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Tuesday, November 10, 2026

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@convequity 1 click

Convequity on X

SpaceX ($SPCX) targets 13GW, close to our own estimate. In August 2026, our calculation put SpaceX's visible compute capacity over the coming years at roughly 13GW. On the Q3 call, Elon Musk targeted 13GW online by the end of 2027. The numerical match is encouraging. Musk's target concerns terrestrial compute, while our work examined the longer-term orbital opportunity. It supports our view of the scale SpaceX can pursue, although the deployment path and timing differ. We see 13GW as an achievable first stage of the buildout. SpaceX's ambition to manufacture 100GW of solar panels annually never meant all of that would become operating AI capacity in the near term. Our calculation focused on how much capacity we could see a credible path to deploying. For orbital compute to reach 20–30GW and keep growing, solar manufacturing becomes much more consequential. SpaceX needs high-efficiency cells produced at scale in the US, or an alternative supply route that gets those panels integrated into AI satellites. More power from each kilogram of solar hardware means more compute capacity for the mass launched. Starship has now demonstrated orbital payload delivery. In our view, that clears the fundamental launch hurdle and gives us a high degree of confidence that the first 10–20GW can reach orbit relatively soon, with or without rapid reusability. Much larger deployments require rapid reuse. Flying the same vehicle repeatedly reduces the number of new rockets SpaceX must manufacture and allows launch capacity to grow with a smaller fleet. Solar production and launch cadence then have to expand together. We think SpaceX will get there. The pace of high-efficiency solar production, satellite deployment and Starship turnaround will determine how quickly it can move beyond the first tens of gigawatts. #SpaceX
@aleabitoreddit 1 click

Serenity on X

I don't own $ASTS and not advice, but if you're capitulating just because a stock price went down.. There's little investment thesis or conviction in the first place. People always have multi-year ideas like $RKLB becoming the next $SPCX or AST becoming the next Starlink competitor. Kinda reminiscent of retail favorite names like $HOOD back in 2024, or $NBIS later in 2025... But there's always capitulation periods along the way like the time hedge funds shorted Nebius to $70 in Dec/Jan, after calling it the Neocloud winter. Or the wave of negative analyst DGs on Robinhood on the drop back to $17. Or even macro scares like April 2025. So lot of retail investors never gave their original longs time to play out. Fast forward, a lot of these popular retail names do end up cooking... so kinda sad seeing how quickly sentiment turns.

Investor Letters

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Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXV

Quanta Services’ backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, while AI power and data-center construction demand…

PWR $77B
Monte Independent Investment Research 2 clicks

No title

SpaceX’s $24 billion Starbase power plant, Microsoft’s Oracle capacity cuts, Riot’s $72 billion AI lease and Quanta’s sell-off frame…

PWR $77BORCL $363B
Monte Independent Investment Research 3 clicks

Insider activity October 2026

Asian insider buying reached $2.9 billion in October, the highest since 2018, with South Korea and Thailand leading.

BKRKY $23B
Asian Century Stocks 2 clicks

Quick Value #337 - Dana Inc (DAN)

Dana is combining with Eaton’s Mobility unit via a 1Q27 Reverse Morris Trust after selling a division, delevering and accelerating buybacks.

ETN $141B
Value Don't Lie 3 clicks

Roblox: Capture This Moment

Roblox’s Q3 FY26 DAUs fell year over year for the first time, while bookings declined 12% to $1.7 billion.

RBLX $35B
TSOH Investment Research 2 clicks

DoorDash and Google

DoorDash and Google.

DASH $79B
Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 8 clicks

NEW POSITION: Google LEAPS

Alphabet bought long-dated GOOGL calls after a 12.6% earnings drop, betting AI monetization and distribution overcome capex pressure and…

GOOGL $3.5T
Hated Moats 1 click

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