Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)
Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows. Its net cash balance sheet and premium footwear brands support a value case.
Wednesday, September 9, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
$PANW’s margin is Anthropic’s opportunity? (Short $PANW) https://t.co/DdKt1BZqt0
BDC on X
@evanspiegel @elonmusk ... Lets make it happen! $SNAP $SPCX https://t.co/lInJY54AtQ
Lee Roach on X
If $APP e-commerce push is working then watch out. This could be a monster https://t.co/JUTqrG1WZH
Lee Roach on X
@justinian1800 Thanks for this. This is the kind of stuff I like to see on this platform and largely what I have seen from my research on $APP.
Trevor Scott on X
@ValueInvestShow There's always the $LULU $NKE risk on these things! I mean Biden was caught wearing a pair of Hokas..
SG on X
$RGTI Rigetti CEO Subodh Kulkarni dumps $1.897m worth of shares per Form 144. Expect Form 4 by Monday. https://t.co/ZW8zjL4mZe
Broken Moats on X
$VLO $MPC monster moves, and crack spreads continue to blow out, foreign fight for distillate capacity etc....but the cure for prices is always high prices. Seems like we might be nearing the top for the refiners
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 ALM $4.2BJXN $8.8B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $497B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $236B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $243BMCK $104B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.3B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.5B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.6B
Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis
Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…
Qualcomm: Data Center Revenue To Reach $15 Billion In 3 Years
Qualcomm targets $15 billion of data-center revenue by FY2029 through AI accelerators, custom ASICs, Arm server CPUs and hyperscaler wins.
Khaveen Investments 
P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74
Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…
Pinterest: Underlying Growth Remains Stronger Than The Market Thinks
Pinterest’s Q2 showed reaccelerating North American growth, while weaker international trends, AI-related engagement risks and elevated…
Richard Durant 2 clicksA quick update on Deep Dives
MBI Deep Dives will update prior company analyses through year-end, beginning with Uber, while deferring new work on Micron and S&P Global.
Celsius: The Pepsi Put
Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…
On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock
On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…
Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026
U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…
X-Energy Could Be Building One Of Nuclear Energy's Most Valuable Platforms
X-energy targets $1.8 billion in annual revenue and more than 42% gross margins by 2032 through reactor IP, project services and…
Simple Investment Ideas 2 clicks
AppLovin Deep Dive: Not A No Brainer
AppLovin is down 48% YTD after its first guidance miss, with revenue 1% below expectations and EPS 2.5% short, reviving fears of an adtech…
SIRI · long Sirius Xm Holdings INC
SiriusXM, SIRI, combines a 32% EBITDA margin with 3.6x net leverage and a 16% free-cash-flow margin despite elevated capex.
Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival
Airbnb spent 1.1% of 2025 GBV on field operations and policy as regulatory costs persisted; New York’s short-term-rental crackdown cut…
$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…
New Position: Volatility Merchant
A digital market-infrastructure platform dominant in rates and expanding in credit trades at 22 times free cash flow, with 45%+ FCF margins…
Quick Value #322 - FuboTV (FUBO)
Fubo's Hulu Live merger leaves Disney with 70% ownership and resets its 2028 EBITDA target to $300 million; at $10, it trades at 4.2 times…
What I've Been Reading (7/5-7/12)
Meditation Capital favors niche software companies with durable domain expertise, citing AI-driven Braze growth, Workiva’s 2030 targets and…
In Conversation: Cerebras Systems (CBRS)
Cerebras Systems sells WSE-3 wafer-scale AI chips and cloud capacity, with cloud and services rising to 43% of revenue after an OpenAI…
Salesforce Can Lose the Interface and Still Win
Salesforce's 8.62x forward cash flow valuation discounts AI seat cannibalization, while Agentforce, Data 360 and MuleSoft aim to retain…
Under The Hood - Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
Sprouts Farmers Market’s 483-store fresh-food format combines dedicated distribution, curated assortments and long-built site selection,…
MercadoLibre: Valuation Model
MercadoLibre’s sum-of-the-parts model values commerce and payments on FCFF, credit on equity returns, producing a $1,980 base-case target…
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