Monday, November 9, 2026

Moody’s: Fasten Your Seat Belts, But Not for AI

Moody’s ratings business faces potential deceleration, while AI-related debt issuance and anti-data-center politics pose less risk than investors fear.

MCO $89B

Librarian Capital's Research Library 11h ago 1 click

33h ago PCOR $11B

Procore CFO: Now we scale the business

The Technology Letter 3 clicks

34h ago DEO $55B

Diageo: First Quarter on Dave’s Plan Wasn’t Too Drastic

Librarian Capital's Research Library 2 clicks

From X

@AsifSuria Nov 2

Asif Suria on X

@FastTradeKing Exactly! Given the size of the deal, it was likely to be mostly stock if not all stock. Hopefully this deal isn't remembered as Marvell top ticking this bubble. $MRVL $LITE

@AsifSuria Nov 2

Asif Suria on X

Yesterday we recorded a podcast covering two potential deal situations including rumors of Marvell $MRVL acquiring Lumentum $LITE. The deal was confirmed a few minutes before the podcast was uploaded to YouTube this morning. As a Marvell shareholder I was not particularly happy about this deal as I discussed in the podcast and the price action late last week and this morning confirms the market feels the same way. You can check out the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts and YouTube here:

@aleabitoreddit Nov 2 1 click

Serenity on X

$LITE standalone would likely be up on earnings after their new $5B CPO/NPO announcement (separate from $NVDA). The margins on that are likely 60%+… which shows how profitable laser players would be at scale. (Greensboro alone would be $5B revenue/year) In terms of the $MRVL deal: - Extremely positive for Marvell strategically. Also makes remaining laser players very valuable - $LITE shareholders can cry though about the 1+ year overhang until deal goes through in 2028. There’s less independent price discovery as well since a lot of it will be pegged around 4.5 Marvell shares : 1 - I think Lumentum shareholders probably would be happier if Marvell shares didn’t crash before the deal was announced.. since it was originally valuing $LITE at $115B with a 23.9% premium. - Marvell dropping does show the downside of the deal straight away though, if it rose then $LITE shareholders might be a tad happier given valuation. Having a fixed dollar MC value floor probably would have been better than the 4.5x:1 ratio. There was a lot of long $LITE, short ___ pressuring other photonics valuations, so at least those trade pairs might unwind now

@ParadisLabs Nov 2

Paradis on X

$MRVL x $LITE deal

@pennycheck Nov 2

⚽️📡 on X

$NXT $MSOS $RIVN $RUN $LCID all 🎯

@aleabitoreddit Nov 2

Serenity on X

@Ericbaofu 中国其实早就有类似 $MRVL 收购 $LITE 的案例了，比如东山精密收购索尔思光电。不过国内监管环境不太一样，更多还是为了发展自主技术，减少对西方供应链的依赖。剑桥科技也是个例子，投资了不少国内激光器厂商，来保障供应和扩充产能。我觉得这次收购对中际旭创和新易盛的战略影响不会太大

@calvinblissett Nov 2

Calvin Blissett on X

@Benceno88 @MacroJason What is your thesis on UzNIF and what does the co do? Thank you Benceno I love your content and as you know have been in $KSPI for a while

@aleabitoreddit Nov 2

Serenity on X

To my knowledge, $CRDO doesn't have in-house CW DFB laser manufacturing capabilities, so not quite... Dustphotonics integrates external CW lasers so Credo is another potential $MRVL for the need to M&A laser companies. They did another with Hyperlume earlier but that was for microLEDs, not CW. Lot of industry channel checks like Largan cast a lot of doubts over that microLED commercialization for CPO (not every short reach application).

Tower Semiconductor Update, Part Two

Tower Semiconductor reported $526 million in quarterly revenue and extended photonics contracts through 2029, while its low-loss silicon…

TSEM $15B

CV's Substack 34h ago 1 click

Earnings Review: AMD, MELI, TIC, XPEL, ZTS

AMD’s data-center revenue rose 97%, while MercadoLibre, TIC Solutions, XPEL and Zoetis also report quarterly results.

