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Thursday, November 12, 2026

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Looking Back at Another Successful Thesis

DoubleU Games raised its all-cash tender offer for DoubleDown Interactive minority holders to $16.25 per ADS from $11.25 after net cash made the earlier bid untenable.

DDI $778M
The Value Road 4 clicks

From X

@calvinblissett 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

Other than the backlog growing linearly every year and taking that at face value here are some secular trends I found that support growth pertinent to $BUKS: Management repeatedly points to several things in earnings calls: developing additional FAA-approved STCs; getting repeat installations from STCs it has already developed; bringing fabrication in-house rather than outsourcing it; increasing production capacity; selling more kits that customers install themselves; doing larger and more complicated special-mission aircraft; expanding systems-integration work; and growing internationally. During FY2026, BUKS invested approximately $2.7M in developing/producing new products BUKS’s Aerospace segment isn’t primarily an OEM. Its core exposure is modifying King Air, Cessna turboprop, Learjet and increasingly Challenger aircraft for ISR, aerial surveillance, sensors, search-and-rescue and other special missions; installing avionics/electronics; and selling modification kits under FAA STCs. 1. The turbine aircraft fleet BUKS targets is projected to grow ~2% annually for 20 years The FAA’s Aerospace Forecast FY2025–2045 projects the turbine general-aviation fleet to grow 2.1% annually through 2045. In contrast, the piston fleet is expected to shrink slightly. The FAA expects essentially all net growth in the traditional GA fleet to come from turbine aircraft. That’s highly relevant because BUKS specifically says its businesses concentrate on King Air and Cessna turboprops, Learjets and other turbine aircraft. 2. Business-jet deliveries are projected to grow ~3% annually for the next decade Honeywell’s 2025 Global Business Aviation Outlook forecasts: 8,500 new business jets worth $283 billion over the next 10 years, the highest value in the forecast’s 34-year history. It projects deliveries to grow at approximately 3% annually, with 2026 deliveries expected to increase another 5% YoY. 3. Honeywell found that 91% of business-aircraft operators expect to fly the same amount or more, with 28% expecting increased flying. The FAA separately forecasts total general-aviation flight hours to increase 19% from 2023 through 2045, with turbine, rotorcraft and experimental aircraft driving the increase. Higher utilization generally supports demand for upgrades and keeping existing aircraft economically useful. That’s relevant to BUKS because many of its products effectively extend or expand the capabilities of existing airframes rather than requiring operators to buy a new aircraft.
@Fierce__beast 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

i went long $otis and $MCD this week. i'm not really expecting anything spectacular, maybe 6% returns from these ideas, hoping for 8%+. but i think after this drawdown they present decent risk/rewards in a case where interest rates and or inflation continue to worsen. $OTIS did well during the great recession 08/09. -6% organic sales drop, op profit down only 1.2%. Valuable asset in that sense, even though the upside is capped a bit here as things are slowing down for it globally. This is not a bullet proof scenario that they do well in the next recession, stock could still drop 40%.

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Qure Anniversary Update

UniQure’s Huntington’s disease BLA has a May 1, 2027 priority-review date, with an FDA advisory committee expected in late first quarter.

QURE $1.7B
Triple S Special Situations Investing 2 clicks

Big Short: Fidelity & Guaranty

F&G’s main insurer held $66.5 billion of assets against $1.38 billion of statutory capital, while private credit, reinsurance dependence…

FG $3.1B
Mispriced Assets 4 clicks

Top Rebound Stocks for Nov’26

Texas Pacific Land's 50% selloff reflects faded data-center expectations, while its Permian royalty business generated $498 million of 2025…

TPL $19B
Rebound Capital 2 clicks

Peloton: Beyond The Bike

Peloton’s connected-fitness subscribers fell 9% year over year to 2.475 million, with another high-single-digit holiday decline forecast as…

PTON $2.5B
TSOH Investment Research 3 clicks
MONOY · long

Monotaro CO LTD

MonotaRO, traded as MONOY in the U.S. and 3064 in Japan, is a Japanese MRO distributor recommended as a long.

MONOY $7.4B
Value Investors Club

Quick note on LSAK and GRPN

Lesaka expects its Bank Zero acquisition to close by end-January 2027, though it could still close this calendar year.

GRPN $513M
Mispriced Assets 5 clicks

DoorDash’s FBA Moment

DoorDash’s $17 billion Instacart deal targets DashMart warehouse scale, where 99%+ order accuracy and faster delivery address the limits of…

DASH $75BKR $41B
MBI Deep Dives 3 clicks

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