Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal
Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.
Thursday, November 12, 2026
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From X
Asif Suria on X
Maybe Jensen will mount a comeback the way @vishal_better did with $BETR It would be surprising if the board decides to oust him from $NVDA. What would this mean for the greater AI bubble with all the circular financing and such.
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
I’m looking to short a lot of shitcos if they run here: $RGTI $IONQ $ACHR $QBTS just look at my Shortlist for names.
Deep Sail Capital on X
$QNT in Dec 1 Lockup. It trades at an insane valuation of 300 P/S as the market share count doesn’t count the economic interests currently not converted by Honeywell and Others.
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
$SHLS & $ARRY Merger / Short Report Review
Investor Letters
All letters- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 4347 $112M6727 $597M
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund October 2026 FWD $134MSPSY $111M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 CROX $7.3BHUT $7.5B
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $429MFNCHF $530M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $31BSNSNF $1.8B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.5BSN $32B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 OFX $71MPLT $95M
WaterBridge Q3 Update: Speed Ramp Powers Record Quarter and Datacenters on the Horizon
WaterBridge grew Q3 revenue 16.9% year over year as Speedway Phase I lifted produced-water volumes, while pursuing large-scale data center…
Lumen Technologies (NASDAQ: LUMN) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Lumen was upgraded to Accumulate after Q3 revenue fell 12% to $2.7 billion, while strategic business revenue rose 10% and reached 55% of…
A Call with Cogent ($CCOI) CEO Dave Schaeffer: Data Centers, the $700M Refi and Life After T-Mobile
Cogent expects to replace roughly $100 million of T-Mobile payments ending in 2028 through cost cuts and high-margin on-net sales, while…
TransMedics: 2027 Setting Up To Be A Pivotal Year
TransMedics targets multi-organ transplant growth through 2027 trials, OCS Kidney and European expansion after Q3 revenue rose 41% to $203…
Conviction Queue 
I Called the YB CFO. Here’s What I Learned.
Yuanbao’s CFO says China’s new online-insurance rules target abusive sales practices, while Beijing increasingly frames commercial health…
Village Farms Well Positioned For Entry Into Texas Cannabis Markets (Rating Upgrade)
Village Farms posted record quarterly cannabis revenue, driven by international sales and expanded capacity, while positioning for Texas…
Alan Sumler 1 click
[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic
FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…
AI is Heading for a Massive Oversupply: Top Hedge Fund Manager’s Prediction | David Orr
David Orr argues AI compute capex will create a major oversupply, pressuring semiconductor trades, software moats and white-collar wages…
Cat-Scratch Fervo
Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…
Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price
Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…
Tim Travis 1 click
GETY · long Getty Images 11.25% Senior Secured Bonds due 2030
Getty Images’ $540 million 11.25% senior secured notes due 2030 trade at 78, implying a 20% yield to maturity.
My Last GFL Update - Hopefully
GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…
Expert Call | Lumentum Optical Chip Capacity, EML/SiPh Outlook & Industry Pricing
Lumentum’s 2027 optical-chip expansion, 200G EML and CW capacity, silicon-photonics roadmap, pricing and 3.2T module prospects face…
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Are Neoclouds Dead?
Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than…
Quantinuum: A Quantum Leader At A Reasonable Value
Quantinuum’s trapped-ion quantum platform supports a $2 billion 2030 revenue estimate and $135 fair value, backed by $2.1 billion cash and…
Fundamental Options 5 clicks
Reddit: Deep Dive Analysis
Reddit generated $805 million in Q2 2026 revenue, 95% from ads, but slowing Google search referrals expose AI-driven traffic and…
Single Stock Spotlight #17: Gamestop (GME)
GameStop’s $6.1 billion in net cash equivalents and shift toward collectibles underpin a $30 to $40 per-share valuation thesis.
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
