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Sunday, November 15, 2026

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Fajasy on X

DigiPowerX $DGXX said on October 13 that it "did not issue any shares" under its ATM program in Q3. $DGXX's Q3 10-Q, filed November 13, shows 2.85M shares issued for cash in Q3 for $11.3M, and counts them among the 30.8M shares it sold through the ATM in the first nine months of 2026. The share count rose 46% this year, from 69.4M at the end of 2025 to 101.4M as of November 12. The 10-Q also shows three details the Q3 earnings release left out: 1) Prepayment: Cerebras $CBRS, the AI chipmaker that's the tenant at $DGXX's Columbiana data center campus in Alabama, paid a $12M upfront charge in Q3 for building Phase 1. The charge can be refunded, less what's been spent on finished construction, in some cases before Phase 1 starts, including if $DGXX misses the final delivery date. 2) Spending: $145.5M went into property, equipment, and equipment deposits in the first nine months, paid for with $170.8M of net share sales. 3) GPUs: Equipment deposits rose to $23.9M from $8.5M at the end of 2025, and the 10-Q mentions next-generation $NVDA Vera Rubin systems $DGXX has "committed to purchase," without an amount. $DGXX's Q3 revenue rose 85% q/q to $12.2M, but its $1.0M of net income leaned on $8.6M of gains on its crypto and warrants. Cash was $95.2M and bitcoin and ether were $24.5M as of September 30. $DGXX also expects to close a $200M loan syndicated by Goldman Sachs $GS in Q4 2026 to finish Columbiana, with an unsecured $DGXX guarantee until construction is done. Even with the cash, crypto, and loan, $DGXX is ~$30M short of its 2027 plan (~$350M of capex, mostly for ~10 MW of AI inference capacity and Columbiana's Phase 2) before any Q4 2026 spending. $DGXX expects customer deposits and prepayments to be a main source of funding, and it has already sold $174.7M of the $175M its ATM prospectus covers. At $2.28/share, $DGXX's market cap is ~$231M, an EV of ~$112M after its cash and crypto. If Phase 1 is ready on December 15 as planned, Cerebras starts paying in January 2027, and its $12M prepayment can no longer be refunded.
@StableBread

Fajasy on X

Storm, American West Metals’ $AWMLF copper project in Arctic Canada, can only receive fuel and equipment during the August-September shipping window each year. $AWMLF plans to file its final mining application with the Nunavut Impact Review Board (NIRB), the territory’s environmental review agency, in Q4 2026, after the Nunavut Planning Commission approved the project description. The full review typically takes ~3 years, and the company has been working with regulators for over 12 months. $AWMLF targets a final investment decision (FID) in early 2028, pre-development in H2 2028, construction in 2029-2030, and first copper in 2030. To start pre-development before the full review ends, $AWMLF plans to ask NIRB for an exception covering limited early works, such as fuel storage, the transport corridor, and a construction camp. The schedule in its pre-feasibility study (PFS) runs the NIRB review and environmental assessment through the end of 2028, in line with the ~3 years the PFS calls typical, and ends ~6 months before the Q3 2029 shipping season, when infrastructure construction starts. If the review runs past mid-2029, construction could slip a full year, since fuel and equipment only arrive during the August-September shipping window. Part of the review will also run through the April 1, 2027 handover of land and resource management from Canada’s federal government to Nunavut’s government, although NIRB keeps reviewing projects after the handover. So I treat 2030 as the earliest year for first copper, not the base case. Each year of delay would take ~US$8M off the US$119M NPV at a 7% discount rate.

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