Diageo: First Quarter on Dave’s Plan Wasn’t Too Drastic
Diageo’s first quarter under CEO Dave Lewis showed modest price changes and regional growth outside North America, supporting a turnaround without drastic further cuts.
Saturday, November 7, 2026
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Brian McGough on X
$LULU guide down...and it still is likely to miss the guide. This company has more problems than a $300 stock is giving it credit for. Been short it since $470, and I'm not covering at this price.
catechwilliams on X
$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses
catechwilliams on X
$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.
Voss Capital on X
The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s
Alpha Vulture on X
@Ron284Ron From obscure micro-cap to S&P 500 constituent. Impressive run, and for me the first time to see this happen. $TPL #noposition #sadly
Brian McGough on X
$LULU ripping today. Been short this since $470. But I think it's a better short today than it was back then. The stock doesn't know that margins are going to fall apart here. This story is going to end badly. Restructuring, mgmt fired. Badly... We're presenting a Black Book next Friday to outline why.
Brian McGough on X
Any way you slice it, $ULTA just talked down 2025. Looks like another flat year. But upping unit growth for '26 and beyond? Makes no sense. Berkshire bought this too early. We're still short.
Investor Letters
All letters- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SN $31B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BCNSWF $53B
- Protean Funds October 2026 LFABF $13BNSIS-B $30B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Third Quarter 2026 BN $96BCNSWF $53B
- JB Global Capital Q3 2026 PYPL $49B
- Chautauqua Capital Management Q3 2026 ADYEY $32BBEKE $21B
- Impax Asset Management third quarter of 2026 IT $13BMKKGY $22B
- Elm Ridge Management September 2026 NOK $47B
Blue Owl Capital Corporation Q3: OTC Bonds Outperform Stocks In The Current Market Environment
Blue Owl Capital’s OTC bonds yield up to 6.92% and offer 8.8% levered ROE, while OBDC stock trades at a 25% discount to NAV.
Arbitrage Trader 
The Midterms Have Changed the AI Narrative: S&P Down 4.4%, Nasdaq Down 5.5% | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman links a Democratic midterm sweep and CoreWeave concerns to an AI narrative shift as the S&P 500 fell 4.4% and Nasdaq 5.5%.
Oil & Gas M&A Boom Continues with Another Billion-Dollar Oil Buyout
Ovintiv’s C$1.26 billion purchase of Logan Energy at roughly 2x proved reserve value points to further consolidation among Canadian oil…
Axon 3Q26 Business Update
Axon cut full-year guidance after delayed federal Dedrone contracts slowed 3Q revenue growth to 28%, while software and services grew 43%.
Axon 3Q26 Update: Revenue Breaks Below 30%, Runway Reaffirmed
Axon’s 3Q26 revenue growth fell to 28% after delayed federal Dedrone contracts, while software grew 43% and its $1.2 billion Skydio…
Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) Stock Rating: Stop After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Datadog beat Q3 revenue guidance by $52 million, but guided Q4 revenue flat as its largest AI-native customer reduced usage after renewing.
Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More
Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.
The Undercovered Dozen 1 click
Cloudflare (NET) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Cloudflare’s Q3 revenue rose 39% to $782.5 million, its fastest growth in nearly four years, while a $67.9 million GAAP operating loss and…
Dynatrace (NYSE: DT) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY3/27 Earnings (No Paywall)
Dynatrace reported 17% Q2 revenue growth but flat new ARR and lower profit and free-cash-flow guidance, following its $816 million Arize…
Coherent: Selling Volume While Lumentum Sells Scarcity
Coherent sells constrained InP capacity through volume-priced modules, while a $20 billion PhotonLink agreement marks its first…
Reddit Stock $RDDT : The Human Internet Just Got 29% Cheaper
Reddit fell 29% after warning that Google search traffic was declining, despite Q3 revenue rising 53%; the bull case rests on communities,…
Rocket Lab: Less Euphoria, Still Too Much Perfection Priced In Ahead Of Q3
Bernard Zambonin 1 click
Marvell Buys Lumentum: MRVL Initiated at Buy, $258 PT
Marvell’s Lumentum acquisition targets optical networking demand as AI data centers shift from copper to lasers, expanding its hyperscaler…
Blue Owl Capital: Book Value Is Rising Under A Default-Wave Price
Blue Owl Capital's NAV rose to $14.32 as buybacks and portfolio marks improved, while OBDC trades at a 25% discount despite a 0.33%…
Tim Travis 1 click
Uber 3Q'26: Eats vs DoorDash, and the AV Math
Uber Delivery generated an estimated $0.66 EBITDA after SBC per order in 3Q26, versus DoorDash's $0.80, while autonomous vehicles shape…
Trading Post November 5, 2026
MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.
Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.
Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…
Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026
Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…
Delta Air Lines Is Worth Buying Despite Near-Term Pressure
Delta Air Lines' premium, loyalty and ancillary businesses generate 61% of revenue as cash flow supports debt reduction despite fuel and…
Motti Sapir 
GPC Q3 2026: a quick North America Automotive update
GPC’s NAPA commercial sales grew 4% in Q3, trailing AutoZone and O’Reilly as freight, fuel and rent cut North American Automotive margins…
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