Monday, November 9, 2026

Anthropic vs Meta: Room to Be Wrong

Anthropic and Meta carry $1.5 trillion valuations on distinct AI bets: Meta directs roughly 60% of capex to MSL, while Anthropic shifts…

Quick Value #337 - Dana Inc (DAN)

Dana is combining with Eaton’s Mobility unit via a 1Q27 Reverse Morris Trust after selling a division, delevering and accelerating buybacks.

SSR Mining: A Very Well Positioned Company For Long Term Growth

SSRM $5.6B

SA Daniel Bell 21h ago 1 click

STRL: 80 new electricians a week

Sterling’s $4.1 billion backlog faces Texas permitting risk after a governor proposed a moratorium, while Connexion, Capital Asset Planning…

One Regulator Could Soon Unlock Altria And Cronos' Cannabis Fortune

Adult-use cannabis rescheduling would open Altria’s 42% Cronos stake to a U.S. market rerating.

MO $130B

SA Aseity Research 23h ago 2 clicks

Roblox: Capture This Moment

Roblox’s Q3 FY26 DAUs fell year over year for the first time, while bookings declined 12% to $1.7 billion.

DoorDash and Google

DoorDash and Google.

Nova: Chip Complexity Is Driving Impressive Growth

Nova Ltd.'s Q3 revenue rose 28.2% as GAA, HBM, advanced DRAM and packaging complexity lifted demand, pushing non-GAAP margins to 35.5%.

NVMI $8.9B

SA Daniel James 30h ago 1 click

The TL Podcast for November 9th: The spy who loved me

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang faced new revelations after a week of political upheaval and a broad technology-stock sell-off.

Jensen Huang’s Affair, The Culper Report, Huang’s Righteousness

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang faces an unverified allegation involving a Chinese spy.

SKYD · short

Paramount Skydance CORP

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is a levered media conglomerate expected to merge with Warner Bros. Discovery in the third quarter.

Under The Hood, Pool Corporation - $POOL

Pool Corporation controls roughly 40% of US pool-product distribution, with maintenance representing 64% of sales as new-pool construction…

Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft’s investment case rests on Azure, Copilot and enterprise workflow control as AI raises capital intensity, pressures software…

Hilton Grand Vacations ($HGV): 17 Years of Inventory on Hand That No One Is Questioning

Hilton Grand Vacations faces scrutiny over 17 years of inventory on hand, with the thesis calling for a short position.

Mention Market Analysis: Truist Financial

Truist Financial’s April 17 call is forecast to feature “tailwind” in NIM and asset-repricing discussions, with the 51-cent Kalshi contract…

Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?

Conagra’s CEO change and 9% yield intensified a packaged-food selloff, while General Mills trades near historical valuation lows despite…

First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure

GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…

Under The Hood, Novo Nordisk A/S ($NVO)

Novo Nordisk’s GLP-1 franchise transformed obesity treatment, while its valuation framework prices in 17 years of discounted cash flows.

The Consultant’s Dilemma: What AI Actually Does to Accenture ($ACN)

Accenture’s $5.9 billion in FY2025 genAI bookings supports implementation demand, while AI’s automation of junior work threatens the…

Sirius XM (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)

Sirius XM grew 2025 free cash flow 24% to $1.26 billion as capex peaked, while companion plans revived subscriber additions and debt fell…