Saturday, November 14, 2026

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp: Deleveraged, For Sale Sign

TCPC $345M

Clark Street Value 10h ago 2 clicks

14h ago OTCM $626M

The SEC Rule That Could Transform Small-Cap Capital Raising | Cromwell Coulson

The Monetary Matters Network 4 clicks

15h ago CROX $7.5B

Q3 Earnings Updates

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter 2 clicks

From X

@Adam_Wyden 4h ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

@ACapitalLP Funny thing is.. just removing the manager / reducing corp prob yields the highest value. CJS is showing 382 of ebitda in 27 w 7 mm of mgmt fee on top… 389. If corp was 15 and consolidated was 374…that’s 200 mm or 2.65 of FCF GROWING ALOT… maybe that’s a mid 40s stock? $CODI

@ACapitalLP 4h ago

A Capital on X

On a serious note, $CODI is one of the more glaring mispricings I’ve ever seen. People can argue whether NAV is $25 or $40/share, but I’m convinced that if you liquidated the entire company tomorrow, the assets would be worth at least 2x where the stock trades today. So why does this divergence exist? And more importantly, what closes the gap? Asset sales, replacing management, simplifying the structure, eliminating the governance discount? You don’t even need the stock to trade at 100% of NAV. What gets it to 80%? And at $12/share, how much downside are you really underwriting relative to the potential upside? That’s the asymmetry that interests me. I just don’t think there’s enough eyeballs on this given the size…

@Mr_Neutral_Man 5h ago

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Taking my kids on an Anthony Bourdain style Queens food crawl Dinner at Astoria Seafood - grilled scallops, cuttlefish, gulf shrimp, halibut and fried calamari $186 Baklava at Al Sham -$13 Pastry at Cafe Noisette - $18 Pokemon cards $GME - $20 My kids’ smiles - Priceless

@Adam_Wyden 6h ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

@ACapitalLP $CODI nobody believes the company can be liberated. The gonnifs will rule the roost forever. Money will get siphoned in perpetuity and dilution will keep occurring… or will it?

@Adam_Wyden 6h ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

@ACapitalLP $CODI !!!!!

@ACapitalLP 7h ago

A Capital on X

- $OWL private credit apocalypse vs. sustainable franchise

@ACapitalLP 7h ago

A Capital on X

The biggest money in public markets is made when perception diverges dramatically from reality. Think of betting on sports on Kalshi/Polymarket. You’re not making a fortune betting on the #1 team to beat the #2 team. You’re making it betting on the 99-to-1 underdog when you realize the odds are completely wrong… A few situations that come to mind: - PSPs ($CIFR, $WULF, $APLD, $RIOT): Financing fears vs. the value of contracted power and development pipelines. - $TLN: PJM regulatory overhang vs. underlying FCF generation. - $FSLR: Fears of losing 45X credits vs. durable domestic manufacturing economics. What other situations fit this framework?

@StableBread 8h ago

Fajasy on X

In 2011, share-based compensation cost the 75 companies in the S&P 500's tech sector 2.2% of their revenue on average. By 2021, it cost them 4.1%, yet 45 of them excluded it from the adjusted profits they reported. At the end of 2022, Intuit $INTU traded at 28.4x the adjusted EPS analysts expected, versus 25x for Microsoft $MSFT. With share-based compensation included, Intuit traded at 43.9x, a 76% premium to Microsoft instead of 14%.

Cerebras: Timely Buying Opportunity After The Collapse (Rating Upgrade)

Cerebras Systems’ $26.1 billion backlog and Oracle Cloud and Microsoft wins support an upgrade after its valuation reset, though the case…

CBRS $26B

JR Research 16h ago 3 clicks

Zoetis: ~13x P/E, But Still in the Doghouse

Zoetis trades near 13x 2026 guidance after a 31% annual share decline, as Q3 revenue and earnings fell and competition from Elanco…

ZTS $34BELAN $13B

Librarian Capital's Research Library 20h ago 4 clicks

Peabody Energy: Delays With Centurion, But The Valuation Is Extremely Compelling

Peabody Energy trades at 2.7 to 2.9 times consensus EBITDA after Centurion delays cut Q4 guidance, with $434 million cash, $297 million…

BTU $2.1B

Bang For The Buck 22h ago 4 clicks

The AI Debate is No Longer Boom vs Bust: Why It’s Time to Go Back to Stock Picking | The Weekly Wrap

AI investing is shifting from boom-or-bust bets to stock picking as data center moratoriums and company results separate winners from…

CRWV $30BCHTR $25B

Steve Eisman 33h ago 6 clicks

The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

AIG $43B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 36h ago 4 clicks

Is Nebius Fucked?

