The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising
Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly sixfold since 2019.
Tuesday, September 1, 2026
Sep 1 JPM $946B Undercovered Dozen: JPMorgan, Sezzle, Kayne Anderson And More
The Undercovered Dozen 2 clicks Sep 1 U $19B Unity Software: The Ad Network Hiding Inside A Game Engine
Jaden Mealy 1 clickFrom X
David Orr on X
Market already confirming this idea. $GOOG $AMZN $MSFT up since that beat. "Neoclouds" should be big winners too. I prefer to bet on the proven big, scale advantaged operators. But if the neoclouds are much cheaper per unit of compute, they could be the better risk adjusted return.
David Orr on X
$SOXX $NVDA down since the big beat... sure looks like a news failure event. I think it'll be electricity bottlenecks that kill the AI hardware bubble. The hyperscalers controlling that bottleneck should be the biggest winner.
Chris Camillo on X
@Kcon2026 didn’t miss that. i was long calls going into $NVDA earnings. my comment was about other investors making outsized bets long or short based mostly on vibes.
David Orr on X
@taobanker $LULU's quality drop was like a bit worse every year, kind of hard to notice. And then all of a sudden...
Lee Roach on X
Well looks like I’m going to get another chance to buy PayPal $PYPL as the market losses its entire ass because the buy out fell through. Back of envelope math here is $42.6 billion EV on $6 billion of free cash flow is a 14% free cash flow yield. Not bad! Growth hogs will piss their pants and cry about how there’s little growth.
Chris Camillo on X
@SkillJoyed you have any idea how much money that would’ve cost me, having capital sitting in $TTWO since $100! in ‘22?
Chris Camillo on X
@SiltasInvest been trading GTA releases and $TTWO since ‘99
Chris Camillo on X
@LownTrevor if you believe that’s the consensus then $TTWO not for you
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $103MEVGGF $17B
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 AAP $2.6BAGO $3.3B
- Protean Funds June 2026 CINT $223MIDDWF $9.6B
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5BDGXX $372M
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 AMZN $2.8TGOOGL $4.1T
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.1T
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $83BHDIH
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $43BBABA $268B
AUR 2026-08-31 Aurora Innovation: Built To Win With Less Than 1% Of The Market
Andras Tory 1 click
Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled
Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…
Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive
Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
BREAKING: Modine's Anchor Multi-Billion-Dollar Customers Are Google and Amazon
Modine's undisclosed customer on a more than $4 billion agreement is Google, with potential data-center demand from AWS, Crusoe and others.
Exclusive: Walter and TWG Global Likely Can’t Use CVNA for Liquidity. Citi Already Secured It.
TWG Global’s roughly $2 billion Carvana stake is already pledged to Citigroup, limiting Walter and TWG’s ability to use CVNA shares for…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
HPE 2026-08-31 Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q3: Margins Matter More Than AI Orders
Deep Value Investing 3 clicks PYPL 2026-08-31 PayPal: Stripe Reportedly Walks Away; Here Are 2 Fallback Options
The Asian Investor 6 clicks TSEM 2026-08-31 Tower Semiconductor: Silicon Photonics Inflection, Buy The Drawdown
Miletus Research 5 clicks
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
BREAKING: Nebius Told Investors Vineland Data Center Was "On Track" Days After Undisclosed Stop Orders
Nebius omitted Vineland stop orders over unpermitted Bloom Energy fuel-cell and LNG-tank work while telling investors its data-center…
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