Sunday, September 13, 2026

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B

Sylence Capital Sep 13 2 clicks

Sep 13 BKNG $117B

Booking Holdings Deep Dive: An Attractive Setup

Capitalist Letters 4 clicks

Sep 13 SVM $2.5B

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Apr 22 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 4/x) i'd bet RFID would drop their objections to $NN's plan in exchange for licensed status in 907-918 (or 908-917Mhz). Seems like a fair compromise to provide terrestrial backup to GPS in the U.S. for free.

@LaughingH20Cap Apr 22

Laughing Water Capital on X

@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 2/x) remember $NN does not want 907-918 MHz. RFID signal is strongest at 915. Europe and China both use ~9 MHz for RFID, with restrictions on power and listen before talk. Why is 11 MHz that includes 915 (9 w/ blockers) not enough for RFID in the US? https://t.co/U9xEpNXW22

@LaughingH20Cap Apr 22 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 1/x) agree- same objectors in different clothing. We need real world tests to prove/disprove interference - $NN has been calling for those tests for 2 years b/c they know the answer. An NPRM can force testing. The real question though is why does RFID need 902-928 MHz?

@MultiplesCap Apr 22

Multiples Capital on X

If a regional "racino" is worth 9.4x, what is Bellagio and MGM Macao worth? $MGM

@MultiplesCap Apr 22

Multiples Capital on X

Interesting to see the recent price action in $MGM, is the market finally waking up to the massive valuation gap? Trading at ~6.0x EV/EBITDAR (using standard rent multiples) Private Reality: The Northfield Park exit closed at a ~9.4x implied EBITDAR multiple Sector Anchor: Current buyout offers for $CZR setting a peer floor at ~9.5x. Management is effectively shorting this spread, divesting regional assets at 9x+ and buying back it's own shares, outstanding shares down 50% over last 5 years. #ubercannibal

@DOMOCAPITAL Apr 22

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Sidoti raises $PBI price target to $20: https://t.co/d1B7rmSGYC

@mavix_leon Apr 22 2 clicks

mavix on X

Evolution $EVO Q1 '26 results: ▫️Revenues -1.5% *Live Casino -3.2% *RNG +8.2% ▫️EBITDA -1.9% ▫️EBITDA margin of 65.4% (vs. 65.6%) ▫️Profit -1.1% ▫️EPS +2.1% ▫️OCF -4.3% ▫️Europe decline continues die to regulation, while other regions show good progress https://t.co/0HkW1HexzA

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21

Little Owl Research on X

Fantastic report. Huge value proposition for POS originators, very scalable. RBDT could become a meaningful part of the business (cherry on top), but its comparatively more difficult to underwrite. I’m happy to hold my shares just for the RPP growth potential. Long $VBNK https://t.co/8DuwRpY8gt

Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead

Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…

NTDOY $57B

LL Insights Sep 13

AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's…

ORCL $437B

Steve Eisman Sep 11 2 clicks

USA Compression: Unlocking Efficiency As It Heads To The Texas Stock Exchange

USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…

USAC $3.7B

Ron Ferrie Sep 11 3 clicks

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $53B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $73B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $21BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY10/26 Earnings - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Applied Materials reported Q3 revenue of $9.1 billion, up 25%, and $2.3 billion in free cash flow as AMAT fell roughly 40% from its June…

AMAT $385B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.4B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $326M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

HNRG · long

Hallador Energy CO

Hallador Energy, a coal producer, is pitched as a long based on five value components and potential 2026 catalysts.

HNRG $685M

Value Investors Club Jun 15 3 clicks

Keurig Dr Pepper: Beverage Momentum And JDE Peet's Synergies Support A Buy

Keurig Dr Pepper’s U.S. beverage growth and JDE Peet’s acquisition support earnings growth as coffee-cost and tariff pressures ease.

KDP $43B

Value Capital Research Sep 12 1 click

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $359M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale

AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.

APP $104B

The Value Road Sep 10 5 clicks

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $643M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 10 3 clicks

The Williams Companies: A Tough Competitor Tackles The Northeast

Williams Companies faces a revoked Northeast pipeline permit while pursuing growth through Momentum Midstream, Gulf export access and…

WMB $85B

Long Player Sep 10

Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.

Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.

AMPL $1.7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 10

Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)

Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…

KOS $1.6B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 10 2 clicks

BridgeBio Pharma: Attruby Peak Sales Set To Rise

BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…

BBIO $13B

Atticus Analysis Sep 10

TransDigm is still in it for the money

TransDigm’s sole-source aerospace parts generate roughly 70% aftermarket margins, with 90% of revenue tied to owned IP and 80% from…

TDG $61B

scuttleblurb Sep 10 1 click

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Multiples Capital on X

Multiples Capital on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

mavix on X

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