Another High-Premium, Multi-Billion-Dollar Canadian Oil Deal
Strathcona Resources will acquire Greenfire Resources for C$2.8 billion including debt, valuing the Canadian heavy-oil producer at up to a 39% premium.
Tuesday, November 10, 2026
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From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Agreed, $GOOG was cheaper at the time, but it was still 10x-ish revenues at the time. Tech multiples were different at the time and the tech crash was still fresh in investor’s memories. Search was also still intensely competitive. I’ve been impressed with $ANT’s capital efficiency, operating leverage, and profitability to date. I think there are a lot of similarities.
Raging Capital Ventures on X
I am short $SPCX. It has a giant market cap, everyone and their brother (endowments and VCs included) is full up on the stock, and most of the company's big growth initiatives are capital intensive and aimed at highly competitive industries. Oh, and Elon is persona non grata in Washington now.
Prepared Remarks on X
Was there any reason for the $bkd rip into the close? +5% in 30 minutes on decent volume and from -5% intraday
Myles on X
@valuedrift @irbezek $KORU has way higher financing costs. The $SOXL and $SOXS are only like .5% above risk free. Koru significantly underperforms it's underlying. It's actually the better short even with the higher borrow. (I'm short to hedge some SK positions).
Barbarian Capital on X
Toyota Plans to Sell a Kei Pickup Truck in the U.S. $TM
Barbarian Capital on X
On Holding’s Sales Mix Surprises, as Direct-to-Consumer Growth Underwhelms $ONON
Investor Letters
All letters- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.6BSN $31B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 OFX $70MPLT $95M
- Rathbones October 2026 SBGSF $143BSIEGY $233B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BASML $576B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.8BLFABF $13B
- Auxier Asset Management Third Quarter 2026 META $1.6TAMZN $2.9T
- RF Capital Management third quarter of 2026 7521 $112M
- Mawer Investment Management Third Quarter 2026 2059 $25BBN $97B
Seritage Growth Properties: Final Stages of Liquidation
Irreplaceable Assets, Explosive Growth, On Sale: LandBridge Q3 2026 Update
LandBridge’s Q3 revenue rose 39%, while newly acquired pore space could lift pro forma EBITDA and cut its 2027 EV/EBITDA multiple from…
Constellation Software 3Q26 Recap: When 2% is Good
Constellation Software’s 3Q26 organic revenue grew 2%, while $609 million of acquisitions and improving acquired-business margins supported…
Airbnb 3Q26: Business Update
Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights and seats grew 16%, with app bookings up 29% and Reserve Now Pay Later adding…
Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Joby Aviation reported $55.1 million in Q3 revenue, raised 2026 guidance to $135 million to $140 million, and expects FAA pilot training in…
Airbnb 3Q26 Business Update: “Growth Mode”
Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights grew 16%; app rebuild, AI-assisted releases and social travel features aim to…
MARA Holdings Q3: Massive Deleveraging Sets The Stage For The AI Colocation Premium
MARA Holdings cut debt by $1.4 billion after an $885 million Bitcoin gain, while 1.9 GW of energy assets and a $79 million GPU contract…
Mandela Amoussou 1 click
Sin of Hubris: Jensen’s Affair Scandal and What It Means for Nvidia, AI Players and the Market
Nvidia faces unverified allegations involving CEO Jensen Huang, a customer executive and claimed China-linked influence over AI chip…
Research update
S&P Global research will assess Platts, Kensho and ratings growth; Benefit Systems’ 72% YTD rally changed its valuation, while Netflix and…
Q3 Earnings: XPEL, Liberty Capital, Douglas Dynamics, Strattec, Seaport (XPEL, GLIBA, PLOW, STRT, SEG)
Liberty Capital’s GCI business grew 5% in high-margin healthcare and school contracts, while Quintillion could lift EBITDA to $440 million…
CDNS · long Cadence Design Systems INC
Cadence Design Systems sells chip-design software as AI computing drives a structural increase in semiconductor design complexity.
InMode (INMD): Low-risk Take-Private Opportunity *Exited*
InMode faces $1 billion to $1.1 billion take-private bids, including Centroid and a management-led group, while Steel Partners offers $18…
Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center
Kalshi’s 87% odds of “Family Center” on Snap’s earnings call far exceed its 2.9% historical mention rate and a 15–20% street-adjusted…
CrowdStrike: A Glass DeathStar during SaaSmageddon | Short Thesis
CrowdStrike faces a renewal cliff after its July 2024 outage, with Microsoft Defender bundling, litigation, SEC and DOJ scrutiny, and a…
New REIT position: GO Residential (TSX: GO.U)
GO Residential, a TSX-listed Manhattan luxury-apartment REIT, raised about $400 million in Canada’s largest REIT IPO and trades at a wide…
Portfolio Update January 2026
DInvests sold Thermo Fisher, Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Edwards Lifesciences, then bought Pool Corp and Kraft Heinz while adding to…
The Silver Bloodbath: Fortune Favors the Prepared
Gold fell 8% and silver 25% as the author says it exited before the selloff and now favors Monument Mining at 1.25x operating cash flow.
Meta: 4Q25 Business Update
Meta’s 4Q25 revenue rose 24% as AI lifted ad performance, but 2026 costs are guided up about 41% and capex to $115–135 billion.
How We Made 233% Trading a Starbucks Condiment Bar
A Kalshi contract on whether Starbucks would mention “condiment bar” on its earnings call rose from 30 cents to $1 after the term went…
Ryanair’s €256M Fine May Be Tip of The Iceberg
Ryanair’s €256 million Italian antitrust fine targets its OTA-blocking system, while internal documents raise questions about Michael…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
