Big Short Investor Explains How the AI Bubble Could Burst
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom rests on a handful of companies and hundreds of billions in infrastructure spending, risking recession and a sharp market correction.
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom rests on a handful of companies and hundreds of billions in infrastructure spending, risking recession and a sharp market correction.
$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.
$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses
$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.
$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.
The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken).
Tough end of the year in merger arb land $BATL, $RVNC, $X, $ACI, $CPRI
$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s
We went Long $BIRK this past weekend. The call was timed ahead of this print, which we thought would be well ahead. But the call is much bigger than beating the qtr. No reason why this won't compound to a double+ over TAIL duration.
Dana is combining with Eaton’s Mobility unit via a 1Q27 Reverse Morris Trust after selling a division, delevering and accelerating buybacks.
Sterling’s $4.1 billion backlog faces Texas permitting risk after a governor proposed a moratorium, while Connexion, Capital Asset Planning…
Adult-use cannabis rescheduling would open Altria’s 42% Cronos stake to a U.S. market rerating.
Roblox’s Q3 FY26 DAUs fell year over year for the first time, while bookings declined 12% to $1.7 billion.
Nextracker's $6 billion order book supports cross-selling battery storage and inverters, now 22% of revenue, though acquisition-led growth…
DoorDash and Google.
Nova Ltd.'s Q3 revenue rose 28.2% as GAA, HBM, advanced DRAM and packaging complexity lifted demand, pushing non-GAAP margins to 35.5%.
Vicor’s Federal Circuit hearing put Foxconn’s disputed patent license under pressure, reinforcing its AI server royalty model and licensing…
Moody’s ratings business faces potential deceleration, while AI-related debt issuance and anti-data-center politics pose less risk than…
IREN has fallen 71% despite AI Cloud revenue rising from $7.3 million to $200 million quarterly and more than $20 billion in contracted…
FND · long Floor & Decor operates 281 warehouse-format stores selling hard-surface flooring and accessories nationwide.
Intel’s EMIB-T, glass-core roadmap and 2027 ABF substrate supply outlook are the focus of an expert call.
Ouster grew Q3 revenue 50% to $59.3 million, shipped 27,000 sensors and guided Q4 revenue to $61 million to $64 million while posting a…
Floor & Decor’s 3Q26 sales rose 3% while comparable sales fell 1.4%; it cut 2027 openings to 10-15 as high mortgage rates pressure…
Floor & Decor's 3Q26 sales rose 3% while comparable sales fell 1.4%; it slowed 2027 openings to 10-15 as high mortgage rates pressure…
Kimberly-Clark’s Kenvue merger targets $1.9 billion in synergies by 2029, supporting roughly 6% long-term EPS growth and continued dividend…
Blackbaud CEO says AI will be a tailwind for the nonprofit software and services provider.
Procore CFO Rachel Pyles discusses accelerating growth and economies of scale after an upbeat third-quarter report.
Diageo’s first quarter under CEO Dave Lewis showed modest price changes and regional growth outside North America, supporting a turnaround…
Tower Semiconductor reported $526 million in quarterly revenue and extended photonics contracts through 2029, while its low-loss silicon…
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