Looking Back at Another Successful Thesis
DoubleU Games raised its all-cash tender offer for DoubleDown Interactive minority holders to $16.25 per ADS from $11.25 after net cash made the earlier bid untenable.
Thursday, November 12, 2026
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From X
Barbarian Capital on X
Yeti Cuts Year Outlook on Consumer Caution $YETI
Barbarian Capital on X
Cerebras Lifts Outlook as Cloud Revenue Surges in Third Quarter $CBRS
Barbarian Capital on X
Applied Materials Sales, Profit Climb on Semiconductor Demand $AMAT
Barbarian Capital on X
Once Upon a Farm Slashes Outlook Following ‘Tractor Wheels’ Recall $OFRM
Barbarian Capital on X
"high demand in the agentic artificial-intelligence market" Cisco Systems Raises Outlook On Soaring Revenue, Profit $CSCO
Investor Letters
All letters- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 6727 $597M9742 $318M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 CROX $7.3BHUT $7.3B
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $411MFNCHF $530M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $31BNOW $107B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.7BSN $32B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 TUA $576M
- Rathbones October 2026 SBGSF $158BSIEGY $236B
Qure Anniversary Update
UniQure’s Huntington’s disease BLA has a May 1, 2027 priority-review date, with an FDA advisory committee expected in late first quarter.
Floor & Decor 3Q’26: Déjà Vu, But Priced For A Lost Decade
Floor & Decor cut its 2026 outlook again, with EBITDA guidance falling to $535-550 million and 2027 openings slowing to 10-15 as housing…
Big Short: Fidelity & Guaranty
F&G’s main insurer held $66.5 billion of assets against $1.38 billion of statutory capital, while private credit, reinsurance dependence…
AutoNation (AN): The CEO Takes a Driving Test
AutoNation’s new CEO Mike Manley brings Jeep and Fiat Chrysler experience after the dealer chain cycled through three leaders in 30 months.
Salesforce: Pay For Consensus Growth, Get Anthropic And Databricks For Free
Salesforce’s Agentforce adoption, Anthropic and Databricks stakes, and margin expansion support upside, while debt-funded buybacks have…
Alexander Grover 1 click
Quanta Services (PWR): Backlog Up 63% While Shares Fall 30%
Quanta Services' backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, with AI and power-infrastructure demand driving revenue…
Top Rebound Stocks for Nov’26
Texas Pacific Land's 50% selloff reflects faded data-center expectations, while its Permian royalty business generated $498 million of 2025…
International Seaways: Q3 Earnings Point To A Stronger Q4
International Seaways reported $291.4 million of Q3 adjusted net income and has 53% of Q4 booked at strong spot rates, supporting projected…
Kevin Avroutskii 3 clicks
Peloton: Beyond The Bike
Peloton’s connected-fitness subscribers fell 9% year over year to 2.475 million, with another high-single-digit holiday decline forecast as…
DHT Holdings: Over A 20% Dividend In A Single Quarter
DHT Holdings earned $1.68 per share in Q3 and projects Q4 EPS of $4.25, supporting a single-quarter dividend above 20% at projected spot…
Melissa Tucker 4 clicks
GPK · long Graphic Packaging Holding CO
Graphic Packaging (GPK) is pitched as a long with $22 fair value, implying roughly 100% upside, based on its low-cost paper-based packaging…
Thoughts on ROIC, Margins and Turnover; Mailbox Money and an Update on Natural Resource Partners (NRP)
Natural Resource Partners is assessed through ROIC, capital-light royalty income and valuation as investors crowd into AI suppliers.
SoFi: DCF Valuation
SoFi's DCF values shares at $18, forecasting adjusted net revenue growth from 30% in 2026 to 3.5% by 2035 as it scales its digital bank…
Weekend Digest #345 (Colombia Election, AUNA, BRKR, China & EM Risk)
Weekend Digest #345 previews Colombia’s presidential vote, tracks AUNA’s earnings momentum and Bruker’s recovery, and weighs China risk…
Tractor Supply: A Yield Worth Harvesting
Tractor Supply, the 2,641-store rural lifestyle retailer, is pitched as an undervalued defensive compounder, supported by recurring…
Natera: Is the Future Worth Paying up for?
Natera's long-term future is weighed against its current valuation.
The Formula Hiding in Plain Sight
Spotify’s 761 million MAUs and investor-day formula explain how it holds off Apple, Amazon and YouTube Music despite their loss-leader…
A non-consensus thesis: the forthcoming demise of Bristol Myers Squibb.
Bristol Myers Squibb’s bear case centers on patent-cliff revenue losses, debt, and failed drug investment after $28.3 billion of 2019–23…
Adobe Deep Dive
Adobe trades at 14x earnings after a 65% decline, with AI, Canva and Figma threatening subscriptions, customer acquisition and…
TIC Solutions Update: New performance framework and a path to $26+ per share.
TIC targets $3 billion of 2029 revenue, 18% adjusted EBITDA margin and 85% free cash flow conversion, requiring roughly $400 million of…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
