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TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

NFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research 2h ago 2 clicks

21h ago CRWV $43B

Is The Market Turning The Page?

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 43 clicks

22h ago ASML $660B

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

SemiAnalysis 8 clicks

From X

@red_dog_capital Oct 2 1 click

Red Dog Capital on X

$STK $WDC The cure for high prices is high prices! Demand destruction, substitution, capacity additions, etc. The invisible hand (almost) never fails!

@TidefallCapital Oct 2

Trevor Scott on X

@the_zack_zhu isn't $U skimming this model data here now?

@DeepSailCapital Oct 2

Deep Sail Capital on X

$META Muse is really awesome. Digital personal assistant for no cost. They really nailed the agenetic flow verse that Anthropic or ChatGPT offer.

@pitdesi Oct 2 1 click

Sheel Mohnot on X

I trimmed an $NVDA position yesterday that I’ve held since 2017 and already have extreme seller’s remorse that I did something dumb Moved 1/4 of the position into an exchange fund, the remainder is ~15% of my liquid portfolio.

@negligible_cap Oct 2

Negligible Capital on X

*NVIDIA SHARES RISE 2.5% TO HIT FIRST RECORD HIGH SINCE MAY Where to now? Back at 25x earnings, market cap is now $5.7 Trillion - all time intra-day high for $NVDA https://t.co/wNQJpMx7LT

@convequity Oct 2

Convequity on X

$NVDA is still the cheapest way to produce AI tokens when 150 or more users share one batch. When one user wants the fastest possible answer, the economics change. Our Cerebras note puts the rule in two parts. 1. NVIDIA is the cheapest token factory when 150+ concurrent users share one batch and each user gets a moderate speed. 2. To maximise speed for a single user, the batch has to shrink, so the system's total output falls. That loses money per token unless the faster answers are sold at a higher price. Cerebras ($CRBS) sits at the other end. Its wafer-scale chip gives fast answers to a single user and reaches its best efficiency at 4 users. Like a taxi, it is quick and direct, but it has fewer seats to spread the cost across. The two also differ in how much room each has left to improve. SRAM-based designs like Cerebras have already captured most of their performance upside. GPU fleets often run at low compute utilization today, and that gap is room for future gains and economies of scale, not a permanent cost. So fast inference only pays if customers will pay more for speed. Our view is that a sizeable portion of the market will pay a premium for speed.

@TidefallCapital Oct 2 3 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

$FICO CEO made more comp than $NVDA CEO the past 3 years. Lansing will be fired within 90 days and be immortalized in MBA case studies as the CEO who figured out how to blow up a government mandated monopoly. https://t.co/oyjbp6o9ma

@ACapitalLP Oct 2 1 click

A Capital on X

History will be kind to me for I intend to write it. $OWL https://t.co/J0bP2zt3CO

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CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $43B

Dustin Quasney 22h ago 17 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

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Speedwell Research 23h ago 19 clicks

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

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MBI Deep Dives 26h ago 10 clicks

Berkshire B: Holding, Developing Headwinds Have Yet To Reflect In Stock Price, In My View

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Pearl Gray Equity and Research 27h ago 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…

MRVL $208B

scuttleblurb 29h ago 9 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research 30h ago 24 clicks

TSMC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

TSMC reported excellent Q3 results, guided Q4 revenue growth higher and saw its shares slip despite strong AI-driven earnings momentum.

TSM $2.3T

Cestrian Capital Research 31h ago 8 clicks

Why Broadcom Is My Largest Stock Holding Today

AVGO $1.6T

Fundamental Options 33h ago 2 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SBUX $109BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 84 clicks

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Nvidia’s Ian Buck says CUDA’s software ecosystem, GPU flexibility and annual Vera Rubin upgrades lower token costs as agentic AI pushes…

NVDA $5.2T

Key Context by Tae Kim 41h ago 3 clicks

Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows

CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.

CRWV $43B

The Technology Letter 41h ago 2 clicks

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

TKO $33B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 41h ago 6 clicks

RTX Q3 Preview: Two Growth Engines Make This Aerospace And Defense Leader A 'Buy'

RTX’s $289 billion backlog, including $119 billion in defense, supports growth from defense contracts and commercial aerospace aftermarket…

RTX $247B

Blake Winiecki 46h ago 3 clicks

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $52B

P Equity Research Oct 14 17 clicks

The Tesla Story Is Falling Apart, And A Flying Roadster Won't Save It

Tesla’s Q2 revenue rose 26%, but operating margin fell to 1.4% and free cash flow was negative $1.1 billion as valuation reached 215x…

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Julia Ostian Oct 14 5 clicks

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $660B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 14 23 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $731B

C Jessen Oct 14 35 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $359B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 28 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $86BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 12 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

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