, and live short ideas including Golar and Glass House.

NVDA $5.4T

Steve Eisman Sep 14 5 clicks

Sep 14 MDT $116B

No Cap? Currently Capped by Three Hundredths of a Percent: Medtronic’s MiniMed Split-Off Odd Lot

Rod’s Ruminations 4 clicks

Sep 14 META $1.7T

Meta’s Trojan Horse for the Consumer Internet

MBI Deep Dives 1 click

From X

@BrokenMoats Sep 14 1 click

Broken Moats on X

$BSP lockup comes right at the end of the year....might want to file that date away, and go read the S1. Difficult to find a more flawed business model and aggregios valuation then this. It is Upland reincarnated and perhaps Valeant if they start getting dodgy on their receivables as financing starts drying up. BSP business is simply a game of removing almost all costs of broken, zombie software companies (bring r&d to near zero, remove a bulk of the employees, jack the price to any residual customers, report improved metrics, do not report the metrics you do not want to show (stopped reporting NRR, other metrics post IPO). An Italian based rollup of a collection of 2012 point solutions (Vimeo, Brightcove, Eventbrite, AOL (yes that AOL), and a bunch of others that were failed investments on their own right and in decline. Very little in shared synergies. The cadence of deals and size of deals has been dramatically increasing since 2003 (as you would expect). sub 300m in 2023, 800m in 2024, 2B in 2025, and already at 4B for 2026. This law of large numbers will continue to have to scale to continue to be able to show the financial wizardly of improved adjusted profits. Because as the cohorts exhaust the initial boost from price increases and cost cuts the businesses start more aggressively shedding their customer base (increasing the melt of the ice cube), so before these metrics infect their financials they need new deals to over run the melt (not a coincidence deal flow is faster and bigger). And thats the game, the equity price (and future dilution a certainty) (as they are around 6-7B net debt once they close their recent acquisition, this is post the ipo raise too). Once/if the story, law of numbers cannot run anymore to the right with financing, the gig will be up. Plenty of prior versions of this exact model as predecessors just go look at Upland software $UPLD. Won't end well but weird float dynamics with the A shares, IPO, lockup (12/28) and the aggressiveness of software/semi currently that is squeezing lots of more obvious AI disrupted software vendors, so its obvious where their ends up ultimately but might be treacherous on its path there, certainly tough until the float increases to short. Should be fun to watch, and an opportunity once liquidity opens up

@Fierce__beast Sep 14

Fierce_beast on X

what's the future of lead gen comparison websites for insurance like $qnst which owns among other websites, https://t.co/DJYACtuB4d! i could not resist the question https://t.co/DhTidY6YkT

@P_Remarks Sep 14

Prepared Remarks on X

$ORCL investors and employees https://t.co/o4BXT3Vwqp https://t.co/VUFdajk32I

@ACapitalLP Sep 14

A Capital on X

@LepoulpePoulpo $TLN has always had an issue about which bucket it falls in: (I) the IPP bucket ($VST, $CEG, etc.) or the (II) ShitCo Nuclear Bucket ($OKLO, $SMR, etc.) Traders can’t make up their mind…

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 14

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Another 10,000 share buy from the $ALTO Chairman 👀 https://t.co/pPgkaIYFgG

@ACapitalLP Sep 14 1 click

A Capital on X

@dstressedcos I think it’s a question of what multiple to apply to $APTV post-spin…

@stockgutter Sep 14

SG on X

Corcept $CORT Chief Accounting Officer J.D. Lyon sells $1.13m worth of shares per form 144. Form 4 coming soon. Worth noting: 1. this is bigger than his prior few sales 2. other execs have been selling too https://t.co/Slca7DjV6h

@KEDM_COM Sep 14

KEDM.com on X

Penn Davis McFarland bought $ACN at 9x earnings, believing AI chokepoint names are temporary and that enterprise adoption follows the internet's slow curve rather than investors' torrid timeline. Penn Davis said, “With a dividend yield over 5%, we get paid to wait. If our thesis is correct and AI creates a large wave of implementation opportunities, the shares should do extremely well.”

