Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal

Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.

LITE $48B

P Equity Research 3h ago 2 clicks

4h ago LSAK $309M

Quick note on LSAK and GRPN

Mispriced Assets 2 clicks

5h ago DASH $79B

DoorDash’s FBA Moment

MBI Deep Dives 1 click

From X

@david_katunaric 12m ago

Mikro Kap David on X

What's stopping $WSTL (former holding) from returning some cash to shareholders? They were doing so well on the buyback front in late 2024 and early 2025. At this rate, people will mistake it for a 🇯🇵 co, with $40M+ in net cash against a $65M market cap.

@StableBread 18m ago

Fajasy on X

I checked Root’s $ROOT Q3 against the base and bear cases from my August update, after the car insurer fell 24.1% in two days. $ROOT bought back 290,694 shares in Q3 at an average of $53.15/share ($15.5M), leaving $38.8M on the authorization, ~6% of today’s market cap. At $43.37/share, the market cap is $659M on 15.2M shares, or 2.0x the $327.0M book value as of September 30. Net of the $261.6M held outside the insurance subsidiaries, you’re paying $397M for the insurance operations, or 3.9x nine-month net income annualized (Q4 is the seasonally weak quarter). In August, my base case was $55-80/share (2.5-3.5x book on an 18-22% ROE), and my bear case $35-45 (1.5-2.0x book, with ROE compressing to 12-15%). Q3’s annualized ROE was ~18%, the bottom of the base case, while the stock now trades at the top of the bear case’s multiple.

@calvinblissett 23m ago

Calvin Blissett on X

Munger misses things, Malone is worth learning from and anyone would’ve been lucky to hitch their wagon along to the TCI ride. He also missed $CACC. He did call Valeant though using the same framework. He’s been much more right than wrong which is what matters

@stockgutter 36m ago

SG on X

record pawn loans...an early sign of financial distress for lower-income Americans? $EZPW

@david_katunaric 47m ago

Mikro Kap David on X

"As has always been the case, we would rather pass on a loan than make one we are not comfortable with." ~no bank ever Jk...from Q3 $TYBT letter

@blondesnmoney 1h ago

Cluseau Investments on X

$MRX has some form of financial bipolar disorder. Up or down $4 regularly with zero news

@gnoble79 1h ago

George Noble on X

I am also seriously thinking about increasing my $CRWV position here. One slight difference. You are getting destroyed as a long while I am short from $107!

@stockgutter 1h ago

SG on X

if you have any interest in $EVC (I'm long), Dylan is a must follow 👇

WaterBridge Q3 Update: Speed Ramp Powers Record Quarter and Datacenters on the Horizon

WaterBridge grew Q3 revenue 16.9% year over year as Speedway Phase I lifted produced-water volumes, while pursuing large-scale data center…

WBI $1.4B

310 Value’s Newsletter 5h ago 2 clicks

Lumen Technologies (NASDAQ: LUMN) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Lumen was upgraded to Accumulate after Q3 revenue fell 12% to $2.7 billion, while strategic business revenue rose 10% and reached 55% of…

LUMN $4.5B

Cestrian Capital Research 6h ago 1 click

A Call with Cogent ($CCOI) CEO Dave Schaeffer: Data Centers, the $700M Refi and Life After T-Mobile

Cogent expects to replace roughly $100 million of T-Mobile payments ending in 2028 through cost cuts and high-margin on-net sales, while…

CCOI $232M

Calvin Blissett 6h ago 1 click

TransMedics: 2027 Setting Up To Be A Pivotal Year

TransMedics targets multi-organ transplant growth through 2027 trials, OCS Kidney and European expansion after Q3 revenue rose 41% to $203…

TMDX $3.1B

Conviction Queue 8h ago

I Called the YB CFO. Here’s What I Learned.

Yuanbao’s CFO says China’s new online-insurance rules target abusive sales practices, while Beijing increasingly frames commercial health…

YB $476M

Calvin Blissett 8h ago 2 clicks

Village Farms Well Positioned For Entry Into Texas Cannabis Markets (Rating Upgrade)

Village Farms posted record quarterly cannabis revenue, driven by international sales and expanded capacity, while positioning for Texas…

VFF $358M

Alan Sumler 9h ago 1 click

[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic

FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…

FICO $15BPAYC $11B

scuttleblurb 9h ago 3 clicks

AI is Heading for a Massive Oversupply: Top Hedge Fund Manager’s Prediction | David Orr

David Orr argues AI compute capex will create a major oversupply, pressuring semiconductor trades, software moats and white-collar wages…

DEPW

The Monetary Matters Network 9h ago 4 clicks

Cat-Scratch Fervo

Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…

FRVO $2.3B

Doomberg 12h ago 4 clicks

Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price

Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…

ADBE $93B

Tim Travis 15h ago 1 click

CPT · long

Camden Property Trust

Camden Property Trust owns multifamily properties across the U.S. Southeast and Southwest.

CPT $12B

Value Investors Club Jun 22 2 clicks

AirIQ Inc. ($IQ.V) FINS Review

AirIQ’s 2025 revenue rose 17% to $6.5 million, but tax reassessments cut net income 50% and lifted its P/E to 144x.

AILQF $8.9M

Wolf's Substack Jul 26 2 clicks

Stranded Indium-Phosphide

Aeva’s high-power InP SOA design could supply NPO/CPO optical modules at roughly 17% gross margins, versus 51% for eight discrete DFB…

AEVA $835M

Irrational Analysis Jul 25

The Neoclouds Series, Part 1: Nebius

Nebius opens a series arguing Nvidia-backed neoclouds absorb the debt and construction risk of AI data centers while driving GPU demand.

NBIS $38B

Kakashii's Materials Jul 24

PayPal, Declined

Stripe and Advent’s reported $53 billion bid for PayPal follows a decade in which Stripe’s payment volume outgrew PayPal’s Braintree.

PYPL $49B

Net Interest Jul 24

TSOH Weekly Roundup (07/24/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers the Paramount-Warner court block, Xbox Game Pass’s subscriber shortfall and pricing reset, and Red Bull’s 28%…

SKYD $9.1B

TSOH Investment Research Jul 24

Coupang: Normalization (Ticker: CPNG)

Coupang says customer demand is normalizing after its 2025 data leak, while Q1 vouchers and underutilized capacity pressure margins.

CPNG $29B

Emerging Moats Research Jul 24

Rocket Lab Deep Dive

Rocket Lab’s $8 billion Iridium acquisition adds 2.6 million subscribers, L-band spectrum and Pentagon-linked satellite revenue alongside…

RKLB $28BIRDM $4.9B

CV's Substack Jul 24

Molina Health Revisited

Molina Health is revisited.

MOH $11B

Bearstone Jul 23

Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)

Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.

TSCO $19B

Bearhold Research Jul 23 1 click

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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Mikro Kap David on X

Fajasy on X

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SG on X

Mikro Kap David on X

Cluseau Investments on X

George Noble on X

SG on X

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