A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.
Wednesday, September 2, 2026
From X
BDC on X
@BoxLongs $SNAP added $250mn in revenue yy and $200mn in adj ebitda. Adj shares outstanding actually decreased 70 bps yy. FCF +400% yy. While everyone knows its a horribly managed asset, the numbers in isolation are MUCH improved YoY while stock itself is down 30% yy.
Ian Bezek on X
@SandBrandyn I bought a basket of software and adjacent in Feb/March. $TEAM most ridiculous example both to the down and now upside... I don't trust the management teams enough to make a concentrated bet on any of these.
Broken Moats on X
$mrna secondary coming in 21.05 minutes
Ian Bezek on X
Atlassian $TEAM now up 214% since April, and +5% YTD. Market very efficiently determining future discounted cash flows from software companies, I see.
Ian Bezek on X
@LocalHero55 @OtterMarket @gatorcapital Post on an even more obscure MHC bank. And yes, $TFSL is a great income instrument, with (eventually) a chunky cap gain exit when they finally convert.
Ian Bezek on X
@OtterMarket @gatorcapital $tfsl is just under a billion when you exclude the phantom shares. I've owned it a long time and very few people care about it either. That said, this NY one is even more obscure
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $131M082920 $890M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $103MEVGGF $17B
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 BLBD $2BMMS $3B
- Protean Funds June 2026 CINT $223MIDDWF $9.6B
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5BDGXX $372M
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8TGOOGL $4.1T
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.1T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $83BHDIH
$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital
Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…
The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising
Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly…
CLF 2026-09-01 Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year
The Bullionaire 2 clicks
[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
GENI 2026-08-31 Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage
Mayank Marwah 4 clicks
Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled
Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…
Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive
Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
CMCSA 2026-08-28 After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound
Max Greve 3 clicks
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
MU 2026-08-28 SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA 6 clicks
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
BHVN 2026-08-27 Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels
Edmund Ingham 5 clicks
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
MT 2026-08-27 ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Capital Connoisseur 3 clicks
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
BREAKING: Modine's Anchor Multi-Billion-Dollar Customers Are Google and Amazon
Modine's undisclosed customer on a more than $4 billion agreement is Google, with potential data-center demand from AWS, Crusoe and others.
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