Bumble is being taken private
Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.
Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.
$CIFR< $16 👀
Sobering one: of 31 distinct names, only 2 have actually reached my Realistic Valuation target. $EVTL and $RR. Median downside capture on the Sept '25 list: 73% of the decline I forecast. On the 2026 lists: 22-41%. Direction right. Magnitude still pending. This means there is still lots of meat on the bone in many of these names.
What I'm carrying into the next list: → Short arithmetic, not narratives → Overleveraged and Industry Bubble earn their slot → Potential Fraud has to clear a much higher bar → Stop re-shorting $RUM Full table and methodology at Shorts & Squeeze Corner.
Across all 110 position-instances: Average short return: +25.7%Median: +23.1%Hit rate: 81% — 89 of 110 names fell Best call, and it wasn't close: $EVTL Vertical Aerospace $5.00 → $0.58 Top performer on all five lists. The Sept '25 entry is +88%. Even the July '26 entry is +66%. The company flagged going-concern risk in a filing this month.
The rest of the Sept '25 podium — a full year of holding: $EVTL +88% $SMR +77% $LVWR +76% $OKLO +73% $BTQ +73% $SOUN +69% $RGTI +67% 19 of the 20 names on that list fell. Nineteen.
Biggest miss was $RUM. $RUM was my worst pick on four of five lists. Average: -23%. $PLTR: -13% average across four lists. Right on the multiple, wrong on the stock, repeatedly. $CVNA: -4% average — and I had it tagged Potential Fraud.
Free Recaps of the best new stock ideas, delivered every morning.
Sagimet Biosciences' denifanstat enters a fully funded U.S. acne registration trial after Phase 3 results, with SGMT trading below cash and…
CoreWeave is compared with Amazon's early public years, when investors expected bankruptcy amid losses and dependence on outside capital.
Eli Lilly's Mounjaro and Zepbound drove 2025 revenue to $65.2 billion as the drugmaker expands AI partnerships with Nvidia, Isomorphic…
Gladstone Investment's 50% equity portfolio drove NAV and dividend gains, but five holdings make up 44.5% of fair value and heighten Level…
Silvercorp’s falling Ying grades, prolonged GC suspension, El Domo execution risk and Chaarat funding needs weaken its valuation despite…
ServiceNow is shifting from seat-based subscriptions to usage-based AI “Assists,” expanding revenue potential across its enterprise…
Snowflake says internal AI use is lifting revenue and profit, while customers show early implementation success.
Netflix’s earnings raise questions about whether its growth profile still merits a franchise valuation, alongside discussion of Disney’s…
Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…
CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.
DOMO · long Domo is valued as an NOL shell, with the long case tied to the timing and value of its NOL realization.
Onto Innovation's metrology, advanced-packaging and x-ray tools are expected to lift revenue and margins through 2027 as Dragonfly G5 and…
Novo Nordisk has only floated hair loss, while Veradermics’ Phase 3 oral minoxidil data lead a field of licensing and takeover candidates.
Microsoft booked $24.1 billion from OpenAI in FY2026, nearly a quarter of Azure revenue, raising questions over finite, high-margin…
RTX reported 11% sales growth to $25.0 billion, raised 2026 guidance and reached a record $340 billion backlog, while free cash flow fell…
HEICO sells FAA-approved aircraft replacement parts at 30% to 50% discounts to OEMs, gaining customers as restrictive aftermarket contracts…
Northrop Grumman posted 7% Q3 sales growth to $11.1 billion, lifted profit guidance and reached a record $109.6 billion backlog, led by…
Disney trades at 14x FY27 consensus EPS of $7.50 as parks, merchandise and streaming rebuild its franchise flywheel.
AGI Inc trades at 5.6x earnings after a 35% post-IPO decline, despite roughly 30% ROE and resilient INSS payroll-loan growth.
Amazon’s fulfillment network and customer-review base limit autonomous AI shopping agents, whose referrals generate under 0.5% of major…
Have a source we’re missing? Send your pick
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
Anything we’re missing?
Send us a pick