Monday, August 24, 2026

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including OpenRouter and Metronome.

ADYEY $32B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 5 clicks

Aug 24 STRR $37M

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Triple S Special Situations Investing 8 clicks

Aug 23 ABNB $99B

Core Memory

MBI Deep Dives 9 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo Aug 24 6 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@JakeNapppoa4 i don’t look at price but currently long $BE

@ChrisCamillo Aug 24 7 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

Whether it’s AI demand or player sentiment heading into the GTA VI release, you’ll never get to ground truth by lazily relying on what algorithms surface: copy/paste headlines and viral investor takes often driven by confirmation bias. Go to the source. Small accounts. Real people who actually consume the product, not those clouded by the trade. $TTWO

@BlueDuckCap Aug 24 4 clicks

BDC on X

$SOXX could go down 20% from here and still be up over 30% YTD

@RagingVentures Aug 24 4 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@TheValueist No, the best capital allocation for both $MU and $SNDK would be to either dividend back cash or sit on the cash until the cycle turns down. Buying back stock at around the peak of the cycle and at (give or take) 20x the value of their invested capital base is not smart.

@orrdavid Aug 23 4 clicks

David Orr on X

@grok @jasondebolt Put that another way, you could have known Burry or Einhorn didn't have a real track record back in the mid 2000s, if you'd just realized they were betting huge on the value factor. Same thing with $ARKK through 2021.

@orrdavid Aug 23 4 clicks

David Orr on X

A rhetorical thought experiment: Someone was all in $GME or $AMC stock on Jan 1st, 2021. They sold all of their stock right near the top. That's +1,600% for $GME and +2,500% for $AMC. They simply did nothing for the next 5 years. $GME guy still has a 65% CAGR, $AMC guy an 80% CAGR. These skilled investors?

@AltaFoxCapital Aug 23 5 clicks

Connor Haley on X

@tomicki @Biohazard3737 What’s your $CRL thesis?

@irbezek Aug 23 7 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@davey_juice What did we learn from the all-in $pdd guy crashing out? Not much, apparently.

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 9 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $407B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $14BMRNA $63B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

BHP 2026-08-20

BHP: Stop Calling This An Iron Ore Stock

BHP expects copper to generate over half of FY2026 EBITDA and plans a 40% production increase by FY2035 after profit, free cash flow and…

BHP $223B

On the Pulse Aug 20 1 click

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $19B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 12 clicks

PYPL · long

Paypal Holdings INC

PayPal’s valuation implies free cash flow will shrink 9.3% annually over the next decade, framing a long thesis against its recent revenue…

PYPL $45B

Value Investors Club May 25

Texas Instruments 2Q'26: Not Another Head Fake

Texas Instruments’ 2Q’26 revenue grew 23% year over year and 13% sequentially, supporting management’s view that pricing and demand have…

TXN $246B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 25 2 clicks

Gatekeeper Systems ($GSI.V) FINS Review

Gatekeeper Systems’ revenue rebound is overshadowed by $19.3 million in nine-month operating cash burn, swelling inventory and overdue…

GKPRF $139M

Wolf's Substack Jul 23 1 click

Danaher 2Q'26: Yet Another "Meh" Quarter

Danaher posted 3.0% core revenue growth in 2Q’26, with LTM adjusted EBITA flat at $7.1 billion since 2Q’24 despite a mid-20s earnings…

DHR $149B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 22 2 clicks

RI(N)sing higher

RIN prices near all-time highs reflect tighter renewable-fuel mandates, a shrinking credit bank, and biodiesel production shortfalls.

FF $244M

Treasure Hunting Jul 21 4 clicks

$PRKS: SeaWorld, an 8% cash yield, and a possible 80% short squeeze | Hawkins Entrekin

United Parks trades at 8x EBITDA with an 8%+ unlevered cash yield, aggressive buybacks and roughly 80% effective short interest, while…

PRKS $1.6B

Yet Another Value Podcast Jul 20 2 clicks

Boston Scientific Has to Keep Buying the Future

Boston Scientific built its interventional-medicine portfolio through acquisitions, but early-2000s growth became heavily dependent on the…

BSX $63B

scuttleblurb Jul 20 2 clicks

Getting Paid 10% for a Ringside Seat at the Braemar Circus with a potential 2x payout

Braemar’s BHR-PB preferred trades near $13 against a $25 liquidation preference, yielding 10% amid hotel sales, a $480 million Ashford…

BHR $124M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jul 20 5 clicks

Clear the DEC?

Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.

DEC $972M

The Oak Bloke Jul 18 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] CDNS, SNPS, TREX, WISE, Class I Rails, China

Synopsys and Cadence retain EDA pricing power through entrenched design flows, foundry relationships and high switching costs; AI-driven…

SNPS $74B

scuttleblurb Jul 16 2 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

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Connor Haley on X

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