Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
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Ian Bezek on X
Well would you look at that. $COLO $EWY https://t.co/fIuPhTl9TI
Ian Bezek on X
@AurelionRsch There's 2x $MEXX and 2x $BRZU, but there hasn't been enough underlying volatility to cause them to blow up like semis or Korea.
Ian Bezek on X
@SowingAlphaSeed Of the US indexes, my personal holdings are now most correlated to $dia. Weird world.
Ian Bezek on X
@TidefallCapital I think macro beer is still deeply challenged, though I own a little bit of $TAP and $ABEV. I'm much more confident spirits will recover.
Ian Bezek on X
@InvestsCletus That's probably part of it. Day like today $CIB up $AVAL down would play toward that idea.
Ian Bezek on X
Nice and steady bull advance in Colombia $COLO ahead of the new government taking office next month. https://t.co/U3KyV8SBrD
Ian Bezek on X
@valuedrift American $AAL whiffed earnings too.
Ian Bezek on X
Zero-duration bonds are positioned for a return to ZIRP, while EDV or TLT could provide more liquid recession upside than long-term TIPS.
Investor Letters
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SBLK 2026-08-25 Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii WLDN 2026-08-25 Willdan Group: The Q2 Beat-And-Raise Confirms The Inflection
Miletus Research 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
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Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
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