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Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over cannabis, craft beer and dealmaking.

STZ $21B

TSOH Investment Research 1h ago 3 clicks

2h ago RIG $6.3B

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Cannibal Stocks 3 clicks

20h ago SOLS $9.7B

October 2026 Random Ramblings

Yet Another Value Podcast 73 clicks

From X

@stockgutter 31m ago

SG on X

you should start a thread collecting "mega junk" ideas that may bounce. Here's one: $FRMI. Total shitco down 89% in the past year. And, a large owner just lost a proxy fight so should be presumed to sell. He dumped over 4m shares this week. But Fermi finally has a tenant and signed a deal with AMD, so has resolved some short-term problems. 19+% of float is short. I think they have pressed too far. No position yet but stinkbids are in today.

@kab604 38m ago

kab60 on X

Roger Penske taking $PAG private ~15x fwd earnings, while peers trade ~6-7x (sure there are differences in capital structure+mix but still... US auto dealers are a bargain unless nasty recession and boomer wealth goes 'poof') $AN $ABG $GPI $LAD

@stockgutter 48m ago

SG on X

btw I agree that with this take on the warrants, and how it limits the company's upside. No interest in holding $IONQ directly. https://t.co/HY6SuHuOHE

@stockgutter 1h ago

SG on X

I am a skeptic of the current quantum companies but cannot ignore that $IONQ just doubled its cash hoard from $2B to $4B, selling shares/prefunded warrants at $40 (above market) covered 2:1 by warrants with a strike at $69.46. Not a bad move imo. While I agree with critics that the warrants are a bit oppressive, shitcos will have to pay up one way or another to raise $$ in size. There are worse structures. No position in IonQ rn, but considering selling long-dated calls in the 2x inverse ETF $IONZ - I think the underlying will participate strongly in any junk bounce towards year end.

@kab604 2h ago

kab60 on X

Anyone with BofA's initiation reports on $FIS & $FOUR? 🙏 As always, I'll return the favor by telling you about my 3 favorite ideas, so you can top up your short basket

@finphysnerd 4h ago 2 clicks

Myles on X

I wanna short $SNAP so bad. I think for now I'll hold off until after earnings. https://t.co/TpKqIn7GjC

@aleabitoreddit 5h ago 1 click

Serenity on X

Clearly a macro related drop after CPI numbers came out today and further US rate hike anticipation. Since $KOSPI, $SPY, and Nikkei ended up plummeting. There's too many potential second/third order effects that's hard to map due if $CRWV goes down or frontier labs struggle (given contractual obligations). Rate hikes understandably amplifies a lot of those fears. But I do think everything getting sold off together presents opportunities. If $LITE has take/pay contracts + sold out until 2029 for lasers and is being financed by hyperscalers for 2031 demand. The demand visibility + financing (with counterparties like $MSFT or $AMZN) are too solid that I wouldn't bunch companies in the optical sector together (that already have cash on hand via ATMs or private placement). With a neocloud that requires billions in future toxic financing in high rate environments. I think markets will eventually distinguish nuances from actual profitability, financing, and long term demand sustainability rather than just treating everything as one "bubble".

@aleabitoreddit 6h ago 1 click

Serenity on X

It's interesting to see Elon interacting with finance X accounts out of the blue. Then amplifying $CRWV financing concerns, Chinese memory flooding, to AI investors being gamblers recently. With $SPCX and $TSLA, I do think Elon is a visionary but from how it looks from the outside... Amplifying concerns about competitors does make their financing more difficult as a self-fulfilling prophecy. And multiple posts about Chinese memory flooding after calling Samsung/SK Hynix pricing extortion does harm these supplier valuations... The economic incentives of doing so probably benefits Tesla/SpaceX more in the long run, even if everything goes down together. There's merit to a lot of things (I've been voicing Coreweave concerns about debt interest + rate hikes for the longest time...). But much like high end memory flooding to nuances of "No crying in a Casino" when the $AVGO CEO comments were regarding OpenAI ARR datapoints... were missed. You can throw rocks at others when a glass house is propped up by passive index flows

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A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

TKO $33B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 12h ago

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $62B

P Equity Research 19h ago 16 clicks

Peabody Energy: The Recovery Case Depends On Centurion

Peabody Energy’s recovery case hinges on Centurion, coal-market leverage, capital allocation and balance-sheet strength amid commodity…

BTU $3.1B

CAN Analyst 22h ago 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $86BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research 25h ago 10 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global 25h ago 9 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global 25h ago 8 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global 25h ago 11 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks 31h ago 6 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $15B

Best Anchor Stocks 44h ago 21 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 7 clicks

SITE · long

Siteone Landscape Supply INC

SiteOne Landscape Supply, a 673-branch distributor, reaches roughly half of U.S.

SITE $3.8B

Value Investors Club Jul 10 2 clicks

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…

GPI $2.7B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

The Week That Was

Treasury yields surged as the Fed’s expected hike shifted to December, while Micron beat guidance and forecast $61.5 billion in quarterly…

JBL $31B

CV's Substack Oct 2

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

LEN $17BMRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Expert Call | Tower Semiconductor

Tower Semiconductor faces questions on 8-inch capacity, a 9,000-wafer silicon-photonics conversion and demand from 1.6T optical modules.

TSEM $26B

P Equity Research Oct 2

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Boeing F/A-XX Win: A Surprise Blow For Northrop

Boeing won the $20 billion Navy F/A-XX contract after securing the Air Force F-47, concentrating U.S.

NOC $68B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 2

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $35BIRDM $4.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

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