Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Latest
25h ago STNE $2.3B StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
IWA Research 25h ago SBLK $3.4B Star Bulk Carriers: You Don't Need The Record Quarter
Kevin Avroutskii From X
Broken Moats on X
Shake Shack's $4 million AUV and 20% restaurant margins support new stores despite weaker travel and low-end consumers; at roughly 1x sales, the risk-reward is skewed upward.
Broken Moats on X
Amazon’s supply-chain services could pressure UPS, Saia and XPO on domestic parcel and LTL pricing as demand lags, despite trucking support from enforcement and AI-related flatbed demand.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS on $CENX generating nearly $1 bn in 2026 FCF (v ~$800m consensus) Post this week, that Midwest premium looks solid for 2026… so that volume ramp should translate into higher numbers in Q3 and Q4 https://t.co/dhrEiBFWFf
Chris Camillo on X
@sp3cul8r No. Been a bit since I’ve thought deeply about the short-term risk/reward on $NVDA.
Chris Camillo on X
Too many of you are revving up to make an outsized bet on $NVDA earnings based mostly on vibes. Conviction without an information edge is just confidence dressed up as research.
mavix on X
Will be interesting to finally see the first look of the new Shelly Camera! $SLYG https://t.co/dWIQfPA150
Raging Capital Ventures on X
$META prepares to launch consumer AI offerings https://t.co/cB3kWOricw
Investor Letters
All letters- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 +13.7%
- Palm Harbour Capital second quarter of 2023
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 +15.3%
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
- First Eagle Investments 3Q 2025 +9.2%
- Bireme Capital 2Q22 -1.4%
TTMI 2026-08-25 TTM Technologies: Priced Like A Board Shop, Booked Like A Defense Prime
Jaden Mealy 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
Stories are added via a curated list of writers we follow. Have a source we're missing?
Send your pickThe writers we follow
Every source on this site, hand-picked.
- SG
- Broken Moats
- BDC
- JabroniCoin.USD
- Chris Camillo
- MBI Deep Dives
- mavix
- Charles Frischer
- Maj Soueidan
- Wolf's Substack
- Seeking Alpha
- Lee Roach
- Raging Capital Ventures
- PAA Research
- Farmer
- David Orr
- Triple S Special Situations Investing
- Connor Haley
- Ian Bezek
- Timyan Bank Alert
- AltayCap
- Yet Another Value Podcast
- Yet Another Value Blog
- Nat Stewart
- scuttleblurb
- The Oak Bloke
- Mike
- junkbondinvestor
- Little Owl Research
- The Monetary Matters Network
- Steve Eisman
- Clark Square Capital
- Tim Eriksen
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Bearhold Research
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- ToffCap
- marginofdanger
- The Value Road
- Capital Employed
- Fierce_beast
- Speedwell Memos
- Psyop Capital
- Laughing Water Capital
- The Mikro Kap
- catechwilliams
- Treasure Hunting
- Porter Collins
- Clark Street Value
- Cluseau Research
- John Hempton's Newsletter
- Undervalued Shares
- Value Investors Club
- smallvalue.
- Maius Partners
- Multibagger Monitor
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
- Citrini Research
- Rusholme Capital
- Hunterbrook No stories
- Odds on Open No stories
- Sahil Khetpal No stories
- Sunday's Idea Brunch No stories
- ⚽️📡 No stories
Older Stories
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
Yet Another Value Podcast
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Bristlemoon Capital ZTS 2026-08-13[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
scuttleblurb
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Bearhold ResearchTopics
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