Nebius’ Q3 beat relied on $325 million of one-off partnership fees as it raised 2027 CapEx to $40–45 billion and may need $6–11 billion of…

NBIS $32B

Daniel Romero 35h ago 6 clicks

BGIN: a $34mm tax bill and $31mm of cash

BGIN holds $31.4 million of cash against $34.1 million in taxes payable as first-half revenue fell 85% and self-mining costs exceeded coin…

BGIN $439M

Guardian Research 35h ago 3 clicks

Arcos Dorados Q3: Same Golden Arches, A Fraction Of The Price

Arcos Dorados' Q3 comparable sales rose 15.5% on higher traffic, checks and market share; shares trade at 8.8 times forward earnings amid…

ARCO $1.5B

Kenio Fontes 36h ago 4 clicks

A No-Spin, No-Snark Take On Nebius Group (NASDAQ: NBIS)

Nebius spent $7.3bn in Q3 capital expenditure against $981m of revenue, including $325m in nonrecurring partnership sales, and guides to…

NBIS $32B

Cestrian Capital Research 36h ago 3 clicks

OXY’s Q3: 5 Reasons It’s Ripe for a Takeover

Occidental Petroleum reached its $10 billion debt target early and targets $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion of 2027 free cash flow at $65 WTI,…

OXY $59B

Open Insights 37h ago 4 clicks

NXPI · long

Nxp Semiconductors NV

NXP Semiconductors, the global automotive-chip leader, has delivered 12.5% compounded EPS growth and is presented as a long investment.

NXPI $67B

Value Investors Club May 20 1 click

Buzzi (BZU.IM): Make Italy Great Again

Buzzi SpA, an €8.9 billion Italian cement producer, is presented as the world’s best-managed cement company.

BZZUF $8.7B

Kerrisdale Capital Oct 24

[P] ESTC: Elastic Vesting Goals

Elastic’s vesting goals reveal what management is incentivizing.

ESTC $9.3B

Nongaap Investing Oct 24 1 click

Biographies: Standing on the shoulders of Giants - Week 2 picks

Phil Knight, John D. Rockefeller and North Korean defectors anchor three recommended biographies of ambition, capitalism and survival.

NKE $56B

The Curious Compounder Oct 22

Shaping Dollar Tree into its new era.

Dollar Tree targets 12%-15% annual EPS growth through 2028 as it shifts to multi-price merchandise, refreshes stores and uses data-driven…

DLTR $26B

D Invests Oct 22

Drilling Down on Disposal: Parallels Between Produced Water and Municipal Waste Disposal

WaterBridge and Secure trade at 10–11x 2025 EBITDA despite produced-water disposal economics resembling higher-multiple municipal waste…

WBI $3.4B

310 Value’s Newsletter Oct 21 2 clicks

Sector Story: Flavours & Fragrances Part I - An Introduction

Flavour and fragrance suppliers control 67% of a $40 billion market, earning recurring, protected margins through deep FMCG R&D ties.

IFF $20BDSFIY $29B

Sector Stories Oct 15

Why I bought FTAI Aviation

FTAI Aviation’s engine exchange model, owned fleet and Chromalloy PMA partnership target lower-cost CFM56 and V2500 maintenance while…

FTAI $18B

Kairos Research Oct 15 1 click

Bitmine Immersion (BMNR): DAT Ain't No Strategy

BitMine Immersion, an $18 billion Ethereum digital-asset treasury, faces a short thesis that its DAT model is becoming obsolete.

BMNR $11B

Kerrisdale Capital Oct 8

Stock Story: Next PLC's Capital Return Framework

Next PLC’s 9% IRR buyback hurdle helped cut its share count 53% over 20 years, lifting EPS 418% despite profit growth of just 2% annually.

NXT $14B

Sector Stories Oct 1

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Saturday, November 14, 2026

Adam D. Wyden on X

A Capital on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

A Capital on X

A Capital on X

Fajasy on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

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YouTube 4

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Seeking Alpha 87 of 294

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