P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74
Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help story.
Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help story.
$ACA Levered roll-up (4x levered) hodgepodge of low-quality cap intensive commodity businesses w struggling end-markets (sub-scale aggregates, building products, ag). Negative organic growth w unrealistic guidance. Forced to sell an asset to avoid covenant breach. 30x P/E
$DAKT Just won the massive jumbotron project for the new Titans stadium. Estimated to be $180M. Will be the largest set of displays in the NFL. Bills, Browns stadiums to be announced soon. Wouldn’t be surprised if Mitsubishi acquires them given interest in the category.
With contract disputes and litigation set to surge, I believe Burford is well positioned to benefit. Struggling firms will increasingly look to shore up capital—Many cannot afford to wait 2+ years to see the case through. $BUR
Burford’s value prop is high to these firms, and the significant supply spike puts them in a fantastic position to capitalize on the demand for cash. Additionally settlement with Argentine government seems highly likely at this point. Long $BUR
$NX 5% of COGS/ direct input costs sourced from China. Tariffs + zero pricing power, high fixed cost structure + only 30% GMs = 25-30% hit to EBIT. Add 4x leverage, declining volumes, ambitious mgmt guidance while integrating a large acquisition is a setup for a trainwreck.
Lululemon’s Americas revenue fell 8% and comps dropped 12%, while a $134.5 million tariff refund masked weakening underlying margins after…
Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…
On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…
Titan Mining reported Q2 revenue of $25.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $9.6 million as zinc output rose, while advancing its Kilbourne…
U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…
X-energy targets $1.8 billion in annual revenue and more than 42% gross margins by 2032 through reactor IP, project services and…
AppLovin is down 48% YTD after its first guidance miss, with revenue 1% below expectations and EPS 2.5% short, reviving fears of an adtech…
Amazon combines AWS AI infrastructure, model-company stakes and retail automation, with AWS targeting $1 trillion in annual revenue over…
SSR Mining holds $1.8 billion cash with no debt after exiting Turkey, while higher costs persist.
Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers…
LZ · long LegalZoom trades near all-time lows as AI adoption is positioned to accelerate growth.
RBC Bearings' Q1 2027 revenue rose 19.2% and net income 48.2%, while a $2.3 billion backlog driven by aerospace and defense supports growth…
Meta’s free model strategy lifted OpenCode token share from 25% to 40%, building coding-data feedback loops and reducing reliance on…
OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.
Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…
Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…
Equinor’s H1 2026 net income doubled to $7.94 billion as European gas prices rose, but EU energy-crisis measures could curb profitability.
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…
Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…
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