Sunday, September 13, 2026

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B

Sylence Capital Sep 13 2 clicks

Sep 13 SVM $2.7B

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Hated Moats 2 clicks

From X

@majgeoinvesting Sep 13

Maj Soueidan on X

My Q&A with @mascarosergi is finally ready. “For now, I’ll be calling these chats: Investor Notebook… Over the last few weeks, I’ve been doing a good deal of communicating with Sergi. So many of his X posts talk about stocks I own, like $OCC & $SCIA.” https://t.co/OMLyMQTtQc https://t.co/aEKRUefiVm

@TheBenSchmark Sep 12

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Sometimes a simple chart and pun captures the entire thesis. Just go with the $FLO and make bread. https://t.co/VyIYTaVRF1 https://t.co/lGn8FncexY

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@TidefallCapital Sep 12

Trevor Scott on X

my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

I'll never understand going long $ADBE at 14x '27 when you can buy $CSU.TO at 15x '27. Maybe because it's Canadian listed.

@stockgutter Sep 11

SG on X

$EVTL Reducing the exercise price of options awards is so grifty. It eliminates the alignment with shareholders those grants were intended to create in the first place. In the end this dogshit, low-governance co is going to zero so it may not matter here but as a general proposition don't do this!

@negligible_cap Sep 11

Negligible Capital on X

I simply refuse to believe that $ADBE has over 1 billion monthly active users https://t.co/U7tgBRDhM2

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $54B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $74B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications

Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…

IRT $3.8BCSR $935M

Dane Bowler Sep 11

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $161M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 11 2 clicks

Tsakos Energy Navigation: Watch Those Oil Prices

Tsakos Energy Navigation benefits from higher oil prices and stronger tanker sentiment, but faces long-term demand destruction and…

TEN $1.6B

Long Player Sep 11

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.2B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $364M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $479M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 10 3 clicks

Imperial Petroleum: Buy On Strong Prospects And Substantial Share Repurchases

Imperial Petroleum's record Q2 cash generation, major share repurchases and a $32 million Suezmax sale gain set up another record quarter.

IMPP $256M

Henrik Alex Sep 10 3 clicks

GRLRF · long

Greenland Resources INC

Greenland Resources, a Canadian-listed miner valued near US$140 million, is developing the Malmbjerg molybdenum project in eastern…

GRLRF $154M

Value Investors Club Jun 3

A Growing Business at a Discount to Its Own Cash

GrabAGun’s $68 million market capitalization sits below $98.5 million net cash, while PEW Logistics and ammunition subscriptions target…

PEW $63M

XIX Value Jun 28

$FOX dropped 25% buying $ROKU. Is the market wrong? | Simeon McMillan, Accrued Interest

Fox’s $22 billion Roku deal cut FOXA 25%, but Simeon McMillan argues Roku’s streaming-TV reach, advertising upside and synergies make the…

FOX $25B

Yet Another Value Blog Jun 28 1 click

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…

WING $2.8B

Bearhold Research Jun 28 2 clicks

Staying the course on H&R REIT

H&R REIT’s renewed talks with Blackstone cover some assets, following office and U.S.

BX $94B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Jun 27

Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look

Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…

TDW $4.4B

Stock Thoughts Jun 27

The Biggest Bull Signal On Entravision

Entravision’s lost Meta relationship reset its business model, setting up a bullish case for the company’s recovery.

EVC $727M

The Value Road Jun 26 5 clicks

Duffy’s Last Dance

CME CEO Terry Duffy moves to executive chairman while suing the CFTC over Kalshi’s approval to list perpetual futures, defending CME’s…

CME $99B

Net Interest Jun 26

Adobe Business History

Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Jun 25 1 click

Deep Dive: XPEL

XPEL sells paint-protection film and DAP cutting software, using 90,000-plus vehicle templates to win share from 3M and Eastman.

XPEL $1.2B

Rebound Capital Jun 24 1 click

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Maj Soueidan on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Fierce_beast on X

Trevor Scott on X

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

SG on X

Negligible Capital on X

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