Sunday, November 8, 2026

Moody’s: Fasten Your Seat Belts, But Not for AI

Moody’s ratings business faces potential deceleration, while AI-related debt issuance and anti-data-center politics pose less risk than investors fear.

MCO $89B

Librarian Capital's Research Library 13h ago 1 click

35h ago PCOR $11B

Procore CFO: Now we scale the business

The Technology Letter 3 clicks

36h ago DEO $55B

Diageo: First Quarter on Dave’s Plan Wasn’t Too Drastic

Librarian Capital's Research Library 2 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Feb 5

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

@CapitalVoss Jan 29 1 click

Voss Capital on X

The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken).

@AlphaVulture Nov 22 1 click

Alpha Vulture on X

@Ron284Ron From obscure micro-cap to S&P 500 constituent. Impressive run, and for me the first time to see this happen. $TPL #noposition #sadly

@HedgeyeRetail Nov 1

Brian McGough on X

$LULU ripping today. Been short this since $470. But I think it's a better short today than it was back then. The stock doesn't know that margins are going to fall apart here. This story is going to end badly. Restructuring, mgmt fired. Badly... We're presenting a Black Book next Friday to outline why.

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 16

Brian McGough on X

Any way you slice it, $ULTA just talked down 2025. Looks like another flat year. But upping unit growth for '26 and beyond? Makes no sense. Berkshire bought this too early. We're still short.

@catechwilliams Oct 9 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 6 1 click

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with @Derek_K_Brown of Dardanelles Capital Tickers mentioned include $FLUT and $ELF

@catechwilliams Sep 23 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.

Tower Semiconductor Update, Part Two

Tower Semiconductor reported $526 million in quarterly revenue and extended photonics contracts through 2029, while its low-loss silicon…

TSEM $15B

CV's Substack 37h ago 1 click

Earnings Review: AMD, MELI, TIC, XPEL, ZTS

AMD’s data-center revenue rose 97%, while MercadoLibre, TIC Solutions, XPEL and Zoetis also report quarterly results.

MELI $77B

Rebound Capital 44h ago 2 clicks

Blue Owl Capital Corporation Q3: OTC Bonds Outperform Stocks In The Current Market Environment

Blue Owl Capital’s OTC bonds yield up to 6.92% and offer 8.8% levered ROE, while OBDC stock trades at a 25% discount to NAV.

OWL $17B

Arbitrage Trader Nov 7

The Midterms Have Changed the AI Narrative: S&P Down 4.4%, Nasdaq Down 5.5% | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman links a Democratic midterm sweep and CoreWeave concerns to an AI narrative shift as the S&P 500 fell 4.4% and Nasdaq 5.5%.

CRWV $27B

Steve Eisman Nov 6 5 clicks

Oil & Gas M&A Boom Continues with Another Billion-Dollar Oil Buyout

Ovintiv’s C$1.26 billion purchase of Logan Energy at roughly 2x proved reserve value points to further consolidation among Canadian oil…

OVV $17B

Bison Insights Nov 6 3 clicks

Axon 3Q26 Business Update

Axon cut full-year guidance after delayed federal Dedrone contracts slowed 3Q revenue growth to 28%, while software and services grew 43%.

AXON $31B

Speedwell Memos Nov 6 4 clicks

Axon 3Q26 Update: Revenue Breaks Below 30%, Runway Reaffirmed

Axon’s 3Q26 revenue growth fell to 28% after delayed federal Dedrone contracts, while software grew 43% and its $1.2 billion Skydio…

AXON $31B

Speedwell Research Nov 6 4 clicks

Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) Stock Rating: Stop After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Datadog beat Q3 revenue guidance by $52 million, but guided Q4 revenue flat as its largest AI-native customer reduced usage after renewing.

DDOG $79B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More

Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.

WY $16B

The Undercovered Dozen Nov 6 2 clicks

Cloudflare (NET) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cloudflare’s Q3 revenue rose 39% to $782.5 million, its fastest growth in nearly four years, while a $67.9 million GAAP operating loss and…

NET $97B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Dynatrace (NYSE: DT) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY3/27 Earnings (No Paywall)

Dynatrace reported 17% Q2 revenue growth but flat new ARR and lower profit and free-cash-flow guidance, following its $816 million Arize…

DT $13B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 2 clicks

Coherent: Selling Volume While Lumentum Sells Scarcity

Coherent sells constrained InP capacity through volume-priced modules, while a $20 billion PhotonLink agreement marks its first…

COHR $41BLITE $48B

Keyanoush Razavidinani Nov 6 4 clicks

Reddit Stock $RDDT : The Human Internet Just Got 29% Cheaper

Reddit fell 29% after warning that Google search traffic was declining, despite Q3 revenue rising 53%; the bull case rests on communities,…

RDDT $18B

Substack von Philipp Nov 6 4 clicks

Rocket Lab: Less Euphoria, Still Too Much Perfection Priced In Ahead Of Q3

Rocket Lab faces Neutron delays, Iridium acquisition dilution and cash burn despite expected 66% Q3 revenue growth, leaving RKLB priced for…

RKLB $28B

Bernard Zambonin Nov 6 1 click

Marvell Buys Lumentum: MRVL Initiated at Buy, $258 PT

Marvell’s Lumentum acquisition targets optical networking demand as AI data centers shift from copper to lasers, expanding its hyperscaler…

LITE $48B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 6 2 clicks

Blue Owl Capital: Book Value Is Rising Under A Default-Wave Price

Blue Owl Capital's NAV rose to $14.32 as buybacks and portfolio marks improved, while OBDC trades at a 25% discount despite a 0.33%…

OWL $17B

Tim Travis Nov 6 1 click

Uber 3Q'26: Eats vs DoorDash, and the AV Math

Uber Delivery generated an estimated $0.66 EBITDA after SBC per order in 3Q26, versus DoorDash's $0.80, while autonomous vehicles shape…

DASH $86B

MBI Deep Dives Nov 5 5 clicks

Trading Post November 5, 2026

MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.

MELI $77B

Cassandra Unchained Nov 5 2 clicks

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…

TLK $11B

Calvin Blissett Nov 5 4 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

SUI $14B

Trade Ideas Flow Nov 5 6 clicks

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Sunday, November 8, 2026

catechwilliams on X

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