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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

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Cat-Scratch Fervo

Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW of geothermal power by 2030.

FRVO $2.3B
Doomberg

From X

@pennycheck 1 click

⚽️📡 on X

Okay let's give some context here : As if things for $DJT couldn't get any worse : DJT’s revenue last quarter was $1.67M, while it spent $46M on operating costs and lost $238M. Now the movement is dead, and the entire business literally, very literally, ends once Trump (80) moves on. As if things couldn’t get worse, they just cleared the SEC to merge with TAE. To do it they’re issuing another ~293M shares, roughly doubling the share count and cutting current shareholders to about half the company, for a business that has generated essentially zero revenue and has burned around $1.8B. Now you may be wondering why in the world DJT severely diluting its shareholders for a zero revenue cash incinerating science project ? Such intentions or anything near it were never discussed or disclosed ever it seems very very dillutive and random.... but once you understand the literal russian state along with putins closest envoys and oligarchs were are the founders of this multi billion dollar cash incinerator it suddenly begins to make a lot more sense.
@AsifSuria 3 clicks

Asif Suria on X

From the Lionsgate Studios $LION fiscal Q2 2027 earnings release: "Television Production segment revenue increased 56% year-over-year to $309.5 million, and segment profit increased 73% versus the prior year to $21.6 million. The results were driven by a significant increase in scripted episodic deliveries, including Power: Origins and the second seasons of The Studio and The Hunting Wives. The Company anticipates doubling scripted deliveries in fiscal 2027 relative to fiscal 2026." That last line:
@calvinblissett 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

That’s a good question Drew and I guess if it is certain there will be a payoff eventually with a good ROC adjusting for time value of money then no. I would lean to $MELI due to logistics being pretty certain in getting that payment, as to the TVM of money part of that equation I have no idea. I remember Wall Street got really mad at $COST due to basically this and that’s when Nomad invested. Maybe I am being too harsh. You’d do it better than me but I’ll do it if you won’t, analyzing $MELI from a Sleep Zakaria scale economies shared framework that they used on GEICO, $COST and $AMZN. I cherish your thoughts and insights so I would love those
@calvinblissett 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

Honestly my English and prose is sometimes poor, leading to me missing things that are frankly really important. $ARKO was a good example see comments by NA. I read all the reports and calls on $TLK for weeks I started looking 10/20 during the initial crash. I dictated key points and audited it thoroughly for days, editing it how I saw fit and removing things I didn’t like. I can find messages with time stamps to prove this. Would love your thoughts on this in terms of using AI as someone who isn’t a Warren Buffett level writer to help with the English and prose/structuring style of things. All quotes and case studies are from me. I would say it’s a good writeup I wonder if you agree?
@StableBread 1 click

Fajasy on X

Two things I’m watching could change my read on the U.S. economy: → Fed’s December 8-9 meeting and core PCE: Another 0.25% hike with core PCE at 3.1%, or core PCE below 2.9% with the fed funds rate unchanged, pushes the real rate (the Fed’s policy rate minus core PCE inflation) above 1%, which Growth × Policy calls late cycle. That favors commodities, value stocks, emerging markets and banks over long-term Treasuries and growth stocks. Futures put the odds of a December hike at ~75%, and October’s core PCE comes out November 25. → Bank-held AI debt: In September, the Financial Times reported that ~$18B of bank loans for Project Jupiter, a data center $ORCL is leasing in New Mexico to serve OpenAI, were being quoted at 89-91 cents on the dollar, and the banks were stuck holding more of the debt than they had planned. At its October 28 Investor Day, $ORCL said its capex peaks in FY2027-2028 and steps down in FY2029 (years ending in May), when it expects at least $30B of free cash flow.

Investor Letters

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Airbnb 3Q26: Business Update

Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights and seats grew 16%, with app bookings up 29% and Reserve Now Pay Later adding…

ABNB $111B
Speedwell Memos 2 clicks

Research update

S&P Global research will assess Platts, Kensho and ratings growth; Benefit Systems’ 72% YTD rally changed its valuation, while Netflix and…

SPGI $136BICE $96B
Global Outperformers 3 clicks
OSW · short

One Spa World

OneSpaWorld (OSW) faces about 37% downside as its valuation requires unattainable growth in average revenue per customer after major-market…

OSW $3.1B
Value Investors Club

The AutoNation Story

AutoNation shed rentals and megastores, focused on dealerships, and retired 91.1% of its shares through buybacks after its 1990s roll-up…

AN $5.9B
Cannibal Stocks 2 clicks

The 10-Q Fills In the Buyback

Empire State Realty Trust bought $86.1 million of stock through November 6, while corrected sum-of-the-parts values range from $9.12 to…

ESRT $1.3B
Orphan REITs 2 clicks

No title

SpaceX’s $24 billion Starbase power plant, Microsoft’s Oracle capacity cuts, Riot’s $72 billion AI lease and Quanta’s sell-off frame…

PWR $77BRIOT $6.6B
Monte Independent Investment Research 3 clicks

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