Adobe 3Q26 Update

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Sep 14 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] Amazon grocery, John Deere and AI, picks and pans in P&C Insurance, Copart earnings and the ACV acquisition

Amazon’s refrigerated same-day network has lifted monthly perishable customers roughly 50%, using grocery frequency to deepen loyalty and…

AMZN $2.8TDE $187B

scuttleblurb Sep 14 1 click

Cestrian Rating Actions - Week Ending 11 September 2026

Cestrian initiated Joby Aviation at Accumulate and upgraded Applied Materials and Broadcom to Accumulate for the week ended 11 September…

JOBY $6.4BAMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 14

T1 Energy: G2_Austin Can Change Profits From 2027

T1 Energy’s G2_Austin factory is expected to lift margins and add vertical integration from 2027, but requires substantial financing that…

TE $1.3B

Investor Overview Sep 14

Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) - Q1 FY2027 Earnings: Record CDS Spreads, $88B Net Debt, And The OpenAI Question

Oracle’s $88.3 billion net debt and $90-95 billion capex plan pushed five-year CDS to 215 bps, despite 121% OCI growth and a $664 billion…

ORCL $437B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 14

Adobe 3Q26 Update: Nothing Broken, Nothing Explained

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth was about 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Research Sep 14 1 click

Enel Chile S.A.: Cheap, Profitable, And Operating In Chile's Next Great Energy Revolution

Enel Chile uses battery storage and grid management to turn renewable oversupply into flexibility, lifting H1 2026 EBITDA 3.9% and net…

ENIC $6.1B

Ryan Canady Sep 14 4 clicks

Alarm.com: False Alarm?

Alarm.com, founded after CEO Steve Trundle’s bad home-security experience, has fallen from $105 in 2020 to about $55, testing whether…

ALRM $2.6B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 14 1 click

Barnes & Noble Education: Improving Fundamentals

Barnes & Noble Education is shifting from campus bookstore retail toward recurring-revenue infrastructure for inclusive-access course…

BNED $386M

Given Mahlangu Sep 14 2 clicks

Initiation Report

Zentek initiation report.

ZTEKF $96M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 13 4 clicks

KVHI · long

KVH Industries

KVH Industries is winding down capital-intensive GEO antenna manufacturing and pivoting to an asset-light maritime connectivity business.

KVHI $128M

Value Investors Club May 23 3 clicks

New REIT position: GO Residential (TSX: GO.U)

GO Residential, a TSX-listed Manhattan luxury-apartment REIT, raised about $400 million in Canada’s largest REIT IPO and trades at a wide…

GONYF $499M

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Jan 31

Meta: 4Q25 Business Update

Meta’s 4Q25 revenue rose 24% as AI lifted ad performance, but 2026 costs are guided up about 41% and capex to $115–135 billion.

META $1.7T

Speedwell Memos Jan 29 1 click

How We Made 233% Trading a Starbucks Condiment Bar

A Kalshi contract on whether Starbucks would mention “condiment bar” on its earnings call rose from 30 cents to $1 after the term went…

SBUX $107B

First Strike Research Jan 29

Ryanair’s €256M Fine May Be Tip of The Iceberg

Ryanair’s €256 million Italian antitrust fine targets its OTA-blocking system, while internal documents raise questions about Michael…

RYAAY $28B

310 Value’s Newsletter Jan 28 4 clicks

Mitani Corporation (TYO: 8066): $1.2 bn Japanese Conglomerate at 2.6× EV/EBIT with 30+ Years of Profitability

Mitani Corporation trades at 2.6× EV/EBIT and 8.9× earnings, backed by net cash, a 24% lower share count since 2014, and dividends up more…

MITCF $1.9B

Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing Jan 28 2 clicks

LVMH: 4Q25 Business Recap

LVMH’s 2025 revenue fell 5% and operating profit 9% amid forex and luxury weakness, while Fashion & Leather Goods improved in the second…

LVMUY $226B

Speedwell Memos Jan 28 2 clicks

NLOP - I'm Buying Again

NLOP’s selloff after a weak KBR property sale has created a high-potential IRR entry point.

NLOP $157M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Jan 27 1 click

Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings

Netflix’s proposed Warner Bros. acquisition could preserve or expand theatrical releases, supporting cinema chains such as Cinemark and…

NFLX $511BCNK $4.2B

Base Hit Investing Jan 25

Programmatic DSPs

Entravision’s Smadex AdTech unit generated 104% revenue growth and 378% EBIT growth, becoming the main upside driver after Meta ended its…

EVC $727M

The Mikro Kap Jan 25 1 click

Monday, September 14, 2026

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A Capital on X

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