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Tuesday, November 10, 2026

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@junkbondinvest

junkbondinvestor on X

Quick follow-up on $CRWV after the call...funding picture better than the release suggested: > Next DDTL expected to be IG at 7-7.5% and fund 90%+ of capex. Hasn’t launched yet. > The $9bn of prepayments is from signed contracts. $3bn+ of it is from recontracting existing GPUs. > 2027 capex flat at $37-39bn if they only build committed backlog. > Ampere and Hopper pricing up 30-50% QoQ, above original contract prices. That’s shortage pricing though. > ST deals at ~$40mm/MW vs $20-25mm on 4-5 yr contracts. > No new unsecured through 2027 at current yields and <$5bn of parent-level capital needed. They didn’t say where that comes from. ATM? > No downside case given for what happens if supply catches up. NT funding concern mostly answered. The open question is whether today’s pricing lasts. Thoughts?
@KEDM_COM

KEDM.com on X

Once a year, Bill Ackman @BillAckman of Pershing Square bangs the drum on Fannie Mae $FNMA and Freddie Mac $FMCC. They are high-quality, low-risk businesses currently trading at 1.5x earnings and operating under state conservatorship, even though Trump repeatedly mentioned taking the companies public. Ackman mentioned what a member of President Trump's administration said: “We can’t take the risk of the Communists taking control of Fannie and Freddie”. Bill’s letter makes his tweets look short by comparison, but it offers some good insights.

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Airbnb 3Q26: Business Update

Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights and seats grew 16%, with app bookings up 29% and Reserve Now Pay Later adding…

ABNB $111B
Speedwell Memos 2 clicks

Research update

S&P Global research will assess Platts, Kensho and ratings growth; Benefit Systems’ 72% YTD rally changed its valuation, while Netflix and…

SPGI $136BICE $96B
Global Outperformers 3 clicks

The AutoNation Story

AutoNation shed rentals and megastores, focused on dealerships, and retired 91.1% of its shares through buybacks after its 1990s roll-up…

AN $6.1B
Cannibal Stocks 2 clicks
NXPI · long

Nxp Semiconductors NV

NXP Semiconductors, the global automotive-chip leader, has delivered 12.5% compounded EPS growth and is presented as a long investment.

NXPI $67B
Value Investors Club 1 click

SoFi: DCF Valuation

SoFi's DCF values shares at $18, forecasting adjusted net revenue growth from 30% in 2026 to 3.5% by 2035 as it scales its digital bank…

SOFI $21B
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