New Ask Claude or ChatGPT about any stock, using Bullpen. Bullpen in Claude or ChatGPT. 7 days free
Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
Get Daily Recap Feedback

Tuesday, November 10, 2026

Back to the front page

From X

@StableBread

Fajasy on X

Elmet $ELMT, the U.S. tungsten parts maker, reported a record $347.4M backlog for Q3, with two U.S. defense stockpile awards making up $197.5M (56.9%) of the total. The Defense Logistics Agency (DLA), which runs the National Defense Stockpile, has funded $161.9M so far under its contract to buy up to $2B of tungsten ore and concentrate from $ELMT, already more than the $150M minimum it guaranteed. Each order under the contract can take up to 48 months to deliver, and $ELMT said in its October 1 deck that it doesn't intend to start deliveries "until sufficient incremental new supply is available." I wouldn't expect much of the $161.9M to show up in revenue before 2027. The other $35.6M is a DLA award for mostly molybdenum products that $ELMT's plants already make, and the 10-Q's own chart counts it in the $149.5M of aerospace and defense backlog. Take out both and backlog is $149.9M, up 14.0% from $131.5M as of July 3 and 71.7% from $87.3M as of September 30, 2025. In my August 16 update, I said I wanted to see the first backlog print with the new defense appropriation cycle. Without the two stockpile awards, aerospace and defense backlog grew 15.8% in Q3 to $113.9M, a bit slower than its 16.5% growth in Q1 and 17.8% in Q2. I don't see a step-up from the new appropriation cycle yet, and part of the growth is price: The 10-Q credits "tungsten material price flowing through to our end product pricing" without splitting price from volume.

Investor Letters

All letters

Airbnb 3Q26: Business Update

Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights and seats grew 16%, with app bookings up 29% and Reserve Now Pay Later adding…

ABNB $111B
Speedwell Memos 2 clicks

Research update

S&P Global research will assess Platts, Kensho and ratings growth; Benefit Systems’ 72% YTD rally changed its valuation, while Netflix and…

SPGI $136BICE $96B
Global Outperformers 3 clicks

The AutoNation Story

AutoNation shed rentals and megastores, focused on dealerships, and retired 91.1% of its shares through buybacks after its 1990s roll-up…

AN $5.9B
Cannibal Stocks 2 clicks
SIRI · long

Sirius Xm Holdings INC

SiriusXM, SIRI, combines a 32% EBITDA margin with 3.6x net leverage and a 16% free-cash-flow margin despite elevated capex.

SIRI $11B
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

SAP: DCF Valuation

SAP’s DCF valuation sets a $260 base-case target versus a $155.09 ADR price, based on cloud migration, AI efficiencies and expanding EBIT…

SAP $277B
Hated Moats

Duffy’s Last Dance

CME CEO Terry Duffy moves to executive chairman while suing the CFTC over Kalshi’s approval to list perpetual futures, defending CME’s…

CME $110B
Net Interest

New Buy : Zoetis 🐕

Zoetis trades near 10x EV/EBIT after its selloff, with animal-health leadership, a $9.5 billion revenue base and companion-animal demand…

ZTS $37B
D Invests

Adobe Business History

Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…

ADBE $93B
Speedwell Memos 1 click

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

130 publications

Newsletters 110

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 81 of 282

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

91 accounts
Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

369 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.