Big Short Investor Explains How the AI Bubble Could Burst
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom rests on a handful of companies and hundreds of billions in infrastructure spending, risking recession and a sharp market correction.
Monday, November 9, 2026
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Brian McGough on X
My team has the stones to tell me "the deck we prepared on $PLNT is the best work we've EVER done." I rarely hear that degree of confidence from anyone. You be the judge...presentation TOMORROW, 8/16. Deets below.
Brian McGough on X
The work we're doing on $PLNT is next-level -- similar to what we did on $FND, but with a VERY different conclusion. Analyzing each store from a property developers perspective... Black Book on Friday...
Brian McGough on X
Is anybody looking at $REAL NOLs? I bet $EBAY is. EBAY has failed in luxury authentication. It NEEDS REAL. They could use $2/share in realized NOLs with the stock trading at $3. Maybe they buy this when it's a $10 stock, but at $3 it's a slam dunk.
Brian McGough on X
Our call has been to be Short Retail, and Long 'boring' retailers -- things like $BBWI, $GIL, $VVV, $DRVN. Revenue inflecting positive on all three, stocks should grind higher through 2H, while the rest of retail melts down.
Brian McGough on X
Best Idea Short $FND should literally be down 20% on this print alone. Across the board guide-down and cutting unit growth AGAIN. Winners don't cut unit growth when times are tough, they LEAN-IN and accelerate investment. But in FND's case it's about cash preservation. Bulls are having major thesis drift here.
Brian McGough on X
And in other news, John Donahoe got paid $29MILLION for all that value he created last year as CEO of $NKE.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster.
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping
Investor Letters
All letters- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.6BSN $31B
- Rathbones October 2026 SBGSF $143BSIEGY $233B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BBKNG $122B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.8BLFABF $13B
- Horizon Kinetics 3rd Quarter 2026 TPL $19BLB $5.1B
- NS Partners Q3 2026 AAVMY $39BALBKY $12B
- Invesco — Small Cap Value Fund Q3 2026 AVTR $10BCRL $16B
- Arisaig Partners September 2026 CHA $2.4BJBFCY $2.8B
Quick Value #337 - Dana Inc (DAN)
Dana is combining with Eaton’s Mobility unit via a 1Q27 Reverse Morris Trust after selling a division, delevering and accelerating buybacks.
STRL: 80 new electricians a week
Sterling’s $4.1 billion backlog faces Texas permitting risk after a governor proposed a moratorium, while Connexion, Capital Asset Planning…
One Regulator Could Soon Unlock Altria And Cronos' Cannabis Fortune
Adult-use cannabis rescheduling would open Altria’s 42% Cronos stake to a U.S. market rerating.
Aseity Research 4 clicks
Roblox: Capture This Moment
Roblox’s Q3 FY26 DAUs fell year over year for the first time, while bookings declined 12% to $1.7 billion.
Nextpower: Its Biggest Growth Opportunity Now Lies Outside The Trackers
Nextracker's $6 billion order book supports cross-selling battery storage and inverters, now 22% of revenue, though acquisition-led growth…
Investor Overview 4 clicks
DoorDash and Google
DoorDash and Google.
Nova: Chip Complexity Is Driving Impressive Growth
Nova Ltd.'s Q3 revenue rose 28.2% as GAA, HBM, advanced DRAM and packaging complexity lifted demand, pushing non-GAAP margins to 35.5%.
Daniel James 1 click
Vicor Update, Part Four
Vicor’s Federal Circuit hearing put Foxconn’s disputed patent license under pressure, reinforcing its AI server royalty model and licensing…
Moody’s: Fasten Your Seat Belts, But Not for AI
Moody’s ratings business faces potential deceleration, while AI-related debt issuance and anti-data-center politics pose less risk than…
IREN Is Down 71%. Should You Buy the Dip?
IREN has fallen 71% despite AI Cloud revenue rising from $7.3 million to $200 million quarterly and more than $20 billion in contracted…
FND · long FLOOR & DECOR HLDGS
Floor & Decor operates 281 warehouse-format stores selling hard-surface flooring and accessories nationwide.
Expert Call | EMIB-T Packaging, Glass Core Roadmap & 2027 ABF Substrate Supply Outlook
Intel’s EMIB-T, glass-core roadmap and 2027 ABF substrate supply outlook are the focus of an expert call.
Ouster Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review (OUST) - Stock Rating: Accumulate
Ouster grew Q3 revenue 50% to $59.3 million, shipped 27,000 sensors and guided Q4 revenue to $61 million to $64 million while posting a…
Floor & Decor 3Q26: Business Update
Floor & Decor’s 3Q26 sales rose 3% while comparable sales fell 1.4%; it cut 2027 openings to 10-15 as high mortgage rates pressure…
Floor & Decor 3Q26 Business Update: Profitability Grows Despite Weak Sales
Floor & Decor's 3Q26 sales rose 3% while comparable sales fell 1.4%; it slowed 2027 openings to 10-15 as high mortgage rates pressure…
Kimberly-Clark: Short-Term Worries Create A Buying Opportunity (Rating Upgrade)
Kimberly-Clark’s Kenvue merger targets $1.9 billion in synergies by 2029, supporting roughly 6% long-term EPS growth and continued dividend…
Gary Gambino 1 click
Blackbaud CEO: We will prove AI is a ‘tailwind’
Blackbaud CEO says AI will be a tailwind for the nonprofit software and services provider.
Procore CFO: Now we scale the business
Procore CFO Rachel Pyles discusses accelerating growth and economies of scale after an upbeat third-quarter report.
Diageo: First Quarter on Dave’s Plan Wasn’t Too Drastic
Diageo’s first quarter under CEO Dave Lewis showed modest price changes and regional growth outside North America, supporting a turnaround…
Tower Semiconductor Update, Part Two
Tower Semiconductor reported $526 million in quarterly revenue and extended photonics contracts through 2029, while its low-loss silicon…
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