The AI Debate is No Longer Boom vs Bust: Why It’s Time to Go Back to Stock Picking | The Weekly Wrap
AI investing is shifting from boom-or-bust bets to stock picking as data center moratoriums and company results separate winners from losers.
Friday, November 13, 2026
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Investor Letters
All letters- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 079940 $486M093320 $626M
- 103 Advisory Group October 2026 AMZN $2.9TGOOGL $3.7T
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 META $1.6TAVGO $1.7T
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $411MFNCHF $520M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $30BNOW $104B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.7BSN $31B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 TUA $588M
Is Nebius Fucked?
Nebius’ Q3 beat relied on $325 million of one-off partnership fees as it raised 2027 CapEx to $40–45 billion and may need $6–11 billion of…
BGIN: a $34mm tax bill and $31mm of cash
BGIN holds $31.4 million of cash against $34.1 million in taxes payable as first-half revenue fell 85% and self-mining costs exceeded coin…
Arcos Dorados Q3: Same Golden Arches, A Fraction Of The Price
Arcos Dorados' Q3 comparable sales rose 15.5% on higher traffic, checks and market share; shares trade at 8.8 times forward earnings amid…
Kenio Fontes 
A No-Spin, No-Snark Take On Nebius Group (NASDAQ: NBIS)
Nebius spent $7.3bn in Q3 capital expenditure against $981m of revenue, including $325m in nonrecurring partnership sales, and guides to…
OXY’s Q3: 5 Reasons It’s Ripe for a Takeover
Occidental Petroleum reached its $10 billion debt target early and targets $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion of 2027 free cash flow at $65 WTI,…
Opera Q3 Preview: Another Great Quarter Ahead
Opera pre-announced Q3 revenue of $182.8 million, up 20%, and $43.2 million in adjusted EBITDA, with Q4 guidance, advertising momentum and…
Gytis Zizys 4 clicks
Nvidia’s Future | My Question Marks
Nvidia’s future is framed around alleged China GPU diversion, tighter export controls and supply-chain risk after Jensen Huang’s claimed…
Qualcomm Custom ASICs?
Qualcomm’s Alphawave SerDes, CPU cores and HBC could support custom AI ASICs as hyperscalers build heterogeneous fleets beyond GPUs.
Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: We Remain At “Stop" After Q4 FY10/26 Earnings
Applied Materials reported Q4 revenue of $10.4 billion, up 53%, and guided to $11.1 billion for January, but the rating remains Stop after…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (11/13/2026)
Tripadvisor’s CEO and CFO will depart after weak Q3 results, while Roblox’s CEO discusses AI and Berkshire repurchases $9.6 billion of…
INTU · long Intuit INC
Intuit, down 60% year to date, is the Nasdaq 100’s worst performer, ahead of declines at Workday and Adobe.
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII
Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…
Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead
Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…
Abbott: Quality Remains, But Exact Sciences Has Raised The Bar For Buy
Abbott’s Exact Sciences acquisition raises leverage, leaving Medical Devices’ 8% growth and 33.9% margin to carry cash flow until…
PV Research 1 click
Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata
Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…
Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)
Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…
Credo Technology: New Position in My Private Portfolio
Credo Technology was added at $170.54 after a 40% selloff, backed by its high-speed AECs and optical connectivity for AI data centers.
Copart's Return To Growth Starts Now: Adair's $1.9B Bet On ACV Auctions
Copart’s $1.9 billion ACV Auctions acquisition targets renewed growth, with EPS accretion expected by fiscal 2028 as insurance…
Robert J. Lake 3 clicks
Keep It Simple
Apple’s 2013 valuation discount and buyback catalyst illustrate how a simple investment thesis can anchor investors through market noise.
Southwest Airlines: A $900 Million Fuel Bill Is Hiding A Different Company
Southwest Airlines grew adjusted unit revenue 20% on flat capacity and operating income 27% despite a $900 million fuel headwind, driven by…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
