Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1
Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.
Sunday, September 13, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Negligible Capital on X
The fact that I had to check the $HOOD app to make sure this was fake is a pretty good indicator of where we stand https://t.co/2f572Mthh7
Deep Sail Capital on X
@SixSigmaCapital It’s kind of the standard AI stack, Chips than Memory than Optics. But a layer deeper is the question if inference is the biggest theme, than does everyone making their own custom silicon become more mainstream? In that case $MRVL probably is highest beta play there.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Sometimes a simple chart and pun captures the entire thesis. Just go with the $FLO and make bread. https://t.co/VyIYTaVRF1 https://t.co/lGn8FncexY
RiverRoadPartners on X
Stan gave the example of 2001. $CSCO had aggressively grown its backlog every yr through the Internet 1.0 buildout & the Street expected the same in 2001, but instead $CSCO’s backlog plunged. The build was over, & with that equipment demand evaporated. That will happen again. https://t.co/7yB6vDgcl8
Trevor Scott on X
my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.
Myles on X
I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.
Trevor Scott on X
I'll never understand going long $ADBE at 14x '27 when you can buy $CSU.TO at 15x '27. Maybe because it's Canadian listed.
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $509MALM $4.1B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $497B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $236B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $219BMCK $103B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $496M9301 $3.4B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $994MVNP $1.6B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.7B
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A quick update on Deep Dives
MBI Deep Dives will update prior company analyses through year-end, beginning with Uber, while deferring new work on Micron and S&P Global.
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