MELI $77B

Rebound Capital 42h ago 2 clicks

Blue Owl Capital Corporation Q3: OTC Bonds Outperform Stocks In The Current Market Environment

Blue Owl Capital’s OTC bonds yield up to 6.92% and offer 8.8% levered ROE, while OBDC stock trades at a 25% discount to NAV.

OWL $17B

Arbitrage Trader Nov 7

The Midterms Have Changed the AI Narrative: S&P Down 4.4%, Nasdaq Down 5.5% | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman links a Democratic midterm sweep and CoreWeave concerns to an AI narrative shift as the S&P 500 fell 4.4% and Nasdaq 5.5%.

CRWV $27B

Steve Eisman Nov 6 5 clicks

Oil & Gas M&A Boom Continues with Another Billion-Dollar Oil Buyout

Ovintiv’s C$1.26 billion purchase of Logan Energy at roughly 2x proved reserve value points to further consolidation among Canadian oil…

OVV $17B

Bison Insights Nov 6 3 clicks

Axon 3Q26 Business Update

Axon cut full-year guidance after delayed federal Dedrone contracts slowed 3Q revenue growth to 28%, while software and services grew 43%.

AXON $31B

Speedwell Memos Nov 6 4 clicks

Axon 3Q26 Update: Revenue Breaks Below 30%, Runway Reaffirmed

Axon’s 3Q26 revenue growth fell to 28% after delayed federal Dedrone contracts, while software grew 43% and its $1.2 billion Skydio…

AXON $31B

Speedwell Research Nov 6 4 clicks

Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) Stock Rating: Stop After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Datadog beat Q3 revenue guidance by $52 million, but guided Q4 revenue flat as its largest AI-native customer reduced usage after renewing.

DDOG $79B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More

Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.

WY $16B

The Undercovered Dozen Nov 6 2 clicks

Cloudflare (NET) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cloudflare’s Q3 revenue rose 39% to $782.5 million, its fastest growth in nearly four years, while a $67.9 million GAAP operating loss and…

NET $97B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Dynatrace (NYSE: DT) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY3/27 Earnings (No Paywall)

Dynatrace reported 17% Q2 revenue growth but flat new ARR and lower profit and free-cash-flow guidance, following its $816 million Arize…

DT $13B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 2 clicks

Coherent: Selling Volume While Lumentum Sells Scarcity

Coherent sells constrained InP capacity through volume-priced modules, while a $20 billion PhotonLink agreement marks its first…

COHR $41BLITE $48B

Keyanoush Razavidinani Nov 6 4 clicks

Reddit Stock $RDDT : The Human Internet Just Got 29% Cheaper

Reddit fell 29% after warning that Google search traffic was declining, despite Q3 revenue rising 53%; the bull case rests on communities,…

RDDT $18B

Substack von Philipp Nov 6 4 clicks

Rocket Lab: Less Euphoria, Still Too Much Perfection Priced In Ahead Of Q3

Rocket Lab faces Neutron delays, Iridium acquisition dilution and cash burn despite expected 66% Q3 revenue growth, leaving RKLB priced for…

RKLB $28B

Bernard Zambonin Nov 6 1 click

Marvell Buys Lumentum: MRVL Initiated at Buy, $258 PT

Marvell’s Lumentum acquisition targets optical networking demand as AI data centers shift from copper to lasers, expanding its hyperscaler…

LITE $48B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 6 2 clicks

Blue Owl Capital: Book Value Is Rising Under A Default-Wave Price

Blue Owl Capital's NAV rose to $14.32 as buybacks and portfolio marks improved, while OBDC trades at a 25% discount despite a 0.33%…

OWL $17B

Tim Travis Nov 6 1 click

Uber 3Q'26: Eats vs DoorDash, and the AV Math

Uber Delivery generated an estimated $0.66 EBITDA after SBC per order in 3Q26, versus DoorDash's $0.80, while autonomous vehicles shape…

DASH $86B

MBI Deep Dives Nov 5 5 clicks

Trading Post November 5, 2026

MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.

MELI $77B

Cassandra Unchained Nov 5 2 clicks

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…

TLK $11B

Calvin Blissett Nov 5 4 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

SUI $14B

Trade Ideas Flow Nov 5 6 clicks

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Monday, November 9, 2026

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