CVD Equipment Corporation (NASDAQ:CVV)
CVD Equipment is winding down manufacturing, cutting half its staff and weighing liquidation, with $23.5 million of cash and a 130,000-square-foot Long Island property central to…
Sunday, September 13, 2026
Back to today
From X
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Accelerating, sales -14% y/y in Q2, noted Q3 not improving yet implied FY guide is for flat sales (downward revisions to come). Margins benefitted from 1-time financing segment gain-on-sale. Still trading at a premium to higher quality industry leader CDW, makes zero sense.
catechwilliams on X
$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.
Little Owl Research on X
*THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE* 1/6 I’ve been slowly building a position in $RAVE since December of 2023 but since their most recent annual report I’ve been buying much more aggressively…
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT New $50M display upgrade award for the Miami Heat arena. Will be a nice boost to current quarter earnings (FQ2'25). https://t.co/sLAFBEerYi
catechwilliams on X
$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster. https://t.co/KJgK8fXbM4
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping
Investor Letters
All letters- Myrmikan Capital, LLC August 2026
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.6BSUSRF $254M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $246BMCK $100B
- Invenomic Capital Management July 2026
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 DR0 $454MALM $4B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $410MUNVGY $27B
- Aikya Investment Management July 2026
- 1851 Capital July 2026
Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1
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Booking Holdings Deep Dive: An Attractive Setup
Booking Holdings trades at 19x earnings, its lowest since 2022, after a 20% annual decline, with the thesis resting on durable online…
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Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead
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LL Insights 
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USA Compression: Unlocking Efficiency As It Heads To The Texas Stock Exchange
USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…
Ron Ferrie 3 clicks
Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…
Chevron: $100 Oil Price Can Last Longer Than You Think
Chevron’s 2027 EPS could be underestimated by about $4.50 per share if U.S.-Iran conflict keeps oil near $100 rather than forecast $74 to…
Envision Research 1 click
Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound
Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…
The Five Deals That Made Apollo
Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…
HNRG · long Hallador Energy CO
Hallador Energy, a coal producer, is pitched as a long based on five value components and potential 2026 catalysts.
In Conversation: NVIDIA
NVIDIA sees inference, agentic workloads and robotics broadening AI compute demand beyond hyperscalers, while high-speed memory shortages…
Apple: Why iPhone Duo Will Likely Dominate The Foldables Market
Apple’s iPhone Duo foldable pairs a TSMC 2 nm chip, IP68 protection and iOS 27 features, positioning it against Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold 8.
Mark Hibben 1 click
Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate From Do Nothing - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside
Broadcom was upgraded to Accumulate at about $363 after Q3 revenue reached $29.6 billion, with AI semiconductor revenue up 221% to $16.7…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…
Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications
Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…
NET Power (NPWR):
NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…
Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY10/26 Earnings - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside
Applied Materials reported Q3 revenue of $9.1 billion, up 25%, and $2.3 billion in free cash flow as AMAT fell roughly 40% from its June…
Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…
NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy
NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…
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