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Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $43B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 15h ago 26 clicks

15h ago MOD $9.2B

Modine Deep Dive

CV's Substack 7 clicks

17h ago APP $88B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Research 14 clicks

From X

@partners_road Oct 4 4 clicks

RiverRoadPartners on X

$PSKY and $ORCL: The cost to insure the debt of both companies against default has converged and is increasingly moving in lock-step, a sign investors are beginning to treat the two credits as intertwined. This appears, to me, a very dangerous game the Ellison family is playing.

@StableBread Oct 4 2 clicks

Fajasy on X

Great analysis on $MSCI @vachelliaequity https://t.co/LSD8XwRB6x

@finphysnerd Oct 3 2 clicks

Myles on X

Adding long exposure (through $IWM and $RSP mainly) makes me feel sick, which backs up my belief that the timing is good to add long exposure.

@TidefallCapital Oct 3 2 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

@TSOH_Investing this is what $nke tried to do unsuccessfully

@irbezek Oct 3 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@coffeesnob @DELAESPRIELLAE Fun because this is 1. my local airport and 2. an $ASR property.

@finphysnerd Oct 3 1 click

Myles on X

@whatsgoingoninm $HHH is a little different. The fee structure is weird and they have a weirder collection of assets, not just a bunch of publically listed stocks anyone can buy. Though no capital returns. Still not a great structure but not as egregious as PSH.

@StableBread Oct 3

Fajasy on X

McCreedy West had “a few weeks” of development (the tunnels that reach new ore) ahead of its miners and no stopes (the blocks of ore being mined) ready to go when Magna Mining $MGMNF (TSX: $NICU) took it over in March 2025. So Magna spent 2025 catching up and missed its H2 2025 grade guidance, shipping ore at 2.64% copper equivalent (CuEq, which converts every metal into copper at set prices) in Q3 and 3.41% in Q4, below the 2.9-3.4% and 3.8-4.4% it guided. 2026 has gone better. In Q2, McCreedy West set Magna-era records for tonnage (98,446 tons) and cash margin, and production costs fell to US$144/ton processed from US$156 in Q1. Through H1 2026, McCreedy West produced 8.62M payable pounds of CuEq (the metal the mill and smelter pay for after recoveries). It needs 7.4-9.4M lbs in H2 to land in the 16-18M lbs guidance range, so repeating H1 would put the year inside guidance. Costs are inside guidance too. H1 cash costs (operating costs plus smelting and refining charges, per payable pound) of US$3.63/lb sit within the US$3.40-3.80 range. All-in sustaining costs (AISC, which add sustaining capital and corporate overhead) of US$4.39/lb also sit within US$4.20-4.70. Both exclude the precious metals stream held by Franco-Nevada $FNV, which buys half the mine’s gold, platinum, and palladium at a discount. Magna says the stream adds US$0.78-0.92/lb at its 2026 budget prices. Magna’s first reserve estimate for McCreedy West, effective December 31, 2025, came to 987,000 tonnes of probable reserves, which Magna says supports three years of production at its 2026 mining rate. Three years sounds short, but CEO Jason Jessup says it’s “in line with the reserves that McCreedy West has operated with since being restarted in 2003 by FNX Mining,” and that Magna “could have extended” the reserves. McCreedy West’s Intermain nickel zone isn’t in the reserves or the guidance. Jessup wants nickel to hold “north of $8” per pound “for at least a quarter” before restarting it, and says Magna could be shipping Intermain nickel to Vale $VALE “within 8 to 12 weeks” of a decision. At ~$7.48/lb nickel, the Intermain restart waits.

@TidefallCapital Oct 3 3 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

@realroseceline Kind of crazy that $APP was at a quarter trillion market cap

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