Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and cash-flow breakeven in Q4 2026.
Tuesday, August 18, 2026
From X
marginofdanger on X
CBBI trades at 0.4x because of its OTC listing and no buyback; projected five-year value is $18.66 without repurchases versus $19.10 with them.
marginofdanger on X
CBBI’s five-year scenarios find reinvesting its $0.50 annual dividend roughly matches a buyback, assuming a sale at 100% of tangible book value. Buybacks lose value if repurchases rise above 0.4x TBV.
marginofdanger on X
Seems like $MLP may be selling its water assets to Maui for $30 million https://t.co/hFHq1VRZ20
marginofdanger on X
The SF housing market is on fire. Should bode very well for $FPH's Candlestick project, including finding financing partners. https://t.co/vFjXoS2coK
marginofdanger on X
Pershing Square trades near 50 times estimated earnings, with $21 billion of fee-paying AUM against a $13 billion equity value and potential post-lockup selling pressure.
marginofdanger on X
$PSUS opening delayed until Ackman pulls his last few relationship cards. Going to be UGLY!
marginofdanger on X
Seems like $PSUS and $PS going to trade worse than I expected. Looks like PSUS could open at a 20% discount to NAV and PS to trade below the $10 bn valuation from the latest 3rd party pre-IPO raise. https://t.co/Ix6uqF61LJ https://t.co/F5UNDNNVMb
marginofdanger on X
@EricTheUmpire If you want exposure, buy $PSH.LN (or $PSHZF) which is trading at around 70% of NAV (implies $35/share for $PSUS). https://t.co/oSFLPLfnqr
Investor Letters
All letters- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 +23.8%
- Ariel Investments Q2 2026
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 +2.5%
- Broyhill Asset Management first quarter -6.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter +17.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter
- Grey Owl Capital Management fourth quarter of 2025 +2.4%
- Grey Owl Capital Management first quarter of 2026 +1.7%
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