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Friday, November 13, 2026

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From X

@StableBread

Fajasy on X

DigiPowerX $DGXX said on October 13 that it "did not issue any shares" under its ATM program in Q3. $DGXX's Q3 10-Q, filed November 13, shows 2.85M shares issued for cash in Q3 for $11.3M, and counts them among the 30.8M shares it sold through the ATM in the first nine months of 2026. The share count rose 46% this year, from 69.4M at the end of 2025 to 101.4M as of November 12. The 10-Q also shows three details the Q3 earnings release left out: 1) Prepayment: Cerebras $CBRS, the AI chipmaker that's the tenant at $DGXX's Columbiana data center campus in Alabama, paid a $12M upfront charge in Q3 for building Phase 1. The charge can be refunded, less what's been spent on finished construction, in some cases before Phase 1 starts, including if $DGXX misses the final delivery date. 2) Spending: $145.5M went into property, equipment, and equipment deposits in the first nine months, paid for with $170.8M of net share sales. 3) GPUs: Equipment deposits rose to $23.9M from $8.5M at the end of 2025, and the 10-Q mentions next-generation $NVDA Vera Rubin systems $DGXX has "committed to purchase," without an amount. $DGXX's Q3 revenue rose 85% q/q to $12.2M, but its $1.0M of net income leaned on $8.6M of gains on its crypto and warrants. Cash was $95.2M and bitcoin and ether were $24.5M as of September 30. $DGXX also expects to close a $200M loan syndicated by Goldman Sachs $GS in Q4 2026 to finish Columbiana, with an unsecured $DGXX guarantee until construction is done. Even with the cash, crypto, and loan, $DGXX is ~$30M short of its 2027 plan (~$350M of capex, mostly for ~10 MW of AI inference capacity and Columbiana's Phase 2) before any Q4 2026 spending. $DGXX expects customer deposits and prepayments to be a main source of funding, and it has already sold $174.7M of the $175M its ATM prospectus covers. At $2.28/share, $DGXX's market cap is ~$231M, an EV of ~$112M after its cash and crypto. If Phase 1 is ready on December 15 as planned, Cerebras starts paying in January 2027, and its $12M prepayment can no longer be refunded.
@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

It's been overwhelmingly negative recently, but here's some perspective on how supply-constrained demand from $LITE to $MU looks amid possible AI capex slowdowns. As one Korean executive on memory puts it: "Thirty people are already lined up at a restaurant that is full, and five of them leaving does not create a table." The amount of tables might expand, but supply shortages and price hikes in bottlenecks can persist through capex slowdowns or capacity buildout. From AI implications in medicine, physics, materials, robotics, cybersecurity, engineering, energy, to AI itself over the next 5-10 years... We've only reached the precipice of the next technological paradigm shift. The world is going to need a lot more compute.

Investor Letters

All letters

Qualcomm Custom ASICs?

Qualcomm’s Alphawave SerDes, CPU cores and HBC could support custom AI ASICs as hyperscalers build heterogeneous fleets beyond GPUs.

QCOM $190B
Chipstrat 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (11/13/2026)

Tripadvisor’s CEO and CFO will depart after weak Q3 results, while Roblox’s CEO discusses AI and Berkshire repurchases $9.6 billion of…

RBLX $37B
TSOH Investment Research 3 clicks
NCNO · long

Ncino INC

NCino is a commercial-lending system of record for banks and credit unions, trading at roughly 3x enterprise value to sales.

NCNO $2.4B
Value Investors Club 3 clicks

Lumentum Q4 FY26 Earnings

Lumentum’s CW lasers offer wider mode-hop-free operating ranges for co-packaged optics, supporting premium pricing and 80–90%…

LITE $59B
Irrational Analysis

Trading Post August 11, 2026

Molina Healthcare was increased at $198 to a full position, with political-season benefits supporting the long-term thesis.

MOH $11B
Cassandra Unchained 1 click

Sea Limited Earnings Update: A quick look

Sea Limited reported Q2 2026 revenue of $7.8 billion, up 48%, as Shopee, Monee and Garena lifted adjusted EBITDA to $917 million.

SE $46B
SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets

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