Bullpen.News · the best place to find stock ideas

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9B

Eagle Point Capital 11h ago 7 clicks

24h ago CRWV $34B

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 11 clicks

26h ago META $1.9T

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 4 clicks

From X

@TidefallCapital Oct 6

Trevor Scott on X

@bigpoppastonk @Leetspeaker1337 @dcurras1 It gets smoked like every other cycle. The short $MU risk is that you essentially have every hyper scaler founder seeing AI as an existential threat and given their balance sheet it just keeps running on like David Goggins. Also a huge incentive for govt bailouts given size now.

@negligible_cap Oct 6

Negligible Capital on X

$CRWD at 40x forward sales is pretty hard to wrap your head around CRWD multiple is now above 2021 levels (not to mention yields were at 1% then) https://t.co/Q9s4IiaU6Q

@negligible_cap Oct 6

Negligible Capital on X

I’m not in the business of shorting things that go up but $CRWD at 40x forward sales is pretty hard to wrap your head around CRWD multiple is now above 2021 levels (not to mention yields were at 1% then) https://t.co/cwvddlRrdH

@TidefallCapital Oct 6

Trevor Scott on X

@bigpoppastonk @Leetspeaker1337 @dcurras1 I think $MU is like 6x PE for next year but yes it's too hard for me.

@finphysnerd Oct 6 1 click

Myles on X

A lot of people bullish $NFLX here. I'm tempted to go short. They are losing to doomscroll slop and they have competition on every side investing more aggressively than they are. https://t.co/F0Mw0GYXwa

@leevalueroach Oct 6

Lee Roach on X

Geo Group $GEO down 8% on a massive facility sale seems kind of crazy.

@ACapitalLP Oct 6 3 clicks

A Capital on X

Wondering if $MIAX is a perception vs. reality trade? Perception: Kalshi single-stock perps will cannibalize options and structurally impair $MIAX. Reality: perps are initially limited to mega-cap, highly liquid names, there’s no evidence of cannibalization yet, options volumes remain strong, and $MIAX can ultimately participate in perps itself… 🤷‍♂️

@ChrisCamillo Oct 6 3 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

One of the most important disciplines in investing is constantly updating the best argument against your own position. Not dismissing it. Not looking for reasons it’s wrong. Actually understanding it well enough to decide how much conviction your own thesis deserves. $AMZN has badly lagged the market and many other AI names recently, and I think the counter thesis has evolved. The biggest new threat is agentic commerce. Meta’s Muse and other AI agents could increasingly control product discovery and purchasing, potentially weakening Amazon’s retail and advertising moat. That’s real. But I think it plays out slowly, Amazon will adapt through its own agents, including Project Moonraker, or partnerships that are seeking access into and monetization from the world’s largest ecommerce platform, and in an agent-first world the upside to AWS, Trainium, Graviton and Amazon’s broader AI infrastructure business could ultimately more than offset the advertising dollars at risk. Then there’s Anthropic. A recent barrage of negative headlines around slowing growth and Meta/Microsoft reducing Claude usage has spilled over into $AMZN sentiment. Again, worth taking seriously. But much of that narrative looks incomplete. Anthropic’s revenue growth remains extraordinary, its IPO appears very much alive, and its massive long term commitment to AWS remains intact. We are still early and one can make a strong argument that AWS has more to gain from an open source first AI world than it would lose from Anthropic’s and OAI’s relative weakness, if it even plays out that way. And now sharply higher diesel prices create another near term headwind to Amazon’s shipping margins. That’s real too. But either fuel prices normalize or as with past cost inflation Amazon eventually passes much of the higher cost through while continuing to drive down fulfillment costs. I don’t need the counter thesis to be wrong to own $AMZN. I just need the bull thesis to be more right.

Free Recaps of the best new stock ideas, delivered every morning.

Read past recaps

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

META $1.9T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 26h ago 8 clicks

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 26h ago 2 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

NFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research 29h ago 6 clicks

Liberty Global: Things Got Much Worse, But I Am Still Greedy

Liberty Global faces VMO2 restructuring-priced bonds and Ziggo unsecured yields near 16% after owners extracted £5.15 billion since 2021.

LBTYA $2.8B

Andrew Mach 30h ago 1 click

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 51 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research 45h ago 5 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 15 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 11 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 21 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 24 clicks

LLY · long

LILLY (ELI) & CO

Eli Lilly trades at 33 times this year’s earnings and 26 times next year’s, versus roughly 12 times for big pharma peers.

LLY $1.2T

Value Investors Club Jul 18 1 click

Kraft Heinz: The Boring 2027 Long That Doesn't Need A Rich Multiple

Kraft Heinz expects brand investment and productivity gains to restore sales growth and protect 2027 margins against 4-5% cost inflation.

KHC $28B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 15 1 click

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

ASML $631B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 15 11 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…

MRVL $208B

scuttleblurb Oct 15 12 clicks

AeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Notice

AeroVironment's $465M LOCUST laser award and earnings beat support its 2027 growth outlook despite government budget uncertainty.

AVAV $6.2B

Melissa Tucker Oct 15 6 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.2BVAL $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 15 39 clicks

Why Broadcom Is My Largest Stock Holding Today

AVGO $1.6T

Fundamental Options Oct 15 2 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $109B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 86 clicks

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Nvidia’s Ian Buck says CUDA’s software ecosystem, GPU flexibility and annual Vera Rubin upgrades lower token costs as agentic AI pushes…

NVDA $5.2T

Key Context by Tae Kim Oct 14 4 clicks

Have a source we’re missing? Send your pick

Recent recaps

Latest recap

Friday, October 16 49 stock ideas

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box Substack von Philipp
Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap Steve Eisman

Read the recap

All recaps

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

129 publications

YouTube 4

Blogs 17

Seeking Alpha 52 of 235

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

88 accounts

Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

189 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.

Anything we’re missing?

Send us a pick

Latest News

Trevor Scott on X

Negligible Capital on X

Negligible Capital on X

Trevor Scott on X

Myles on X

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

Chris Camillo on X

Investor Letters

Recent recaps

Latest recap

Publications we follow

Newsletters 107

YouTube 4

Blogs 17

Seeking Alpha 52 of 235

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors