Diageo: First Quarter on Dave’s Plan Wasn’t Too Drastic
Diageo’s first quarter under CEO Dave Lewis showed modest price changes and regional growth outside North America, supporting a turnaround without drastic further cuts.
Saturday, November 7, 2026
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From X
catechwilliams on X
$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.
Idea Brunch on X
Idea Brunch with @Derek_K_Brown of Dardanelles Capital Tickers mentioned include $FLUT and $ELF https://t.co/RqbtxVhwEo
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.
Brian McGough on X
Is anybody looking at $REAL NOLs? I bet $EBAY is. EBAY has failed in luxury authentication. It NEEDS REAL. They could use $2/share in realized NOLs with the stock trading at $3. Maybe they buy this when it's a $10 stock, but at $3 it's a slam dunk.
Brian McGough on X
And in other news, John Donahoe got paid $29MILLION for all that value he created last year as CEO of $NKE.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster. https://t.co/KJgK8fXbM4
Brian McGough on X
Seriously considering getting a Swoosh tattoo on my forehead (ok, maybe on my calf like PHK) -- with a $75 after it -- after today's shellacking -- to remember forever (and to remind me when this stock is at $150). $NKE
Investor Letters
All letters- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SN $31B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BCNSWF $53B
- Protean Funds October 2026 LFABF $13BNSIS-B $30B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Third Quarter 2026 BN $96BCNSWF $53B
- JB Global Capital Q3 2026 PYPL $49B
- Chautauqua Capital Management Q3 2026 ADYEY $32BBEKE $21B
- Impax Asset Management third quarter of 2026 IT $13BMKKGY $22B
- Elm Ridge Management September 2026 NOK $47B
Blue Owl Capital Corporation Q3: OTC Bonds Outperform Stocks In The Current Market Environment
Blue Owl Capital’s OTC bonds yield up to 6.92% and offer 8.8% levered ROE, while OBDC stock trades at a 25% discount to NAV.
Arbitrage Trader 
The Midterms Have Changed the AI Narrative: S&P Down 4.4%, Nasdaq Down 5.5% | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman links a Democratic midterm sweep and CoreWeave concerns to an AI narrative shift as the S&P 500 fell 4.4% and Nasdaq 5.5%.
Oil & Gas M&A Boom Continues with Another Billion-Dollar Oil Buyout
Ovintiv’s C$1.26 billion purchase of Logan Energy at roughly 2x proved reserve value points to further consolidation among Canadian oil…
Axon 3Q26 Business Update
Axon cut full-year guidance after delayed federal Dedrone contracts slowed 3Q revenue growth to 28%, while software and services grew 43%.
Axon 3Q26 Update: Revenue Breaks Below 30%, Runway Reaffirmed
Axon’s 3Q26 revenue growth fell to 28% after delayed federal Dedrone contracts, while software grew 43% and its $1.2 billion Skydio…
Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) Stock Rating: Stop After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Datadog beat Q3 revenue guidance by $52 million, but guided Q4 revenue flat as its largest AI-native customer reduced usage after renewing.
Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More
Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.
The Undercovered Dozen 1 click
Cloudflare (NET) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Cloudflare’s Q3 revenue rose 39% to $782.5 million, its fastest growth in nearly four years, while a $67.9 million GAAP operating loss and…
Dynatrace (NYSE: DT) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY3/27 Earnings (No Paywall)
Dynatrace reported 17% Q2 revenue growth but flat new ARR and lower profit and free-cash-flow guidance, following its $816 million Arize…
Coherent: Selling Volume While Lumentum Sells Scarcity
Coherent sells constrained InP capacity through volume-priced modules, while a $20 billion PhotonLink agreement marks its first…
Reddit Stock $RDDT : The Human Internet Just Got 29% Cheaper
Reddit fell 29% after warning that Google search traffic was declining, despite Q3 revenue rising 53%; the bull case rests on communities,…
Rocket Lab: Less Euphoria, Still Too Much Perfection Priced In Ahead Of Q3
Bernard Zambonin 1 click
Marvell Buys Lumentum: MRVL Initiated at Buy, $258 PT
Marvell’s Lumentum acquisition targets optical networking demand as AI data centers shift from copper to lasers, expanding its hyperscaler…
Blue Owl Capital: Book Value Is Rising Under A Default-Wave Price
Blue Owl Capital's NAV rose to $14.32 as buybacks and portfolio marks improved, while OBDC trades at a 25% discount despite a 0.33%…
Tim Travis 1 click
Uber 3Q'26: Eats vs DoorDash, and the AV Math
Uber Delivery generated an estimated $0.66 EBITDA after SBC per order in 3Q26, versus DoorDash's $0.80, while autonomous vehicles shape…
Trading Post November 5, 2026
MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.
Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.
Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…
Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026
Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…
Delta Air Lines Is Worth Buying Despite Near-Term Pressure
Delta Air Lines' premium, loyalty and ancillary businesses generate 61% of revenue as cash flow supports debt reduction despite fuel and…
Motti Sapir 
GPC Q3 2026: a quick North America Automotive update
GPC’s NAPA commercial sales grew 4% in Q3, trailing AutoZone and O’Reilly as freight, fuel and rent cut North American Automotive margins…
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